Season 6 CNGHL Entry Draft review
October 22, 2004 - By Andreas Persson
Here is finally the second annual installment of the mammoth draft review.
This year’s installment is almost double the size of last years’ guide
and attempts to review all picks by team, including an assessment of best
pick (if more than one) and worst pick (if more than three).
Overall, the season 6 draft was markedly weaker in terms of quality
compared to the Season 5 draft. Not surprisingly, more overagers were
picked as teams opted to go with known numbers rather than prospects with
limited information. Contrary to previous years, however, very few
journeymen in their late 20s where picked, presumably due to few such
being unsigned.
Serveral highly rated prospects fell deep in the NHL draft – most
notably, Russian prospects frequently dropped 10-15 spots lower than their
ranking, due to the uncertainty regarding a new transfer agreement between
the Russian Super League and the NHL. The NHL GMs also showed increased
willingness to pick college players, partially since these teams have more
time to sign these players than CHL Players.
Now to the draft winners according to my very subjective view:
Winners
Zebras
Anthony picked a lot of overage
prospects (true to form) and made some great picks including Steve Bernier
(30), Cam Ward (33) and Dan Ellis (76). Especially Ward was a coup – the
young Red Deer Rebels MVP is considered one of the 10 best goaltending
prospects and could back up Gerber in Carolina already this season. Zebras
also got a steal at 13 with Rostislav Olesz, a player that was mentioned
in the same breath as Ovechkin and Malkin only 2 months before the draft,
and who has been compared to Milan Michalek and Bobby Holik, but with more
offensive upside.
Ducklings
Michael Ryder was the most coveted player in the draft apart from the
top duo, and several GMs had their eyes on Schwarz. Anders also got
several high upside players such as Kahnberg, Niskala and Drozdetsky very
late in the draft. He also had done an impressive amount of scouting –
it should be noted that 4 of the players he chose were 9th round picks in
their NHL drafts
Irish
Don’t look now, but despite auto-drafting, Irish ended up with no
less than 6 NHL 2004 first-rounders (Picard, Thelen, Dubnyk, Kaspar,
Fristic, Rogers). Sure, the last 2 were probably overrated in the NHL
draft due to size, but Thelen and Picard especially are great pick-ups.
And I do really like the late pickup of d-man Sekera.
Blondes
Any team with the #1 & #2 pick needs to be considered draft
winners. The raw offensive potential in the combination of
Ovechkin-Malkin-Schremp is amazing. 5th round additions of promising
goaltenders Henrik Lundqvist and Yann Danis further solidified the result
Animals
Not so much for the 3 solid late picks, as for the participation level and
ambition. It seems that the old Caps finally have committed management,
which is even more promising than the picks themselves, as the team has a
long ways to go. The picks are however all high ceiling players, and
especially Gracik may turn out a diamond in the rough
Team by team review
Animals
61.) David Krejci, C (Bruins,
#63, 2004 Bruins)
65.) Adam Pineault, RW (Blue Jackets, #46, 2004)
88.) Juraj Gracik, RW (Thrashers, #142, 2004)
Best pick: Juraj Gracik
Undersized pivot David Krejci is a highly skilled playmaker, who
favors setting up teammates rather than finishing. Does posses good
finishing skills, however, especially a wicked wrister. Contrary to many
smallish European players, Krejci does play a physical game and plays well
in traffic. Combination of slight frame and lacking top end speed is main
concern however. Could have 2nd line upside, likely with significant PP
time, but must upgrade skating and lower body strength. Impressed at the
WJC18 (7pts in 7 games) and could be playing for Gatineau in the QMJHL
next season
Boston College’s Adam Pineault was highly touted going into the
season and mentioned as a potential first round pick. His stock dropped,
however, mainly due to lack of ice-time on a deep Boston College roster.
Adam has announced he is leaving Boston in search of playing time
somewhere else, most likely in the CHL. Pineault is a power-forward in the
making – has a good shot with a quick release and a willingness to go to
the net. Is well-rounded, but has yet to put up numbers to match his
ability. Could develop into a 2nd line version of Keith Tkachuk, and
downside is limited as Pineault could always become a very good 3rd line
checker if his finishing skills don’t develop to potential
Eugene’s final pick was Juraj Gracik, a sleeper pick and a huge
reach that could pay-off. Gracik reminds a lot of Dave Andreychuk, but
faster. Potential power-forward in the making, Juraj is big, strong and
fast. Gracik is one of those guys that, paired with a decent playmaker,
will hang around the crease and score garbage goals in droves. Juraj has
good finishing skills, however hockey sense and playmaking skill remain
main question mark. Like all junior players, he need to work on strength
and fill out his frame. Like Pineault, a player with very limited downside
Overall verdict: B – good result given available picks. Consistently
picking high ceiling players despite late picks indicate high level of
scouting
Awhippers
95.) Casey Borer, D (Hurricanes, #69, 2004)
The negative about Whipper’s draft is the sole pick – the positive
part is that Matt (in autodraft) actually could make it count. Casey
Borer is a strong stay-at-home d-man who’s stock soared going into
the draft. Borer’s main traits include above average mobility, good
physical game and high panic threshold. While the offensive upside might
be limited, Borer also appears to have decent outlet passing skills and
able vision. Borer will never be confused with a Norris candidate, but
will likely make a dependable #4/#5 defensive stalwart that opposing
players hate facing
Overall verdict: F – Failed…
the team that came out of the draft the least improved. Auto-drafed.
Blondes
1.) Alexander Ovechkin, LW
(Capitals, #1, 2004)
2.) Evgeny Malkin, C (Penguins, #2, 2004)
8.) Robbie Schremp, C (Oilers, #25, 2004)
37.) Mike Green, D (Capitals, #29, 2004)
43.) Ben Eager, LW (Coyotes, #23, 2002)
71.) Bruce Graham, C (Rangers, #51, 2004)
87.) Wes O’Neill, D (Islanders, #115, 2004)
90.) Alexandre Picard, D (Flyers, #85, 2003)
91.) Henrik Lundqvist, G (Rangers, #205, 2000)
93.) Rejean Beauchemin, G (Flyers, #191, 2003)
94.) Yann Danis, G (Canadiens, undrafted free agent
101.) RJ Anderson, D (Flyers, #101, 2004)
103.) Rosario Ruggeri, D (Flyers, #105, 2002)
107.) Thomas Pöck, D (Rangers, undrafted free agent)
Best pick: Alexander Ovechkin
Worst pick: Bruce Graham
Everything has already been said about Alexander Ovechkin.
Depending on source, there are comparisons in impact to Makarov, Fedorov
and Kovalchuk. Ovechkin could become as good, though does have his own
style. Those who saw Russia – Slovakia in the world-cup saw him score on
a one-timer top shelf and got a taste of what Alex is about. The best
comparison to Ovechkin’s potential could be Joe Sakic, only 2 inches and
20 lbs bigger – Alex main strengths are the hard and accurate shooting,
especially on one-timers. He is also an excellent skater and has superior
on-ice vision. Look for him to be a future 40-goals scorer
Evgeny Malkin
would likely have been a #1 pick another year, and considering that he is
a full year younger than Ovechkin, some scouts actually claim he could
become the better player. A very different player, however, Malkin is much
more of a set-up man and plies his trade with pin-point passes through
traffic and unparalleled vision. Malkin still has a quite slim frame –
despite being 6’3/200lbs – and adding some weight to that frame could
make him a terrifying physical presence in addition. Has garnered
comparisons to Peter Forsberg. Will likely form a great tandem with
Ovechkin for Blondes, and the pair as trade compensation for Pavel Bure
can only be described as a home run
Those who watched this year’s top prospects’ game know what Robbie
Schremp is all about. In pure offensive talent, especially stick
handling, Schremp is likely the most talented player in the draft. There
is however legitimate concerns on whether he is a Yashin or a Daigle, to
take a Sens example… Schremp was widely believed to be a shoe-in for a
top5 pick going into the season, however forcing a trade from his junior
team, playing soft and losing ice-time in the playoffs and partying habits
made caused his stock to drop significantly at the draft. Blondes were
actively trying to trade down, as Schremp was the man they wanted, but
found no takers. Instead, he ended up the biggest reach of the first
round. It remains to be seen whether Schremp can take his highlight reel
game to the next level, but Blondes could afford taking the chance
considering the other forwards they already picked.
Blondes traded up to grab Mike Green, much due to believing he was
under-scouted. Green played for Saskatoon Blades, one of the worst teams
in the WHL, and would likely had been picked 10 spots higher with the
better defensive stats that a stronger team would have yielded. While
producing 39pts in 59 games from the blueline, Greens strongest point is
his defense and physical game. He hits everything hard, without taking
himself out of position, and is likely to become a solid 2-way top 4
d-man. Bruins’ 2003 pick Mark Stuart is a good comparison
Ben Eager
was voted OHL’s best body-checker by his fellow OHL players last season
and could very well be in the Flyers’ starting line-up if there is a
season. While Ben doesn’t posses elite finishing skills, he will likely
develop into a pest similar to Matt Cooke or Darcy Tucker, who can chip in
with 20 goals and 45 points, all the while punishing the opposition. Eager
is an above average skater, which will further help his case
Bruce Graham
is a mammoth project, both in terms of size and development need. At
6’6, Graham could be a handful for opposing teams down the line. He has
decent hands and good work ethic. His finishing skills are however not
proven, as 60 pts in the QMJHL is not that much of an accomplishment. He
also needs to play a more consistent physical game to take advantage of
his size. The good news, however, is that his development has taken great
strides this season. Projection is anywhere between 2nd line pivot and
grinder. Size and average skating will likely land him a pro gig, however
being a big project AND a Rangers prospect is usually not a very good
combination
Many independent scouts had Wes O’Neill penciled in as a late 1st
round pick a month before the draft. He apparently bombed in the pre-draft
interviews, however, as he fell down to 115. The question is, what’s
there not to like about a mobile 6’4 guy, with a great physical game?
O’Neill is rock solid in his own end to boot. The one question mark is
his offensive upside, since his vision appears average at best, however
O’Neill is comparable to first round NHL picks like Rogers and Schulz in
terms of upside
Eager was the first and Alexandre Picard the second – Blondes
made it their mission to nab all available high profile Flyers prospect,
as the fantastic example of Bobby Clarke and co in player drafting and
development serve as the main guiding principle for the Blondes. Picard,
however, is not a typical Flyers choice. True, he is pretty big, but not
very physical and he does have good wheels. Picard plays a solid
positional game and is above average in his own zone ( 80 over 3 QMJHL
seasons), while having lately also shown signs of some offensive upside.
He has sound vision and the Flyers are very high on him and see him as a
future top3 d-man. He is also laying a claim to a spot on this year’s
Canadian WJC20 team.
Henrik Lundqvist
is the best Swedish goalie prospect, and a member of the recent World Cup
team, though he likely won’t play a minute of the tournament. He is
positionally sound and has lightning reflexes. Contrary to many blue chip
goalie prospects, he also has performed under pressure, both in the
Swedish Elite League playoffs and on the Swedish National Team. Lundqvist
has been tested at pro-level competition for 3 years in Sweden, and should
be one of the most NHL ready goalie prospect around. With the current
goaltender glut in New York (Weekes, Dunham, Blackburn) and Montoya coming
up, there are however legitimate concerns as to whether he will get a
chance. Lundqvist was wildely believed to be scouted by the Ducklings and
Lundqvist’s availability as late selection came as somewhat of a
surprise in Stockholm.
Rejean Beauchemin was unranked by CBS for much of the 2003 season, but
got into the mix in the 2nd half when he stole the starters job in Prince
Albert and selected for the Canadian WJC18 team as backup goalie. This
year, he’s had a breakout season that saw him elected to the WHL 2nd
allstar team and more importantly it appears he is an early favorite to be
starting in net for Canada in the upcoming WJC20. Like Lundqvist,
Beauchemin has excellent reflexes but still needs work on his positional
game. The tools are there to become a starter at the NHL level, but
Beauchemin likely needs several seasons of AHL seasoning
Yann Danis
will likely be the starter for Hamilton Bulldogs in 2004 and could see
time in the NHL as first call-up. Finished a fantastic university career
at Brown with being selected ECAC and Ivy League player of the year and
breaking virtually every goaltending record at the school. His
professional debut came with 2 AHL games at the end of the season, going
2-0-0 with one shutout and a 1.5 GAA. Danis has excellent mobility and
reflexes and could very well develop into a starter down the line. He was
the chief reason the Habs were willing to trade the very promising Mathieu
Garon in search of an offensive boost
R.J. Anderson
is a wildcard from the 2004 draft – so far only played in high school
and has another full year left before university, however has already been
committed to the University of Minnesota Golden Gophers. Anderson is an
all-round d-man, who has been responsible in his own end, while racking up
an impressive 85points in 30 games, including almost averaging a goal per
game. While the level of competition is low, Anderson has all the
fundamentals to be a pro defenseman. It remains to be seen at what level,
though
Rosario Ruggeri is a good bet to be a solid, if unspectacular pro.
Comes out to play hard every night, hitting everything that moves and
effectively clearing the crease. Ruggeri has put up some good number in
the Q, but is first and foremost a defensive d-man, who will likely round
into a #5/#6 guy that plays PK. Average skating and vision are issues that
might set back his development
The overage Austrian Tomas Pöck started his career at Umass
Amhearst as a not very successful forward, but after being converted to
wing he scored 78 points in 74 games from the point. Signed to a free
agent contract with the Rangers, he proceeded to score in his first
professional game and put up 2 goals and 2 assists in 6 games. Pöck is a
very offensive blue liner, with impressive shooting and skating skills.
His defensive game is however below average, and it remains to be seen
whether the Rags will manage to round him into a solid pro-level d-man.
With his current skills set, there is a significant risk that Pöck’s
career potential is limited to being an AHL power play specialist
Overall verdict:
A – unlikely to get a chance to pick the top 2 players again, ever
Bombers
17.) Alvaro Montoya, G (Rangers, #6, 2004)
48.) Stephane Veilleux, LW (Wild, #93, 2001)
55.) Andrew Hutchinson, D (Predators, #54, 1999)
57.) Brandon Dubinsky, C (Rangers, #60, 2004)
80.) David Booth, RW (Panthers, #53, 2004)
109.) Peter Olvecky, RW (Wild, #78, 2004)
Best pick: Al Montoya
Worst pick: Stephane Veilleux
Al Montoya
is an absolute steal at 17, and is one of the best catches of the first
round. His WJC20 performance that helped US land the goal medal is already
a classic, and Montoya has shown great ability to perform when the game is
on the line. Montoya might not have the upside of Schwarz, however he is
technically and positionally extremely sound, and likely the goalie of the
draft that is most likely to come close to full potential. The best part
is also that he might not be that far away from making a pro-league
splash.
Weeellll…
As good as the Montoya pick was, Stephane Veilleux is a head-scratcher.
It is questionable whether Veilleux was worth the 93rd overall pick in
2001, and there were definitely better prospects available at 48. The
skinny on Veilleux is simple – he is a sparkplug player that can play
either wing and is versatile enough to please an NHL GM. He is however not
a good enough player overall to be more that a reserve forward in the
20-league CNGHL. Look for Veilleux to languish on the Bombers farm team
for the duration of his contract
Andrew Hutchinson was one of the major surprises on the Milwaukee
Admirals blueline last season, and even served on the Preds for 18 games.
Hutchinson’s main strengths lie in the offensive game – he has a heavy
slapshot and good offensive decision-making. The downside is that his
defensive game at this point is to suspect for him to be more than a
reserve d-man for the Preds when healthy. He has problems with defensive
positioning and still needs to work on the defensive game.
Brandon Dubinsky is a slightly smallish pivot, that plays a larger
game. Only 5’11, he likely fell down to 60 in the NHL draft due to
lacking size, as this year had an abundance of large players. Dubinsky had
a breakout year in the WHL, scoring 78pts in 70 games for Portland
Winterhawks. Has great wheels and vision and never quits on a play. As
with all smaller players that play a physical game, a key question mark is
his ability to avoid injury. Like most prospects, he needs to work on his
defensive game. Probably the Bomber’s best offensive pick.
David Booth is a big and skilled winger, with good mobility and a
developed physical game. He put up stellar offensive numbers in 02-03,
which however may have been somewhat inflated by playing on the same line
as Jim Slater for the Wolverines. This year, he has had a harder time
producing and it is unclear whether his offensive skills set is enough to
warrant top6 forward potential. As things stand, Booth brings outstanding
work ethic and a physical game and should at the very least be a solid
candidate to play on the Cats 3rd line sometime in the future
Depending on what you believe, Peter Olvecky has either the
potential to become a top6 winger or is destined to be a marginal player.
What’s clear is he likely isn’t a diamond in the rough, Milan Hejduk
pick. Olvecky is a hard working player, with good work ethic and a
well-rounded physical game. He is also above average defensively. He has
put up a lot of points in the (not very strong) Slovak Junior league, but
so far has yet to prove that he can produce at the senior level. Likely
upside as 4th liner, with high risk of not coming over to North America.
Overall verdict:
B – solid draft, especially considering Steve had turned to auto-draft
from round 3. Montoya at 17 is an absolute steal. Dubinsky could turn into
a gem down the line
Ducklings
5.) Michael Ryder, RW (Canadiens, #216, 1998)
9.) Marek Schwarz, G (Blues, #17, 2004)
25.) Christian Bäckman, D (Blues, #24, 1998)
29.) Jeff Schultz, D (Capitals, #27, 2004)
50.) Ilya Krikunov, C (Canucks, #242, 2002)
79.) Magnus Kahnberg, LW (Hurricanes, #212, 2000)
105.) Alexander Drozdetsky, RW (Flyers, #94, 2000)
106.) Janne Niskala, D (Predators, #147, 2004)
111.) Jannik Hansen, D (Canucks, #287, 2004)
Best pick: Magnus Kahnberg
Worst pick: Jeff Schultz
Mike Ryder,
last year’s Calder runner-up, had a fantastic year with the Habs. He is
the model for hard work, brings his A-game every night and energizes the
whole squad. Blessed with above average hands, Ryder also thrives in
traffic and goes to the net consistently. No matter whether it’s a
beautiful play or a garbage goal, this guy will take it. Ryder has less
pure upside than many of the top10 prospects of the draft, however it
would be very surprising if his rookie season was a fluke – look for
this guy to keep scoring 60-70 pts per season, while being a strong player
in all game situations. Anders’ was thrilled to see Ryder still on the
board at 5, and never hesitated to scoop him up. Likely the most coveted
player in the draft apart from Ovechkin/Malkin, for the instant boost
he’d provide any team with
A reach compared to the NHL draft, however the collective “GASP” heard
at the draft when Anders picked Marek Schwarz indicated that many
teams were hoping he’d fall to them. Schwarz has been touted as the best
goalie in the draft by many observers, thus falling to 17 in the NHL draft
was somewhat of a surprise. He doesn’t have the sound positional and
technical game of Montoya or Dubnyk yet, however he has the poise,
reflexes and speed to have a higher ceiling than either… Think of him
like Czech goalie Cechmanek… when he is on his game, he is the best in
the league. When he isn’t, he gets pulled mid-way through the 2nd
period. The same analogy could be used for Schwarz – if he fulfills his
promise, he’s likely the only potential top5 goalie in the draft, but
the risk is higher with him than for instance Montoya
Three years ago, Christian Bäckman was labeled a bust – a first
rounder that had problems getting ice-time on the roster of a SEL team.
Since then, Christian has developed tremendously, and held down a regular
spot on the Blues’ blueline for most of the season. Admittedly, injuries
to Barret Jackman and Al MacInnis played a part, but Backman actually
played on the 2nd pairing and was 2nd best in scoring on that defense.
There is plenty to like about Backman – he is 6’4 and has an
impressive reach and plenty of room to further fill out his frame. He owns
a good shot and passing skills and seemsto have untapped offensive
potential. At the very least, he’ll be a dependable #4 guy that plays in
all situations, however he could develop into a 2-way threat like Teppo
Numminen. Backman was somewhat of a wildcard in the draft – some GMs
anticipated he could make it into the 1st round, but Ducklings made
another excellent pickup in the early 2nd round
Jeff Schultz falls into the BIG=GOOD category, and was according to
Anders “something of a panic pick”, since it appears Anders was
planning to trade the pick. Schultz is an odd package – standing 6’6
as a d-man, you’d assume his greatest asset is punishing hits, however
Schultz could really be described as soft. Schultz strength is his
offensive game – he is a future PP quarterback that owns a hard slapshot
and good vision, however his pro-upside is somewhat questionable primarily
due to his poor skating. There is a lot of Schultz that reminds of another
good-natured giant, Chris Therien, who failed to develop the offensive
skills set, the physical game and the skating beyond the point of a
complementary #5 d-man. Schultz is a solid pick, as d-men with his size
normally find a job, however his upside is quite unclear. Arguably
overrated in the NHL draft due to his size
Ilya Krikunov
is another potential diamond in the rough, though there are significant
question marks around his NHL upside. Krikunov is as offensively gifted as
any player – the past year he scored 19 pts in the defensive Russian
Super League and his performance indicates that his offensive game is
definitely at the level where he could be considered 2nd line material.
The problem is that a poor defensive game and very slight build at
5’11/170lbs could limit his effectiveness on the smaller ice surface in
North America. Krikunov could in the future be a player in the Scott Gomez
mold, though probably with less playmaking skills, however he will likely
need a significant adjustment period and will definitely need to bulk up
Magnus Kahnberg really solidified his position as a top prospect last
year, by notching 33 goals in 50 games in the defensive-oriented Swedish
top league. He was one of the best pure goal scorers in Europe and set a
new record for goals in a season. Blessed with great finishing and
stickhandling skills, Kahnberg’s major weakness lies in his skating,
which is not up to par with his other skills. Considering the Canes depth
chart, Kahnberg could feasibly be a 2nd liner already next season on the
team, however there have been some concerns as to his willingness to take
the step over to North America. He so far hasn’t participated in any
prospects camps with the Canes and this is cause for concern. Another
excellent pick for the Ducks, though
For information on Alexander Drozdetsky, see the skinny on Kahnberg…
Seriously, Alex is another immensely talented sniper, with great moves. He
has put together impressive back-to-back seasons in Russia and could very
well become a second liner with lots of PP time in the NHL. So what’s
the problem? Well, he has refused invitations to three straight training
camps and will not come over unless guaranteed a one-way contract and a
roster spot. Now, with Bobby Clarke at the helm in Philly, no soft Euro
will ever get that type of treatment. In the end, it’ll likely come down
to money. As things stand, and with Flyers very likely buying out Amonte
and Leclair under the new CBA, there might well be an opportunity for
Drozdetsky to come play. Another very solid pick, with a lot of upside
Janne Niskala
is the prototypical Anders pick (and the prototypical Predators pick for
that matter). Niskala is an overage draftee, more specifically a d-man
that oozes of offensive upside. Does the name Zidlicky ring a bell?
Didn’t both Anders and Preds pick him last year? Right! Niskala scored a
phenomenal 21 goals and 36 points (in 55 games) from the blueline in the
Finnish top league. The main difference between Niskala and Zidlicky is
size – Niskala is only 5’11/180lbs and has problems in traffic and it
is very likely that he’ll have a hard time adjusting to North America,
much like the Hawks’ Lasse Kukkonen (4th round 2003), who was also
touted as mature enough to step right in after dominating the Finnish
league, but who ended up spending the whole season in the AHL. Either way,
Niskala is an exciting pick that could pay off
Anders finally drafts his first countryman! Jannik Hansen was the
Canucks 9th round pick this year and could be considered a crap shot,
however there are some indications that Hansen could become a solid
prospect. His skating is his main asset and he showed during the WJC18
that he has good offensive skills. In fact, 7 points in 6 games, despite
playing on one of the tournament’s worst teams is very promising. Hansen
has also yet to face a high level of competition, as the Danish top league
isn’t exactly great. Likely, his ceiling is that of an AHL scorer, but
for a Dane, he seems solid.
Overall verdict: A – Fantastic draft and made all the picks count
Dykes
12.) Blake Wheeler, RW (Coyotes, #5, 2004)
32.) Kris Chucko, LW (Flames, #24, 2004)
53.) Darin Olver, C (Rangers, #36, 2004)
75.) Ryan Garlock, C/LW (Black Hawks, #45, 2004)
98.) Brandon Prust, C/LW (Flames, #70, 2004)
Best pick: Kris Chucko
Worst pick: Blake Wheeler
Normally, getting the #5 overall pick at #12 would be fantastic and if
Gretzky & co are proven right it might still be… however, while Blake
Wheeler exhibits great upside it is somewhat of a stretch to draft him
this early based on only that. While Dykes were auto-drafting, it appears
that they could’ve done better live, for instance by picking Olesz who
went 13. Wheeler is a power forward in the making. He is big, very mobile
and has been scoring at will, however it is unclear if his production is
really due to outstanding hands or more a result of him completely
dominating his opponents physically. Wheeler has so far only played in
high school and next year needs to prove that he can produce the goods at
a higher level of competition. Montoya, Olesz were still on the board at
this point, which might make it hard to swallow
Jorge scored another hard working, physical player out of high school in Kris
Chucko. Like with Wheeler, the big question mark with Chucko is how
good he really can be, considering the relatively weak level of
competition he has been playing at. Contrary to Wheeler, however, scouts
are quite unanimous about Chucko’s career potential. Most see him as a
great 3rd liner or even 2nd liner that plays a solid 2-way game and brings
a truckload of energy. Chucko will never be mistaken for a flashy scorer,
but could very well be compared with another Flames prospect, Eric Nyström
or current Flame Martin Gelinas
Like with Wheeler, Darin Olver was by some considered a big reach
at the draft. Olver is a BCHL alumni, where he put up comparable numbers
to first rounder Travis Zajac and Olver has also managed to put up a solid
32pts in 41 games in his first season in the CCHA. The problem with Olver,
as opposed to Zajac/Chucko is his slight build. At 6’0/165lbs, he is
nowhere near the size required to compete in the NHL. He has fantastic
hands and great mobility, however it is unclear if he could add the
25-30lbs needed to compete physically in the pro ranks. A high-risk pick
with a lot of upside, however presently it looks like Olver projects to be
the next Brad Leeb, with a future of tearing up the AHL
Ryan Garlock makes for a nifty 4th round pickup for Dykes. Not a
future superstar, Garlocks’ willingness to play in traffic and his
terrific skating will make him a can’t-miss pro, however likely more as
a 2nd/3rd line energy player in the mold of Dean McAmmond. Garlock
shouldn’t be confused with a top-scorer – while he was almost at a
1PPG rate in the OHL, much of it had to do with playing on the wing of
junior scorer Martin St.Pierre. Good catch late in the draft
Brandon Prust
was eligible for the 2003 draft, but went undrafted after an uneventful
season with the London Knights. A year later, he entered the OHL playoffs
as the team’s 3rd line C and had a massive playoff, racking up 20pts and
a 20 rating in 15 games. Prust was one of the main reasons for Robbie
Schremp’s icetime being cut. He showed previously unrecognized talent
and his clutch performance contributed to him getting selected by the
Flames, who are always looking for character players in draft. For the
Dykes, Prust like Chucko has the make-up of a Martin Gelins type player.
The offensive upside is not great, but there will be a consistently good
performance. Of course, FHL doesn’t reward a high propensity to show up
in the playoffs with a better rating, but still. Either way, Prust could
turn into a solid 3rd liner, or it may turn-out that last year’s OHL
playoffs was his career moment
Overall verdict:
C – Auto-drafted and was unfortunate to end up mostly with players that
were arguably reaches in the NHL draft
Epidemic
40.) Patrick Eaves, C (Senators,
#29, 2003)
Patrick Eaves
was “That other guy that was a holdover from 2003”, whose name half
the GMs were trying frantically to remember after Bernier went 30th.
Bryce, true to form, went for a more developed prospect. Eaves is a great
pickup, who despite injury and disciplinary problems made it into the
first round in the deep 2003 draft. He has since had a very solid year at
Boston College, playing on a line with brother Ben (Pens) and Flyers
prospect Tony Voce. Eaves has drawn comparisons to Mike Peca for his
strong 2-way play and his all out physical style. He is an excellent pick
that will at the very least be a solid 3rd liner, but who has hands good
enough to be a top6 forward
Overall verdict: B – Only one pick can never get a higher grade than
slightly above average – that said, Bryce made his pick count by nabbing
an exciting prospect
Hyacks
7.) John-Michael Liles, D (Avalanche, #159, 2000)
11.) Wojtek Wolski, LW (Avalanche, #21, 2004)
24.) Andrej Meszaros, D (Senators, #23, 2004)
31.) Cory Schneider, G (Canucks, #26, 2004)
62.) James Wisniewski (Black Hawks, #154, 2002)
Best pick:
Andrej Meszaros
Worst pick: John-Michael Liles
I’ll go out on a limb here and call JM
Liles the worst pick of the draft! There were a lot of GMs eyeing
Liles and arguably Ken got a steal due to this, however with the 7th
overall pick you simply want an impact player. Liles’ maximum upside is
that of Brian Rafalski – while the latter is a nice #3 d-man, Liles will
strictly be a PP quarterback with limited ice-time. The downside, however,
is that of a marginal NHLer. Liles was clearly the #6 d-man for the Avs
last season, with ~16 min/gm ice-time. He didn’t see any SH time during
the whole season, however, which is a strong indication of how far his
defensive game has to develop before being a solid d-man. Also,
considering Hyacks’ lack of goalie pipe-line, Montoya, Schwarz or even
Dubnyk would’ve been an excellent choice
Ken got right back with a great #11 pick – Wojtek Wolski’s
stock was high going into the draft, however a DUI incident prior to the
draft lowered his stock somewhat. Wolski has a very high ceiling and will
likely end up being the better of Hyacks 2 first-rounders. Wolski has
fantastic mobility and is a consistently hard-working player with above
average offensive upside. Scouts have been claiming that his offensive
game is developing and should be better, however he managed to pot 70pts
in 66 games last season in the OHL, despite being on the average Brampton
team. Wolski could end up anywhere between top3 and top6 forward with
significant PP time, however he is one of the most exciting offensive
prospects in the draft beyond the top 2. Wolski is still a strictly a
skills player, however there are signs that he is developing a physical
game and filling out his 6’3 frame, he could develop into a power
forward down the line
Ken scored a potential home-run with his 3rd pick in the draft. Andrej
Meszaros is more mature than many of the other 2004 draftees after
having already spent 2 season in the Slovak first league. He is one of the
slickest skaters in the draft and has solid skills at both ends of the
ice. Blessed with good vision, Andrej is a great passer and will be
running the Sens’ PP soon. Defensively, Meszaros still has some ways to
go, as he shies away from the rough going and has some issues with
positioning. All things considered, Meszaros could be the most complete
d-man in the draft
By taking Cory Schneider who was ranked as the 4th best goalie
going into the draft, Ken made sure to stock his pool of goalie prospects
as well. A solid pick, Schneider is a good prospect, though likely far,
far away from NHL duty. Schneider has only played at high school level,
and while undeniably talented, it remains to be seen if he can perform at
the next level. Schneider’s strength is solid fundamentals, with good
positioning and poise. Cory has signed up for Boston College, however will
be in the USHL for another year, thus it is unlikely that he’ll be
anywhere near an appearance in the NHL in the next 5 years
What can I say – Ken picked JM Liles twice!!! Seriously, though, there
is a lot about James Wisniewski that reminds one about Liles.
Undersized at 5’11/200lbs, he is nevertheless a smooth skating d-man
with impressive offensive skills. Last years OHL defenseman of the year,
Wisniewski is destined for the NHL if he can overcome his 2 key
deficiencies – ability to handle the physical play and a need to improve
his overall defensive game. As opposed to Liles, however, Wisniewski has
shown a willingness to muck it up and that should go along way to ensuring
he finds a place on a NHL roster. As much as I believe that Liles was a
bad pick at 7 – this is a fantastic pick at 62
Overall verdict:
B – Two likely impact players in Meszaros and Wolski and some wildcards.
Still, 7 & 11 is picking very early and maybe more could have been
done. Schneider and Wisniewski are both somewhat of boom-or-bust, but both
have enough upside for this to potentially turn into one of the best
drafts this year down the line. Ken only had 2 picks coming into the
draft, and considering that the result was impressive as Mike Johnson was
the only real commodity he gave up
Ice Dogs
14.) Ladislav Smid, D (Mighty Ducks, #9, 2004)
34.) Jim Vandermeer, D (Black Hawks, undrafted free agent)
47.) Milan Jurcina, D (Bruins, #241, 2001)
58.) David Shantz, G (Panthers, #37, 2004)
Best pick: Ladislav Smid
Worst pick: Jim Vandermeer
Bet you that Angus aka Chris K was
pleased when Ladislav Smid fell to him at 14 – it appeared as if
the Dogs were looking for a stud D prospect going into the draft, and Smid
certainly fit the bill. There was a lot of discussion about who was the
2nd best defensive prospect in the draft after Barker. While Ken’s take
was Liles, most of the NHL GMs tended to favour either of Smid or Thelen.
Smid has certainly produced the goods, though his performance in
international competition has been erratic. Showed an excellent game in
the WJC18, but disappointed thoroughly in the WJC20. Smid is big, has
excellent mobility and a very hard slapshot. His offensive skills have
drawn some comparison to Sandis Ozolinsh, however his defensive game is
often underrated, especially his solid positioning. Smid has played a lot
in the Czech Extra-liga and appears to be relatively NHL ready compared to
many other prospects
Chris continued the defense first trend by selecting tough guy Jim
Vandermeer with the #34 pick. A tad high for a player of limited
upside, Vandermeer surprised everyone with an extremely solid season last
year split between Flyers and Hawks. Vandermeer is your classic #4-#5 guy
– tough as nails, not afraid to drop the gloves, very solid in the
defensive zone. He has shown some offensive flair last season, but will
never be confused with an offensive d-man. Absolute upside is a less
talented version of Eric Brewer, however most likely Vandermeer will
become a dependable Steve Staios-type of guy
Milan Jurcina
was picked #47… or so it was sort of announced by Commish Fountain. The
pick was allegedly supposed to have been a young goalie… however after
Bryce put his spin of it, helped out by 10 GMs that tried to decipher the
odd words Bryce seemed to remember, the Ice Dogs finally settled on this
mammoth d-man. Jurcina is a classic sunshine story – a very late pick in
2001, the hulking Slovak has settled in nicely in the US. Standing
6’4/235lbs and not afraid to use his size, Jurcina is a very solid
defensive d-man that also has a very hard, if not very accurate shot.
Milan can still work on his physical game; however he has the potential to
at the very least be a much larger version of Jim Vandermeer
IceDogs ended the draft with a potential steal – early 2nd round draft
pick David Shantz was in free fall in the CNGHL draft and landed 21
spots later. Shantz stole the starters job in Mississauga as an OHL rookie
and played a throughout solid game. Has fantastic reflexes and good
agility and showed poise and nerves in the playoffs, despite his young
age. Shantz stock was rising throughout the draft year and would likely
have been a solid first round pick if he had received more hype in the
early season
Overall verdict: B – Smid is a good pick, and all 4 picks are likely
to make it into the NHL. Outside of Smid, however, Shantz is likely the
only potential impact player. Shantz might actually turn out to be the
best pick of the lot, however since goalies are so hard to project, Smid
gets the nod for this recognition. Vandermeer is the only pick that feels
like a bit of a reach – while he had a solid season, it still appears
that his skating and skills set is too limited for him to be any more than
a good depth d-man. Few teams would give him the kind of ice-time he got
with the Hawks, and it’s likely that he sees his role cut back the next
two years as Hawks prospects like Babchuck, Barker and Seabrook claim
spots in the line-up
Irish
18.) Alexandre Picard, LW (Blue Jackets, #8, 2004)
20.) A.J. Thelen, D (Wild, #12, 2004)
22.) Devan Dubnyk, G (Oilers, #14, 2004)
28.) Lukas Kaspar, RW (Sharks, #22,2004)
38.) Mark Fristic, D (Stars, #28, 2004)
42.) Andy Rogers, D (Lightning, #30, 2004)
81.) Nicklas Grossman, D (Stars, #56, 2004)
100.) Andrej Sekera, D (Sabres, #71, 2004)
104.) Scott Lehman, D (Thrashers, #86, 2004)
108.) Shawn Weller, LW (Senators, #77, 2004)
Best pick: Tied between Thelen & Picard
Worst pick: Andy Rogers
Irish may just have pulled off the best auto-pick ever – there is little
doubt that the result of the team’s season 6 draft is a success. OK, so
the team had 4 picks between 18 and 28 – but getting 6 NHL first-rounders
in one draft is impressive. At 18, the Irish picked QMJHL sniper Alexandre
Picard, one of those NHL first rounders that inexplicably fell 10
spots. When evaluating Picard, I can’t help thinking of Simon Gagne
about 4 years ago. Except for both being French-Canadian and playing in
the QMJHL, they are both speedy LWs with a knack for goal-scoring and that
work hard in both ends. Picard could likely develop into a similar type
player and it would not be far fetched to see him as at least a 30gls,
60pts player. Picard is one of the purest goal-scorers in the draft and he
is a real steal at 18
A.J. Thelen
was the third d-man selected in the NHL draft, but fell deep and also
ended up in Cory’s clutches. Probably the best offensive d-man in the
draft outside of Barker, Thelen has excellent mobility and skating
strength. His offensive game is overall very good, with a hard and
accurate slap shot and accurate passing. He also has the size and physical
game to be a dominant force in his own end, however needs further work on
his positional game. Thelen is one of few d-men in the draft that has true
top2 potential, though he is less of a certain thing to put his game
together. At this point, though, Thelen is all promise and a great pickup
at 20
Kamloops Blazer’s net-minder Devan Dubnyk was perhaps somewhat
surprisingly chosen second amongst goalies in the NHL draft. Dubnyk
differs from the other top goalies in the draft in that he only has
average reflexes and movement, areas where Schwarz and Montoya shine.
Dubnyk’s best asset is his size – at 6’5, he takes away a lot of the
net even when he goes down. Coupled with good positional play and solid
understanding of the game, Dubnyk appears heading for a Kolzig like
career. That is, if he can get past fellow Oilers prospect Jeff
Deslauriers to claim the starters job. Very solid pick – Dubnyk has all
the fundamentals to at the very least become a dependable backup, however
chances are good that he’ll develop into a dependable starter
Lukas Kaspar was somewhat of a wild-card heading into the draft –
undoubtedly one of the more offensively gifted players available, he is
also very one-dimensional and not very physical, which are two traits that
see many prospects fall. Frequently compared to countrymen Sykora and
Elias, Kaspar is a pure sniper who has equally strong slap- and
wrist-shots. Couple this with very shifty, quick skating and you have an
offensive threat. Kaspar also has NHL size will likely mature into a top6
forward down the line. He chose Ottawa 67’s of the OHL for the upcoming
season instead of remaining in the Czech Extraleague, which indicates
willingness to work to get into the NHL
Mark Fistric was Irish 5th pick, and the 5th NHL first rounder. Fistric is
a typical Stars’ pick – he reminds very much of former Star Richard
Matvichuk in style and play. Fistric is a great body checker and primarily
a defensive player. Not afraid to drop the gloves, Fistric will
effectively clear players in front and normally wins battles along the
boards. Prone to some mistakes when getting himself out of position to
make hits, Fistric still is very likely to develop into a dependable #4/#5
guy in the mold Hal Gill or Murray Baron. It is at this time unclear how
high Fistric’s upside is, however he is a very safe pick as far as NHL
upside goes. It remains to be seen whether he can develop an offensive
game to boost, but he does have a hard slapshot
Irish got another 2004 first-rounder in hulking d-man Andy Rogers.
Highly touted by many scouts going into the draft, I still cannot help to
think that Rogers went at least a round to early. Rogers is huge and will
be tough to play one he fills out his 6’5 frame. He also has terrific
mobility for a guy his size and relishes playing a physical game. Like
with Fistric, though, it appears that there is limited high end upside
with Rogers – his fundamentals more or less guarantee him a place on an
NHL team eventually, however it will likely be on the third pairing and on
the PK
Irish got on the board again at 81, with their 4th d-man of the draft. Niklas
Grossman was somewhat surprisingly the 4th Swede selected in the NHL
draft. If it wasn’t for the Irish auto-drafting, you could see something
of a theme here, as Grossman is big (6’4) though lanky and has virtually
no offensive upside at all. He is dependable in his own zone and will
likely be a #5/#6 stay-at-home d-man, though he has considerably less
upside than either of Rogers or Fistric
Irish proceeded to select Slovak D-man Andrej Sekera with the #100
pick. If not for the strong showing with the early picks, Sekera
would’ve been the teams’ best pick. Frequently compared to Mesaroz,
Sekeras skills set is not as flashy but certainly very effective. Sekera
is very all-round and is dependable in the defensive zone, while
possessing intriguing offensive upside, both as a gifted passer and with
his good shot. Sekera could be a future PP quarterback, but also is
willing and able on the physical side (despite an average frame) – look
for Sekera to settle as a #3/#4 all-round d-man if he can put his talent
together. Sekera has also joined the OHL and Owen-Sound Attack for the
upcoming season, rather than playing in the Czech Extraliga, where
ice-time is scarce with the invasion of NHL players
Scott Lehman
was the sixth d-man selected by the Irish. Again, it’s a potential
future 2-way player, whose offensive game is what you primarily notice.
Lehman is a strong skater and is above-average in most facets of the game,
without being overly impressive. His main area of work is adding strength
– both to his skating and to his upper body, since he has problems with
larger forwards already in juniors. Thrashers apparently had him ranked
around 50th overall, which gives some indication of the upside
Finally, Shawn Weller was the Irish last pick at 108. To sum him up
in two words: Tyson Nash. Well, he might have better offensive upside, but
you get the picture. Weller is a super pest, with a strong physical game
who goes into all those areas that some soft Euros won’t go. He will
likely never be a premier scorer, but will contribute with garbage goals
and forced turnovers. Weller’s upside is hard to judge, since the
highest level of play for him so far is the EJHL, however he has been
invited to the US WJC18 evaluation camp
Overall verdict:
A- – As absurd as it may sound, Cory couldn’t have done a much better
job if he’d been there. Picard, Thelen, Kaspar, Dubnyk and Sekera are
excellent picks. The picks on Rogers and Grossman arguably could’ve been
used better, however walking away from the draft with these players will
further strengthen one of the league’s strongest teams
Jazz
15.) Kyle Chipchura, C (Canadiens, #18, 2004)
35.) Johannes Salmonsson, C (Penguins, #31, 2004)
Jazz went into the draft with a lot of picks, but opted to move the late
picks for help now, picking up youngster Juraj Kolnik for 4 picks in the
5th round. As things stand, Patrick picked up two highly touted prospects
through the first two rounds. Jazz’s first selection was Prince Albert
Raiders’ center Kyle Chipchura. Standing 6’3, Chipchura could
be a future power forward and he was ranked 4th amongst North American
skaters going into the draft. He fell lower than expected, potentially due
to injuries and questions about his consistency. Chipchura is a truly
dominant player when he is on his game. He has the physical game to
intimidate and soft hands – what sets him apart from players like Ladd
and Picard is the potential for him to be a complete player like a
Bertuzzi or Thornton. On the other hand, it remains to be seen if
Chipchura can raise his lower ceiling performance-wise
As opposed to Chipchura, Jazz then went out and drafted a pure
skills-player. Swedish pivot Johannes Salmonson will never dominate
any game physically, but he can turn most players inside-out with slick
stick handling moves. Having seen Salmonson a lot last year in Sweden
(when he unfortunately was injured a lot), he is always one of the hardest
workers on the ice and has very strong skating. His finishing skills are
good, but he needs to play more in traffic to get in better scoring
position. Salmonson has all the tools to turn into a good 2nd line scoring
C, though he needs to add approximately 30lbs to his quite skinny frame to
cope with the more physical game in North America
Overall verdict:
B – Chipchura is a risky pick – he could be a great player, but with
Picard and Montoya available it could turn out a risky move. All the same,
both picks will likely be impact players and Patrick should be satisfied
with re-stocking a rather weak C-position for Jazz
KumQuats
16.) Alexander Radulov, RW (Predators, #15, 2004)
56.) Denis Parshin, LW (Avalanche, #72, 2004)
63.) Martins Karsums, RW (Bruins, #64, 2004)
68.) Viktor Alexandrov, RW (Blues, #83, 2004)
74.) Sami Lepisto, D (Capitals, #66, 2004)
Best pick: Alexander Radulov
Worst pick: Denis Parshin
Q kicked off by picking Russian blue-chipper Alexander Radulov in
the first round. The young Russian is one of the most out-right talented
players in the draft, with extremely high ceiling as far as offensive
skills go. Radulov compared favorably to Evgeny Malkin in the WJC18 and
could definitely develop into an offensive threat similar to Zherdev. That
said, there are enough question marks to Radulov to make him a high-risk
proposition. He is a physical non-factor, an outright liability in his own
zone and has shown very questionable work ethic and willingness to
improve, which saw him demoted to the Russian Junior league last year. He
has now left Russia to play with the Quebec Remparts in the QMJHL – look
for Radulov to easily surpass the 100 point-mark before going onto playing
in the pros
Denis Parshin
was the next pick in this very Russian draft for the KumQuats. Parshin is
a huge question mark to say the least. As talented as anyone, the
diminutive Russian stands 5’8/160lbs and doesn’t stand out in skating.
He has good vision and hands, but at this point neither seems to have the
strength, speed or meanness to be more than a fringe player at NHL level.
He is also not so talented, as to be a significant PP producer. It appears
unlikely that Parshin will make the NHL at this point. Interestingly,
reputed Russian scouts indicated that he’d likely be available in the
7th round. Be as it may, Parshin is a considerable reach at 56, picked 16
spots higher than in the NHL draft, and if he develops into a star, I’ll
be the first to call Q a genius
Next up, the veggies picked Latvian sniper Martins Karsums. Another
diminutive sniper, Karsums stands 5’10, but with a very stocky build.
Karsums is a fierce competitor that always works hardest on the ice.
Though smallish, he plays very physical and at high speed. Martins also
possesses good finishing skills and above-average vision. His size and
skills may not be enough for him to develop into a first line scorer,
however he is very likely a future 2nd liner that contributes on the
special teams. There is very limited downside to this pick, as his strong
physical game will also make him a welcome addition on any checking line,
should his finishing skills not develop to potential. A fair comparison to
Karsums is Kings’ prospect Petr Kanko, who like Karsums is a smallish
sparkplug player with above average finishing skills
The trend with smallish Russians was continued with Viktor Alexandrov,
a 5’11 RW from Metallurg Magnitogorsk. Viktor has played solid offense
in the Russian Super League, but has mysteriously been lacking from all
national teams throughout the last three season, despite having more
experience from Russian pro competition than many of his age group. This
has prompted rumors that Alexandrov is really older than indicated, which
would also indicate that his room to develop further is more limited. Be
as it may, Alexandrov has put up decent numbers in the RSL and relies
heavily on his good foot speed and soft hands. He is equally a set-up man
and a finisher and could very well develop into a Vyacheslav Kozlov type
of player with some seasoning. Alexandrov has also bulked up significantly
the last season, adding about 25lbs of weight (to 180lbs) which is
encouraging. He is by no means a soft player, but still lacks strength to
back a physical game. He is a reach compared to the NHL draft, but went
late in parts due to being under scouted as he appeared in no
international competition
Sami Lepisto was Q’s last pick – the young Finnish rearguard was
nabbed by the rebuilding Capitals team for which he has an excellent
chance of playing within 3 years. Lepisto went undrafted in 2003, but was
a stand-out as the best Finnish d-man in the WJC20, which propelled him up
the rankings as he re-entered the draft in 2004. Lepisto’s main strength
is his offensive game – he has a very hard point-shot and is very
confident running the PP. He is by no means a bad defensive player, but
his main area of development is in the defensive game. He also needs to
fill out his lanky frame quite considerably, but could well develop into a
#3/#4 two-way d-man down the line
Overall verdict:
B – Q went for a high risk strategy and consistently picked players with
a very high ceiling… however, many of them are classic boom-or-bust
propositions. Parshin and Alexandrov were also considerable reaches
compared to the NHL draft. Even so, in a 20-team league it doesn’t pay
off to draft sure-fire 3rd liners and this draft could definitely yield 2
or 3 impact players with a bit of luck
Lakers
21.) Drew Stafford, RW (Sabres, #13, 2004)
45.) Johan Fransson, D (Stars, #34, 2004)
51.) Logan Stephenson, D (Coyotes, #35, 2004)
60.) Jordan Smith, D (Mighty Ducks, #39, 2004)
78.) Dane Byers, LW (Rangers, #48, 2004)
102.) Kyle Klubertanz, D (Mighty Ducks, #74, 2004)
Best Pick: Drew Stafford
Worst Pick: Dane Byers
The Lakers were still the Royals at the time of draft and resigned to the
randomness of auto-picking. Even so, there were certainly some positive
signs on draft day, despite the team not picking until the start of the
2nd round. Lakers began by picking all-round winger Drew Stafford,
who was picked at 13 by Buffalo in the NHL draft. Stafford is in many ways
a typical Sabres pick – he’ll never be confused with a star talent,
but he does everything well and brings his A-game every night. Stafford is
big, and his skating is one of his core strengths. He plays a very smart
game at both ends of the ice and is a tireless worker on both fore- and
back-check. He isn’t immediately noticed for his skills, however
possesses above average hands and vision and could conceivably be a great
2nd liner that plays in all game situations. An ample comparison could be
that of Sharks’ Marco Sturm, however bigger and grittier. Stafford
enters his second year at U. of North Dakota this season and could remain
for another 3, however he is reasonably pro-ready at this point and it
wouldn’t be a big surprise to see him turn pro for the 2005/06 season
Swedish D-man Johan Fransson was the next new Laker. Forecasted to
be a first-rounder, Fransson slipped some on draft day. Johan is primarily
seen as an offensive force – he is very mobile, has a good point shot
and a very strong transition game. The knock is his limitations in size
and a perceived weakness in his own zone. The fact, however, is that too
much of this is based on his small stature. Fransson plays much bigger
than his size, and while he needs to add significant bulk to become
effective at clearing the crease, he still exhibits a developing physical
game. Also, he did lead Luleå of the Swedish Elite League in /- as a
rookie last season, which does give some indication that his defensive
game is better than advertised. He certainly doesn’t show any weakness
in that respect on the ice, with exception of a few occasional mental
errors that are to be expected from a rookie. Fransson has an above
average chance of becoming a top4 d-man in the NHL, with a game resembling
fellow Swedes Tärnström and Hävelid (though likely not as massive
offensive upside as the former)
With Logan Stephenson, what you see is what you get! Logan – who
by no means is a flashy player - has managed 17 pts in 130 WHL games,
despite spending quite some time on the PP – this says a bit about the
(lack of) offensive upside. With that out of the way, what remains? Well,
Stephenson is one of the best hitters in the whole draft class – he is
like a freight train that moves everything in his way. He can be downright
mean, but most of the time is clean. Stephenson’s upside is that of a #4
primarily defensive d-man, in the mould of Murray Baron – he will be
solid and only spectacular with his hitting, but he likely won’t be an
impact player
Jordan Smith
was ranked 51st amongst North American skaters going into the draft, thus
arguably he was a reach in the NHL draft that carried over into the
Lakers’ auto-picking. He is however a very solid pick in his own right.
Smith has much the same skills-set as Stephenson, though one of his best
assets is his great skating. This, a tough as nails physical game, and
decent offensive skills make him a very safe bet to one day become a
successful pro. Various publications have compared Smith to players like
Adam Foote and Bryan Marchment – while these are lofty comparisons, they
are valid in that Smith is the type of player that teams always have room
for and fill important roles. While he arguably has more value in the NHL
than the FHL with the intangibles he brings, Smith is still a good pickup
at 60.
Dane Byers
is the prototypical “auto-picking gone wrong” pick. He also happens to
be a Rangers draft pick, which might be more than a coincidence. Be as it
may, Byers can in so many words be described as a somewhat bigger Jamal
Myers, but better at fighting. He is clearly better than most enforcers at
actually playing the game, but doesn’t have enough upside in any one
area to merit more than consideration for a 3rd line role in the future.
He has above average mobility and thrives with the physical game, but will
never, ever be an impact player at the pro-level. This is a clear waste of
a 2nd round pick (in the case of Rags)
The final Lakers pick is Kyle Klubertanz, who if nothing else has
the coolest name in the draft going for him (Tanz = Dance in German)…
Klubertanz is a bit of an unknown entity at this point – out of the USHL,
he has yet to face strong competition but he will go to the University of
Wisconsin this fall. Klubertanz is a puckmoving d-man, whose offensive
skills is what stand out. He plays a somewhat chippy game, but is likely
to small to be a major physical presence in the pros. Look for Klubertanz
to become an allround, lower-end rotation d-man at best.
Overall verdict:
B- - not great by any stretch, but then the picks were neither early nor
plentiful. Stafford is a great pickup and both Fransson and Smith should
be solid NHLers. None of the players picked are projected to be top-line
players, however
Los Muertos
44.) Chris Bourque, D (Capitals, #33, 2004)
64.) Grant Lewis, D (Thrashers, #40, 2004)
67.) Michael Funk, D (Sabres, #43, 2004)
84.) Alex Goligoski D (Penguins, #61, 2004)
Best pick:
Grant Lewis
Worst pick: Alex Goligoski
LosMuertos auto-drafted – this landed them Chris Bourque with
their first pick. When – ever – is a 5’7/160lbs d-man a good choice
for the team? Umm…ehhh…well…? I think that, in essence is the issue
with Bourque. He has fantastic bloodlines and ability to spare, but the
main question mark if he can overcome his size deficit. There are several
examples of d-men doing that, like Rafalski and Bergeron, but they are not
THAT small. So what about Bourque? Well, like his old man, he is
well-rounded without any significant weaknesses. He has the same drive to
win and plays very physical game. I would love for him to clean up in the
NHL, but my money is on Chris being a hall-of-fame AHLer
In an all-defense draft, the Mexicans proceeded to select Dartmouth
College’s Grant Lewis, who had a somewhat surprising freshman
season. He was one of their dominant players on defense as freshman and
shot up the rankings to an early 2nd round selection despite being off the
radar at the beginning of the season. Lewis is big and a very good skater.
He is primarily an offensive d-man, though he shows signs of maturing into
a solid two-way player. He has very good outlet passes and plays a smart
positional game. If his current development trajectory continues, you
could see him in the pro-ranks within 3 years. A real steal at 64!
The next d-man selected by LosMuertos was Michael Funk, a prospect
were the package very far from equals the sum of the parts. There is a lot
to like with Funk – he stands 6’4 and could turn into a massive
player. His skating is top notch and he displays a good understanding of
the game in both zones. The problem so far is in the execution. Funk does
not display a willingness to use his wide body and has been prone to
mental errors, especially when being put under pressure. Some scouts see
him as a “poor man’s” version of Portland team mate Braydon Coburn,
however with significant development need. Funk has the upside to
definitely become a top4 d-man, however it remains to be seen if he can
improve on his consistency
The last d-man into the desert is Alex Goligoski, who potentially
has the most ridiculous name of the draft. Goligoski is at this point a
lot of promise, but of which not much is proven. He will go to University
of Minnesota this fall, a school that has a highly regarded Hockey
program. This and the raw skills set Goligoski possesses are two
encouraging factors. He plays style wise a lot like fellow (ex-) Gopher
Keith Ballard, though his ceiling is not that high. Golisgoski’s main
strength is the offensive game, he is a very adept PP quarterback and has
good on-ice vision. His main areas of improvement is strength and mobility
– at 5’11 and slight build, he won’t outmuscle opposing players. Add
to this the fact that his footspeed is only average, and you have two key
obstacles that Alex needs to overcome to thrive in the pros. There is
plenty of upside, but likely Goligoski will be in the lower d-rotation of
a team and will see some time on the PP
Overall verdict:
C – Another team auto-drafted and ended up with a less than impressive
result. Granted, the team’s fist pick was in round 3 and Lewis is a
great pickup, but all other picks have significant question marks as to
their ability to make it to the pros. At 44, prospects like Voloshenko, Söderberg
and Sindel were still on the board
Psychos
27.) Travis Zajac, C (Devils, #20, 2004)
39.) Justin Peters, G (Hurricanes, #38, 2004)
70.) Roman Tesliuk, D (Oilers, #44, 2004)
77.) Blake Comeau, RW (Islanders, #47, 2004)
82.) Geoff Paukovich, LW (Oilers, #57, 2004)
Best Pick: Travis Zajac
Worst Pick: Blake Comeau
Psychos are known for picking a lot of overaged players, however this time
around Dylan stuck to the 2004 draft. Dylan moved the 11th and 24th picks
to Hyacks in two separate deals, but still ended up with a potential steal
in the second round with Travis Zajac, the young C selected in the
first round by the Debbies. Zajac tore up JR A in scoring last year and
will attend University of North Dakota this fall, where he will likely
play 2nd line C behind fellow Devil Zach Parise. The two prospects share
many of the same traits. Zajac is a real offensive threat, with especially
impressive skating and stick-handling. He also displays good finishing
skills and a desire to win, which makes him stand-out compared to players
like for instance Robbie Schremp. Zajac is an absolute steal at 27
Psychos continued their draft by dipping into the goaltending pool.
Tornoto St. Michaels’s Justin Peters was selected with the 39th
pick, despite several interesting prospects being left of the board. Most
notably, Dylan chose Peters over David Shantz, who was widely considered a
more highly touted G prospect going into the draft. Peters is a very solid
prospect in his own right, though. He is tall and takes away a lot of the
net for shooters. Primarily a positional goalie, Peters doesn’t possess
top end reflexes but makes up for it with a solid technical game. Two
areas of issue have been conditioning and rebound control – at
6’/205lbs he is not in the best shape and this has been noted as a
concern by agents. As far as rebounds go, Peters has been prone to let big
rebounds get away, most notably in some deciding moments in last years OHL
playoffs. On the bright side, Peters shows very good consistency for such
a young prospect and his size and positional game combine for very solid
fundamentals
At 70, Psychos got a potential steal in d-man Roman Tesliuk. Touted
by many as a potential surprise first rounder, Tesliuk fell to the middle
of the 2nd round in the NHL draft. He is one of the best pure skaters in
the draft, both forward and backwards, and has the potential to develop
into a very solid 2-way d-man. Most scouts see high offensive potential in
him, yet he has so far put up rather disappointing offensive numbers in
the WHL. Still, he has all the tools to become a strong contributor on
special teams and a top4 d-man.
Blake Comeau ended up the 4th player going to Spuzzum, and he is a
real headscratcher. The positives is that he is a player with limited
upside, since his work ethic and willingness to mix things up will likely
guarantee him a spot on a pro-team. The question, however, is where his
upside lies. Comeau does possess a good shot and displays a willingness to
go to the net, however his numbers so far in juniors have been rather
disappointing and he doesn’t seem to have the elite skills set that
second-rounders normally have. At this point, absolute upside for Comeau
would be to become a Ruslan Fedotenko type versatile 20 gls, 45 pts
player, however most likely he will be a 4th line grinder that isn’t
afraid to mix it up and that can eat up playing time on other lines in
cases of injury without being a liability
The final pick of Dylan’s was hulking centre Geoff Paukovich, a
player that so far has only played for the US NDP team and will begin a
collegiate career this fall. Paukovich will likely never be a scoring line
player, though he does possess promising offensive skills, but is likely
more of a 3rd line 2-way player that could contribute on both special
teams. He has a solid all-round skills set, including good size and above
average skating. He plays an effective game and has decent hands, though
appears to lack top-end skills in any one area. Paukovich is likened to
many players, amongst them Keith Primeau, and it is quite likely that he
will go on to have a pro-career, albeit likely not as an impact player
Overall verdict:
B – mixed bag… Zajac and Tesliuk are great picks whereas Paukovich and
especially Comeau are so-so. Peters falls in between, though he could
definitely become an impact player. Bottom line, though, is that getting
Zajac when your first pick is at 27 is a pretty good result
Savages
3.) Cam Barker, D (Black Hawks,
#3, 2004)
23.) Petteri Nokelainen, C (Islanders, #16, 2004)
66.) Bryan Bickell, LW (Black Hawks, #41, 2004)
86.) Mark Tobin, LW (Lightning, #65, 2004)
89.) Nick Johnson, RW (Penguins, #67, 2004)
Best Pick: Cam Barker
Worst Pick: Mark Tobin
Savages started of by nabbing Cam Barker, a player that could with
time develop into a franchise player. Barker is often compared to Jay
Bouwmeester, due to having both played for the Medicine Hat Tigers and
exhibiting much the same style of game. While that is a lofty comparison,
Barker certainly has the potential to become a top2 d-man. Like JBo,
Barker’s primary strengths lie in skating, vision and the offensive
game. He is big and plays a sound positional game, however he is hesitant
to use his size and prefers to stick poke his opponents rather than taking
the body. Barker was the best player available at #3 and was the right
choice
Petteri Nokelainen
saw his stock rise for most of the year, after a strong showing at the
WJC18. It has been debated how whether Tukonens high pre-draft ranking
(potential top5) was due to the support from Nokelainen/Korpikoski, or
whether Tukonen made his lines mates look better than they are. Be as it
may, Nokelainen is one of the safest picks of this years top30, however
also has less upside than most of his peers. Nokelainen is somewhere
between solid 2nd line C and 3rd line C in potential. He plays a style
that reminds of countryman Jere Lehtinen, but more physical and with less
finishing skills. Nokelainen could definitely be a strong 2-way presence,
however will be unlikely to ever break the 50 pts barrier in the NHL
Hawk’s prospect Bryan Bickell was next at 66. Bickell has
frequently been compared to current Hawk Mark Bell as far as style of game
goes. He is a rugged winger that takes the body and doesn’t mind
dropping the gloves, however he also possesses above average offensive
instincts. He has yet to put his skills together on a consistent basis,
however has the potential to become an impact player. Questions abound
about his desire and work ethic, as he has notably been floating a lot in
games, which shows up on the score sheet in the form of extreme
streakiness
Mark Tobin
is a hardworking player who has value on the fore check and along the
boards due to his willingness to fight for the puck and his deceptive
speed. He has average hands and vision, though, and is unlikely to
contribute significantly at the pro-level. There is likely a better than
average risk he doesn’t make the NHL and if, only in a marginal capacity
Finally, Nick Johnson is a scoring winger out of Canadian Junior A
Hockey. Last year’s Player of the Year, Johnson is enrolling at
Dartmouth College this fall to try his game at the next level. Johnson has
good hands and vision, however only average size and skating which may
hold him back as competition hardens. He could develop into a 2nd line
scorer long-term, however he is so far a project rather than a prospect
Overall verdict: B – one homerun pick in Barker and a solid pick in
Nokelainen. Not a flashy draft, but definitely some good prospects to
build on
Seals
4.) Andrew Ladd, LW (Hurricanes, #4, 2004)
10.) Ryan Malone, LW (Penguins, #115, 1999)
49.) Carl Soderberg, C (Blues, #49, 2004)
54.) Jakub Sindel, C (Black Hawks, #54, 2004)
59.) Victor Oreskovich, RW (Avalanche, #55, 2004)
72.) Raymond Sawada, RW (Stars, #52, 2004)
73.) Mikhail Yunkov, C (Capitals, #62, 2004)
97.) Alexander Edler, D (Canucks, #91, 2004)
Best pick: Carl Söderberg
Worst pick: Victor Oreskovich
Seals were picking often and early in the Season 6 draft, and the team
kicked things off by picking up Calgary Hitmen’s budding power forward Andrew
Ladd. Ladd is arguably one of the safest picks in the top10 and should
easily make the transition to the pro-game for the Canes once the NHL
opens up again. There are no critical weaknesses to Ladd’s game, however
there is some concern that he might not possess elite upside. Ladd is a
great skater and excels at the physical game. He plays a responsible
two-way game and has above average hands and finishing skills. A fair
comparison of his potential might be Ryan Smyth – it’s unlikely that
Ladd will become more than a 70 pts performer at the pro-level, however he
will likely be an all-round player that will perform consistently and is
used on the top2 lines in all game situations
At 10, Seals were on the board again with Ryan Malone, who in many
ways is very similar to Ladd. Blessed with size, grit and great mobility,
Malone is a hard worker with good hands that plays both ends equally well
and always works hardest on the ice. Malone likely has lower offensive
upside than Ladd, but could very well be a 60pts player that provides a
good scoring presence from the 2nd line wing. With Malone and Ladd, Seals
have 2 great future wingers to build their team on. It sure helps that
Malone adds some much needed help immediately as well. Ladd is a good pick
in his own right, however it should be noted that players like Olesz,
Schwarz and Montoya were still on the board at this time, but the team
evidently chose to get more immediate help
Seals had to wait another round before they selected Carl Söderberg,
a player they had been rumoured to pick for a long time. Söderberg got
his breakthrough last season in the Swedish Elite League and is expected
to get more responsibility this season, as his Malmö Redhawks is one of
only two teams in the SEL that have declined to acquire any NHL players
for their rosters (well, except for fellow Seal Brett McLean).
Unfortunately, Söderberg has so far been relatively anonymous through 8
rounds of play. Söderberg is a big 2-way C that has put up very
impressive numbers at the junior level, however who hasn’t produced a
lot at Pro-level, mainly due to lack of ice-time. He has good finishing
skills and physical game, however his playmaking and skating needs to be
upgraded for him to take the next step. He likely hasn’t got the top end
skills to be a premier scoring pivot in the NHL, but should excel in a
role as second line C
Speedy Czech Jakub Sindel was the California Seals’ 4th pick of
the draft. Sindel arguably has the highest pure offensive upside of all
Seal’s picks, however also suffers from being a very one-dimensional
player. On the downside, he has a non-existent physical game and
significantly needs to improve his defensive game. On the upside, he is a
very slick skater that uses speed to his advantage and has extremely soft
hands with great stickhandling and finishing skills. There were rumours
that Sindel would join the WHL’s Brandon Wheat Kings for this season,
however he elected to remain in the Czech Republic. His contract ends at
the end of this season, so look for him to be in North America by the
start of 2005, vying for an NHL spot
In Victor Oreskovich, Seals picked their fifth straight forward in
the draft. Oreskovich had a somewhat disappointing year in the USHL –
going into the league as a highly touted prospect, the expectations were
that he’d be scoring more. Oreskovich is an appealing package – like
many of the other Seal’s picks he combines size, mobility and finishing
skills in a neat package. Contrary to his peers, though, Oreskovich still
needs to prove his skills at a higher level of competition, which he’ll
get an opportunity to do as he will replace the departed Rob Globke on
Notre Dame’s roster. He could become a well-rounded 2nd or 3rd line
winger, however still has a very long way to go before making the pros
Raymond Sawada is another in a string of hard-working, swift-skating
forwards that may clutter Seal’s roster some years from now. A very safe
pick, Sawada excels on the forecheck and along the boards and has decent
finishing skills. Sawada has drawn comparisons to Canuck Trevor Linden,
though likely has less scoring upside. He does share the same leadership
skills and work ethic, though, and is the type of team-player any team
could use. Long-term projection is likely as 3rd liner, though with
limited down-side
Seals then proceeded to pick a higher upside player in young Russian pivot
Mikhail Yunkov, a promising playmaker. Blessed with great on-ice
vision and good hands, Yunkov has all the tools to be a great set-up man,
but needs to significantly bulk up to have a shot at the pro level. Yunkov
has decent finishing skills as well, however prefers to pass the puck. He
has good mobility, but has showed tendencies to avoid playing in traffic.
His physical game is immature, and due to his slim build he tends to be
pushed around. Upside should be 2nd line C, though there is an above
average chance that Yunkov won’t take his game across the pond
Finally, Seals picked a defender with their last pick – Canuck Alexander
Edler rounds out their selections. Edler has transferred to Swedish
elite team Modo during the summer, though will likely see very limited ice
time due to the influx of NHL players, and it is likely that he’ll be
lent to one of the area’s Tier2 teams (Sundsvall most likely). Edler is
big and extremely mobile. Like many Europeans, he is not an all-out
physical player, but is adept at playing the body and big enough to be
effective in clearing the crease. He has an under-rated offensive game and
could develop into a 2nd pairing two-way defender down the line. While he
does need a lot of seasoning, the basics are very attractive.
Overall verdict:
B . Seals definitely helped themselves to a lot of good prospects, but the
striking thing after 8 picks – including 2 in the top10 – is that
there isn’t one player that has superstar potential in the mix. Ladd,
Malone, Söderberg and Sindel are likely all pro picks; however it is
unclear if anyone of them are likely to be a 75pts player at that level.
Considering that there’s only 20 teams in the league, more upside
could’ve been desirable.
Stalefish
19.) Boris Valabik, D (Thrashers, #10, 2004)
36.) Enver Lisin, RW (Coyotes, #50, 2004)
110.) Tomas Mojzis, D (Canucks, #246, 2001)
Best pick:
Enver Lisin
Worst pick: Boris Valabik
Stalefish started off with picking hulking blue-liner Boris Valabik.
Chris was surprised he was still there – and, considering he went 9
spots earlier in the NHL draft, with some merit. Most publications have
compared Valabik to Zdeno Chara, on account of both being enormous and
Slovak. While that comparison could have anyone salivating over Valabik, I
still think that had he been Canadian there’d been more than one person
likening him to Chris McAllister. The truth most likely is somewhere in
between, however it’d appear at this point that Valabik could very well
end up a defensive stalwart in the Paul Laus mould. Slow, nasty and
defensively sound. I think at any rate that Chara is a stretch as
comparison – if nothing else, it would appear that Valabik has a long
way to go to match the offensive output of his countryman. I believe that
both Meszaros and Thelen would’ve made better choices at this point in
the draft, however considering Stalefish’s prospect depth, a high
risk/reward prospect like Valabik may be worth taking… and just think of
Valabik and Chara on the blueline in that cute temporary gold-fish logo
Chris continued by nabbing speedball Enver Lisin, who may well turn
out to be his best pick of the draft when all is said and done. Lisin is
all wheels and hands. A poor mans’ Pavel Bure, he almost has the same
explosiveness, though maybe not quite as good finishing skills. On the
other hand, he also appears less one-dimensional and floating… Lisin
could very well turn into a 35 goals-scorer at the NHL level and will
likely be a game-breaking type of player. He would’ve gone much earlier
in an ordinary draft, however Russians generally fell due to the
uncertainty of the upcoming agreement between the NHL and the IIHF. Lisin
still needs to prove he can score in the Russian Super League, however for
now, he is a very high upside pick and definitely Stalefish’s best pick
of the draft
Tomas Mojzis
is a guy that only Canucks fans know of so far, and he is definitely a
homer pick at 110, however there is quite some upside to him. Mojzis could
very well develop into a lower-half rotation d-man with above average
offensive skills. His key strengths lie in outlet passing and a strong
positional game. Like many Czech defenders, he will never be considered a
strong physical presence, however he is reasonably effective at tying up
his man. The key areas of concern for Mojzis is his consistency and
decision making, two areas that will need considerable improvement for him
to claim a regular spot on an NHL roster. His performance in the 2004
training camp was however very promising
Overall verdict:
B - Well, the Monkey’s got three players that could all very well be
solid, however only Lisin appears to have really high upside.
Vorpal Bunnies
6.) Lauri Tukonen, RW (Kings, #11, 2004)
26.) Lauri Korpikoski, LW (Rangers, #19, 2004)
46.) Roman Voloshenko, LW (Wild, #42, 2004)
69.) Kirill Lyamin, D (Senators, #58, 2004)
85.) Adam Berti, LW (Black Hawks, #68, 2004)
92.) Zdenek Bahensky, RW (Rangers, #73, 2004)
Best pick:
Lauri Tukonen
Worst pick: Adam Berti
Lauri Tukonen
was one of the bigger reaches early in the draft, and for good reason.
Touted by many scouts as a top 5 pick, Tukonen was seen as the most
promising power-forward type prospect in the draft. He impressed early in
the WJC18, where the Finnish line of Tukonen-Korpikoski-Nokkelainen drew a
lot of attention. The early selection of his fellow countrymen also
highlights the impression they gave on the scouts. Tukonen has great
mobility and grit, much like fellow Finn Olli Jokinen. He goes to the net
hard and has great vision and offensive positioning. While he is more of a
finisher than a set-up man, Tukonen has generally good offensive skills.
He is also above average on the defensive game as a true north-south
winger. Reminds a lot of fellow Kings prospect Dustin Brown. Tukonen
should be a safe bet to develop into an elite 2nd line winger or a good
1st liner with time
Possessed with Lauris, PF went on to select Tukonen’s linesman Lauri
Korpikoski at 26. Impressed with the chemistry these two had, Peca
undoubtedly hope they can rekindle the magic in the CNGHL. Korpiskosi is a
hard-nosed winger with similar skills set to that of Tukonen. He has so
far shown somewhat less impressive offensive instinct, but for that has a
more aggressive style and a more mature defensive game. His high-end
ceiling is sometimes questioned, butfor now Korpikoski seems destined for
2nd line duty in the future
For pure offensive upside, Roman Voloshenko is a good choice. His
shooting skills are absolutely top notch and he will pay the price to
score goals, as he relishes the rough stuff – contrary to most fellow
Russians. There are however also issues to his game, most notably skating.
Roman is not fast by any means and especially lacks first step
explosiveness. He is also not very strong on his skates, which tends to
create turnovers. He reminds a lot of a less talented version of former
4th overall pick Pavel Brendl – a fantastic arsenal of shots that will
get past any goaltender, but a questionable ability to get himself into
scoring position. As opposed to Brendl, however, Voloshenko appears to
have a good work ethic and be committed to improve. With improved skating,
Voloshenko could have 2nd line potential
Kirill Lyamin is one of PF’s best picks of the draft. Primarily a
defensive d-man, Lyamin is big, strong and fiercely competitive. He hits
like a freight train but rarely is caught out of position. His game is
similar to that of fellow Russian and Sens prospect Anton Volchenkov in
many respects, though Lyamin is bigger. He has good mobility and an
under-rated offensive game – while he won’t ever be a big scoring
threat, he does have a decent first pass and a hard and accurate slap shot
that could well see him land on the 2nd PP unit in the future. Lyamin is
very likely a future top4 d-man and fell in the draft primarily due to the
current issues regarding a transfer agreement between the NHL and the
Russian Super League
A power forward that plays soft – this would be the one-liner on Adam
Berti. Not the flashiest of players, Berti is big, mobile and could be
an all-round physical presence if his heart was in it. As things stand,
his best opportunity for making the big leagues is probably as a versatile
2nd/3rd liner that plays hard and chips in with timely goals, but he is
bent on being a finesse player. His skills set, however, appear too
limited for this to work out. It remains to be seen how he develops in the
OHL this season, but Berti will need to continue working on using the body
The last Bunny this year is young Czech Zdenek Bahensky. The NHL
lock-out saw 8 NHL regulars join Bahensky’s Czech team Litvinov, which
forced Bahensky to move to the WHL, where he has had an excellent start to
the season with Saskatoon Blades. Bahensky is a skills-forward, who lives
primarily off his great skating and agility. He has good overall offensive
skills and vision and is the type of player that would need to be on a
scoring line to be effective. It is too early to say whether his skills
level is high enough to be a NHL scorer, however he could well round out
into a good 2nd liner if he can bulk up and improve his defensive game
Overall verdict:
A- - solid draft for Peca, with some gems in Tukonen and Lyamin.
Korpikoski is also a great pick, with very limited downside. It looks like
the Vorpal Bunnies will stay at the top of the league in the future as
well
Zebras
13.) Rostislav Olesz, C (Panthers, #7, 2004)
30.) Steve Bernier, RW (Sharks, #16, 2003)
33.) Cam Ward, G (Hurricanes, #25, 2002)
41.) Dave Bolland, C (Black Hawks, #32, 2004)
52.) Konstantin Zakharov, RW (Blues, #101, 2003)
76.) Dan Ellis, G (Stars, #60, 2000)
83.) Kyle Wharton, D (Blue Jackets, #59, 2004)
96.) Matt Jones, D (Coyotes, #80, 2002)
99.) Ben Eaves, C (Penguins, #131, 2001)
Best pick: Cam Ward
Worst pick: Ben Eaves
Anthony kicked off a really strong draft performance by nabbing Czech
pivot Rostislav Olesz at 13. The young Czech inexplicably fell 6
spots compared to his NHL draft position and he could turn out to be the
best pick in the first round. 3 months before the draft he was touted as a
top3 pick and was considered on par with Russian Evgeni Malkin, who later
went 2nd overall. Olesz is the total package – he has frequently been
compared to both fellow Czech prospect Milan Michalek and to rugged pivot
Bobby Holik in terms of style. Olesz game is built on strong mobility and
physical presence. He plays both ends of the rink equally well and is
likely ideally used as a 2nd line C with significant PP time in the
future. He is a good playmaker and an above average finisher, though the
only question mark is how good his offensive upside really is. Olesz
continues to ply his trade in the Czech Extraliga, however expect to see
him land in Miami within 2 years
A hold-over from last years draft, budding power forward Steve Bernier
was the Zebras next mark. Bernier was highly touted going into the 2003
draft, however has been struggling over the last season to find
consistency and to score. The draft pick the Sharks used to pick Bernier
was part of the Owen Nolan deal, and it is safe to say that San José used
it to get a replacement for the rugged winger. It is hard to project
Bernier as a first line talent given the lack of production he has seen
recently, however he could well develop into a solid 2nd line presence.
Apart from consistency, the main area Bernier needs to upgrade is skating,
as he lacks an explosive first step as well as top line speed required to
be a dangerous presence in the NHL
Cam Ward
is another hold-over, and might just be this draft’s best pick overall
at 33. Ward is a solid butterfly goalie that has very good reflexes and
agility. His main weakness is rebound control, though he usually deflects
rebounds wide rather than straight out. Ward was crowned WHL MVP as well
as CHL & WHL goaltender of the year and will play this year with
Lowell in the AHL. He would have been a safe bet to make the Hurricanes
out of camp if there had been a season. Wards upside is that of a top10
NHL goalie, though as with all goalies, he’ll likely need at least 2-3
seasons before he is pushing for a starters job
Dave Bolland is remarkable in that he managed to almost make it into
the NHL 1st round, despite weighting in at a mere 170 lbs. This in some
way is a true testament to his skills level, as he doesn’t appear to be
the type of guy that is likely to bulk up a lot. Bolland does play larger
than his physical size, though, but there is still a large question mark
as to his future ability to compete and stay healthy. Past his size then?
Well, Bolland might be one of the smartest players in the CHL. He has
excellent on-ice vision and great positioning in both zones, which helps
him get into scoring position. He has above-average skills in all areas,
without really standing out anywhere. If he can bulk up, he’ll likely
make a good 2nd liner, however chances are that he’ll end up as one of
the premier scorers in the minors
Another high-risk, high-reward pick was Blues’ winger Konstantin
Zakharov. Highly touted by many sources – HF see him as a future 1st
line talent, though the Blues site on HF just may be the most biased
scouting site there is. Zakharov is all offense – he has fantastic hands
and an arsenal of shots to try on the unsuspecting goalie. He has a high
ceiling, but for all the upside, his main accomplishment so far is potting
33 goals and 50 points in 60 games in the QMJHL, something that doesn’t
exactly ensure that he is a future impact player. He’s been a healthy
scratch for much of the early going in the AHL, however this season will
give better indication of his future potential. For now, he’s a solid
2nd line prospect
Zebras again dipped in the overager pool and nabbed Stars’ goalie
prospect Dan Ellis early in the 4th round. Ellis spent much of the
season with the Idaho Steelheads of the ECHL after bigger name prospects
Mike Smith and Jason Bacashihua got to share duties for the Utah
Grizzlies. Neither Smith nor “Cash” delivered, however, and the season
ended with Bacashihua traded to St. Louis and Ellis getting his first
taste of the NHL. Ellis has shown very good fundamentals, including great
reflexes. He is also mentally very tough and has gotten plenty of playoff
experience with the Steelheads this season. He is poised for NHL backup
duty within a season or so and will eventually compete for a starters job,
though its unclear whether his rebound control and stickhandling are good
enough to propel him into a full-time starters job
The first defender picked by the Zebras is Kyle Wharton, at 83.
Wharton is an all-round solid d-man that excels in the defensive aspects
of the game. Scouts would like to see him play more physical, but he is
very effective at steering opposing forwards into the corners without
relying on big hits. Wharton plays a smart game and is very good
positionally and in transition. He has great mobility and appears very
competitive. His offensive game is immature and somewhat underrated –
his ability to develop in this area will likely decide whether he is a
top4 or bottom4 d-man. He reminds of a somewhat larger version of Karlis
Skrastins in ability
Fighting Sioux d-man Matt Jones was the second-last Zebras pick –
Anthony again went with a overage college d-man. Jones was originally
selected by the Coyotes, but failed to really turn up on anyone’s radar
screen until last year, when he posted career highs in almost every
category. Jones is a very mobile d-man that will burn you at both ends.
His offensive game has really taken off and he will be effective as a PP
quarterback. Not overly big, Jones is still very stocky and stronger than
he appears. He is very effective in his own zone and is fearless when it
comes to blocking shots and clearing the crease. Jones is likely a future
top 4 d-man used in all game situations
Finally, Zebras picked Boston College’s captain Ben Eaves. The
less known older brother of first round pick Patrick Eaves, Ben is a
fearless competitor in the Mike Peca mould, only significantly smaller. He
will suit up with the Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins of the AHL this
season, where he’ll likely patrol the 3rd line. Eaves has solid skills,
but isn’t very likely to be an impact player at the NHL level
considering he stands 5’8/170lbs
Overall verdict:
A – spectacular! Virtually every pick was good considering time of
draft. Every pick (with the possible exception of Eaves) was made to
count. Olesz and Ward have the potential to develop into star players,
whereas Bernier, Bolland and Jones with high probability will be solid
NHLers. Then there is the wildcard Zakharov. Enough said, this was good
stuff
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