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Season 8 CNGHL Entry Draft review October 2006 - By Andreas Persson The season 8 draft has come and gone and it was certainly one of the liveliest drafts in recent CNGHL memory, buoyed by high attendance and some new and very active GMs that made a great effort. There were also quite a lot of attractive players available in the draft. The draft got off to a very active start with the Kumquats off-loading all their picks leading up to the draft, followed by a blockbuster where the Blondes acquired a new starter and the 3rd overall pick in a trade that saw Bryan Berard and Chris Osgood move to Royals and boost Royals into a credible playoff team. There were seven instances of a first rounders traded at draft day alone, and the KUM1st (10th overall) was moved three times on draft day from Kumquats via Blondes and Royals to Stalefish who used the pick to draft Petr Prucha. Looking at the drafting in retrospect, it was peculiar with several opportunities for finds. Some facts:
Several GMs made large reaches very early and the merit of those will be tested in time. As always, I’ve made a team-by-team review based on my own personal views and most of them are likely to be false. I’ve also been asked to rip into GMs more (or be less diplomatic), however take it with a grain of salt – lest I get monthly hate posts of “well, now my prospect X and Y are outperforming your stupid-ass projections”… As many know, I am a bit skeptical of drafting proven second or thirdliners early, so keep this in mind. Finally – you may notice that the Blondes team-review stands out as being very good – some would suspect I took extra care with my own team, but the reality is that this excellent piece of writing was contributed by Mike. While I aspire to write at the same level, this has me really considering outsourcing more of next year’s review to him! Let the fun begin! TEAM-BY-TEAM REVIEWMomesso Conference
Dowd DivisionVORPAL BUNNIES
13.) Jiri Tlusty (Leafs, #13, 2006) 33.) Ivan Vishnevski (Stars, #27, 2006) 49.) Tomas Kana (Blues, #31, 2006) 53.) Carl Sneep (Penguins, #32, 2006) 76.) Kaspars Daugavin (Senators, #91, 2006) 101.) Jeff Zatkoff (Kings, #74, 2006)
Best pick: Jiri Tlusty Worst pick: Carl Sneep Overall verdict: B – Solid if unspectacular picks all round PF went Czech with his first pick for the second year in a row, as budding power forward Jiri Tlusty was picked up with the 13th overall pick. Tlusty came out of nowhere in the second half of the season, where he started putting up big points in the Czech extraliga, and he crowned the season by being the best Czech player in the WJC Under-20s – despite being one of the youngest players on the team. Tlusty is a budding power forward that blends great speed with size and a physical game and could eventually develop into a player of similar skills set to Jerome Iginla. Jiri Tlusty is slated to play for the Toronto Marlies in the AHL if he doesn’t crack the Leafs pro team, however could well be sent down to juniors, where SSO Greyhounds of the OHL has his rights from the CHL import draft. My bet would be to see him in the AHL this season, with some call-ups towards the end of the season as the Leafs are thin up front The Bunnies continued picking up high-upside players with talented Russian d-man Ivan Vishnevski – a player frequently compared to Sergei Zubov. Vishnevski is all about offense – he is one of the best skaters in the draft and has an above average skills set across the board in the offensive zone. Where he needs significant work, however, is on defense. At 5’11/175lbs, Vishnevski has big problems containing larger forwards and his positioning is another area that will need work. Like many young Russians, he also exhibits spotty work ethic and is very inconsistent. Vishnevski will spend at least another season in the QMJHL, but figures to develop into a top4 d-man who runs the top PP unit. Great pick in the mid second round and possibly a higher upside player than Tlusty, however there is also a risk that Vishnevski ends up like Kirill Koltsov Continuing through the list, Peca is more and more reminding me of Anders – picking up Euros left, right and center. PF’s third pick was not an exception to this – another Czech in promising pivot Tomas Kana. From an NHL standpoint, Kana is the type of player every team needs – he can play well in any situation and while he’ll never be a very productive top line player, he’ll be a very useful member of the 2nd/3rd lines as well as a main contributor on the PK. Look for Kana to settle into a role similar to Mike Johnson or Jason Blake at best. From a FHL perspective, Kana will obviously be slightly less useful and at 49, arguably, there would’ve been higher upside choices available. Kana will play at least one more season in the top Czech league, before potentially coming over to the U.S. The Blues aren’t exactly stocked right now, so there is reason to believe that Kana will be given every chance to contribute shortly
Finally selecting an American, PF picked up hulking d-man Carl Sneep at 53. Sneep was – somewhat surprisingly – picked up in the early 2nd round in the NHL draft, after having been projected by most scouts to be a late 3rd round pick. Sneep have solid fundamentals – he is huge at 6’4/210 lbs, very mobile for his size and has overall good vision. So far, Sneep has only competed at USHL level, where due especially to superior size, he has dominated the opposition. Bound for Boston College this fall, Sneep is looking to prove himself at a higher level. Sneep will likely take 3-4 years at least before making a play for the pro-leagues and it isn’t impossible that he will look to complete his degree. He has the potential to be a primarily defensive top4 d-man, however at this point he is a project. Interesting pick and worth a flier, but should probably have been picked later in the draft Arguably the most interesting Bunnies pick came at 76, where unheralded Latvian Kaspars Daugavin was selected. The young center has everything including an unpronounceable, exotic name… Daugavins has come over to North America and will suit up for Toronto St. Michael’s Majors in the OHL for the season. Daugavins already plays an American style hockey and goes hard to the net. He is a tireless worker with great vision and playmaking skills and figures to settle in as a second line center that plays well defensively and on the PK, while still producing offensively. Look for Daugavins to be one of the go-to guys on his junior team this season and for him to be making a mark in the NHL in 2009. He is not by any means a sure thing to make the big show, but he does at least have the upside
Goalie Jeff Zatkoff was the final pick of the day for Peca at 101. Zatkoff comes off a stellar performance for the University of Ohio-Miami and was selected the team’s rookie of the year the past season. He is a very athletic goalie with strong reflexes and a quick glove hand, however needs to work on rebound control. He will be looking to claim the starters spot this year in the CCHA. Considering the goaltending pipeline in LA, with Jonathan Bernier and Jonathan Quick clearly ahead of Zatkoff, and with a number of rather young players such as Ryan Munce, Barry Brust and Adam Hauser vying for spots, Zatkoff should be considered a long-shot to make the NHL and it would be very surprising if he elects not to play out his college eligibility, before turning pro for the 2009/10 season. Picking goalies late is never bad, as their development is difficult to forecast, however I wouldn’t bet on Zatkoff being the real deal. BRAWLERS
7.) Derick Brassard (Jackets, #6, 2006) 27.) Bob Sanguinetti (Rangers, #21, 2006) 47.) Cory Emmerton (Wings, #41, 2006) 69.) Ryan White (Canadiens, #66, 2006) 70.) Alexander Vasyunov (Devils, #58, 2006) Best pick: Bob Sanguinetti – you cannot teach that vision and skating Worst pick: Ryan White – nice role player, but likely no impact in 20-team league Overall verdict: A – Solid performance all-round, with the three first picks very likely to pay significant dividends Brawlers’
Bryan was quiet on draft day, preferring to keep the picks he went into
the draft with over seeking trades, however he certainly made the picks
count and got away from the draft with at least two bluechip prospects and
a couple of players that should realistically have a good shot at being
solid role players as well Things got off to a fast start with the selection of QMJHL standout and speedster Derick Brassard who has been tearing up the Q with impressive offensive performance. A two points per game average is impressive even in the high scoring Q. Brassard is blessed with great wheels and has a style that can be amply compared to Teemu Selänne or Paul Kariya, though his future niche is likely more as set-up man than finisher. Brassard is a potentially game-breaking talent and the only concern going forward should be his ability to stay healthy (having missed 50 QMJHL games over past two seasons) and continuing to develop his core assets in skating and skills. Brassard also need to get stronger to cope with the bigger competition, however he does play with a physical edge already and is unlikely to be limited to a perimeter role. Brassard is a very solid pick, which should be expected at 7 overall
Next, Brawlers turned to defense with slick skating offensive talent Bob Sanguinetti, whose upside should be along the lines of Sandis Ozolinsh (hopefully sans booze). Sanguinetti’s core assets are great mobility and very good vision/playmaking skills. He is at the very least expected to make the league as a PP specialist, however his defensive play is sound enough to not hurt teams. He has decent but not great size and isn’t overly physical and the defensive zone play – notably shot blocking, crease clearing and one-on-one work is where he needs to take further steps to become a pro. He is likely headed back for another year in the OHL (much the same route as was chosen by Rags management for Marc Staal last year) and will also likely need some time in the AHL before graduating to the Rangers roster. Sanguinetti was thought by many to be the second best d-man in the draft after Eric Johnson and getting him at 27 is an outright steal Cory Emmerton went into the draft as a highly touted two-way forward prospect and many expected him to go late in the first round, however he had to wait mid-way through the second to be nabbed up. Emmerton has an allround solid game, but several coaches knocked him for lacking the high end offensive skills and for failing to bring a consistent performance at the U18 WJC. He is a pick with very limited downside – the combination of high mobility, defensive awareness and good understanding of the game is likely to at least land Emmerton a job as a third line checker. His offensive upside is debatable; however look for him to be on a mission this year to prove that his 90pts performance wasn’t a fluke. Emmerton could well develop into a Marc Sturm type of player that can contribute at both ends and be very valuable to a team. Again, a very solid pick for a third rounder Brawlers got some help on defensively adept forwards in the form of Ryan White with the #69 pick.. White was generally expected to go towards the end of the first round in the NHL draft and him being available at #69 is a great catch – however, he is the type of player who’s value doesn’t translate very well to the FHL. White is a defensively very strong center that plays a physical and gritty role, frustrating opposing players. He also has solid offensive skills, however the lack of elite hands and mobility will likely limit his pro upside to being a great 3rd line center that can fill in on the second line if need be. Similar in style to Mike Richards and Ryan Kesler, White will likely be a mainstay on the penalty kill and could well be a future captain for the Habs. From a CNGHL perspective, the pick is somewhat unspectacular, however there is virtually no downside and that’s a pretty good outcome of a pick around 70. White will likely be back for at least another year in the WHL, however his maturity is high and his game should translate pretty easily to the pro-ranks, so it isn’t conceivable to seem him with a regular shift on Montreal’s fourth line in 2007/08 Bryan closed out the drafting by picking skilled but enigmatic Russian sniper Alex Vasyunov, one of the Devil’s many Russian picks from the 2006 draft. Vasyunov is classic Russian prospect – he boasts top notch shooting arsenal and hands, hasn’t been in the defensive zone more than twice the past year and has erratic work ethic to say the least. He DID show up for the U18 WJC and made a great impression on scouts, however at this point it is safe to say that his absolute upside and downside are far apart. The future will tell whether Vasyunov turns into Sergei Samsonov or Igor Radulov – for now, Vasyunov needs to establish himself on Yaroslavl’s pro-team, as he so far has only played on the farm team KUMQUATS
98.) Mike Weber (Sabres, #57, 2006) Overall verdict: C – there isn’t anything in particular wrong with Weber, but having one pick at 98 is simply not worth a better grade Kumquats made a flurry of trades going into the draft, as Quinton found himself unable to attend, and these trades seriously strengthened the team to the point of contending for the conference in the east with historical powers Epidemic and Zebras looking weaker than in recent memory. That said, Quinton was left with only one pick, which was used on Windsor Spitfire blueliner Mike Weber, who was at times touted as a potential NHL first rounder, but who somewhat surprisingly fell to the mid-second round. Weber is a solid defensive d-man, who has few weaknesses. At 6’2/200 lbs and with plenty of hockey smarts, Weber plays a solid and physical defensive game and plays it simple and error free. He has good overall awareness in both zones and picks his spots to use a somewhat underrated offense. Look for him to develop into a Keith Carney like player at the NHL level ZEBRAS
17.) Chris Stewart (Avalanche, #18, 2006) 37.) Michel Ouellet (Penguins, #124, 2000) 57.) Ben Maxwell (Canadiens, #49, 2006) 61.) Michael Forney (Thrashers, #80, 2006) 75.) Kevin Dallman (Bruins, undrafted) 84.) Maxim Kondratiev (Leafs, #168, 2001) 105.) Chad Larose (Hurricanes, undrafted) Best pick: Michel Ouellet – If he remains in a top6 role with the Pens, he’s likely to produce more points than the rest of the picks combined… Worst pick: Maxim Kondratiev – Max just returned to Russia for the second time due to higher salary over there. At least draft someone interested in playing in North America Overall
verdict: C+ – Ouellet and Maxwell are great picks… but the rest of
the draft was really pretty forgettable The
Zebras started off very untrue to form by electing to go with budding
power forward Chris Stewart, an unconventional choice for a GM who
stands out as having one of the softest and most defense minded teams in
the CNGHL. The younger brother of Anthony Stewart, Chris has pretty much
the same make-up; like his brother, Chris will never score highlight goals
and won’t be a perennial all-star, but a hard worker that brings grit
and scores garbage goals in droves. Paired up with a solid playmaker, he
is the type of player that could contribute 35-40 goals down the line,
however he can likely not be counted on to produce a lot on his own. The
best case sees Stewart develop into a Glen Murray or John Leclair type of
player (50pts without talented playmaker, 80pts with), however the big IF
in the equation whether he ultimately sticks on the top 2 lines. Failing
that, he may have a long career as a checker. Stewarts main challenges
will be in improving consistency and conditioning. Decent but not
fantastic pick Penguins
overager Michel Ouellet raised eyebrows in East Vancouver after
getting a regular shift with Sid the Wonderkid in Pittsburgh during parts
of the past season and Anthony decided to take an opportunistic approach
foregoing highly touted draft picks like Semen Varlamov. Ouellet once
again finds himself in a top6 role with the Pens and with Crosby and
Malkin as the 1-2 punch at center, Ouellet is a virtual lock to produce
60+ points annually. Ouellet will never be confused with 1st
line talent; however, much like a Mike Knuble or Jonathan Cheechoo, he is
certainly a good enough player to be very productive with a solid
playmaker and for this reason Ouellet is without question the best of
Anthony’s pickups in this draft… big thumbs up (yeah, even I am
shocked at my thunderous endorsement of picking a 24 y.o. second line
talent in the top 40) Zebras
scouts we’re on a tear at this point in the draft and decided to go with
slight speedster Ben Maxwell of the Kootenay Ice with the next pick
at 57. Maxwell was a wild card going into the NHL draft, projected
anywhere between 20 and 60 in pre-draft rankings and ended up selected by
the Habs at 49. He has a very solid offensive skills set and is one of the
best skaters in the draft, with very solid playmaking and finishing skills
to boot. The knock on him is that he is soft as butter and very
reluctantly enters the defensive zone about once every period. Maxwell has
the tools and talent to be a first liner and his start to the WHL season
hints at potential greatness, however it is likely that he’ll need some
seasoning in the AHL before taking the step to the NHL while working on
his grit and defensive game. Very good pick at 57, rivaling the Ouellet
pick-up as the Zebra’s best College
bound Mike Forney became the next new Zebra with the #61 pick – a
considerable reach considering that Forney was picked at #80 overall in
the NHL draft and several top40 players were still available. Part of this
may be attributed to the relatively small difference between players in
this span, part to the fact that Forney arguably was overlooked in the NHL
draft. He possesses a pretty compelling skills package in very solid size
and strong mobility. He is also versatile and a budding 2-way threat. The
main question mark is around overall upside – Forney is above average in
all areas but nothing stands out as spectacular and hence, there is a
pretty significant likelihood that he is thus bound for a career as a
checker. He has also not been tested against better competition than USHS
level and will need to prove himself this year as one of the freshmen on a
rather stacked At
75, Anthony reverted to picking overagers – and Kevin Dallman was
the first in a line of… well… players that have proven they won’t be
FHL contributors. The skinny on Dallman’s past season: he was waived by
the Bruins – a team that finished 3rd worst in the east and
in the bottom 10 in goals against – and subsequently failed to be
resigned by the Blues – who finished with the worst overall record and
with the 3rd highest goals against. This year, he’ll be
plying his trade with the Kings – a team generally expected to finish
bottom 5 – where he has already seen 2 games from the press box and is
jeered by the fans. But hey, what’s there not to like about a slow,
5’11 d-man? Wasted pick! If
things weren’t already bad, they took a turn for worse with the #84
pick. Maxim Kondratiev has already been bought out twice by CNGHL
teams. Worse yet – at the young age of 23, he has already left NHL teams
twice for the Russian league as he has failed to work hard enough to
secure a spot. Kondratiev is undeniably talented – however, at the
current rate, it is very difficult to see why he’d once again come over
to the U.S. as he can clearly earn more money as a top3 guy in Russia than
as a #5 with attitude problems in North America. The one thing than can be
said for Dallman – he’ll probably play somewhere in some capacity –
may not even be true for Kondratiev Rounding
out the Zebra draft is undrafted and unheralded Hurricanes winger Chad
Larose, who does have a cup ring… and that’s about it. Larose is a
player that would be a perennial AHL all-star, only he is pressed into
service as an all-purpose 4th liner in DYKES
15.)
Jonathan Bernier (Kings, #11, 2006) 35.)
David Fischer (Canadiens, #20, 2006) 55.)
Igor Makarov (Blackhawks, #33, 2006) 78.)
Riley Holzapfel (Thrashers, #43, 2006) Best
pick: David Fischer – could
become a top-pairing steal Worst
pick: Riley Holzapfel – quick – someone mention a Thrashers 3rd
rounder that have been remotely close to making the NHL? Overall
verdict: B+ – Auto-picking sometimes works out extremely well and
Dykes managed to pick up one of the top goalies in the draft and a couple
of dark horses with solid potential Dykes
got on the board at 15 with diminutive but quick goalie Jonathan
Bernier. This year was not a great goalie year in the NHL draft,
however there were several promising netminders in the first round and
Bernier was picked first at 11. Bernier has had a very solid season for
Lewistone MAINEiacs, posting a 2.70 GAA which is very low for the
high-scoring QMJHL, however the most impressive display of his skills came
at the U18 WJC, where he was stellar. Bernier is a butterfly goalie who
has very quick reflexes and good agility. He is technically sound, both in
terms of positioning and rebound control. The one knock is his small size,
which makes him vulnerable especially up high. Bernier has game-stealing
ability and has also shown that he plays well under pressure – two
traits that may well separate him from other solid goalie prospects down
the line. The Kings currently have a solid goaltending situation – while
neither Cloutier nor Garon are yet elite goalies, both are good enough to
be starters for the time being, so there will be no rush in getting
Bernier into the pros. Expect 2 more years in Juniors and at least a year
in the AHL, however, Bernier should ultimately be the Kings (and Dykes)
goalie of the future At
35, the Dykes may have gotten their best pick of the draft in two-way
defense prospect David Fischer. Anytime you get a prospect picked
at 20 in the NHL draft with your 35th pick you’ve potentially
scored well, however what’s the more puzzling in this case is that the
reason isn’t because that #20 pick was a low upside player with
intangibles that are important to an NHL team but less so in a fantasy
league. Fischer has everything you would hope for in a defender – good
mobility and size, good vision and understanding of the position, solid
positioning and a good shot to boot. The one question mark – is he able
to put these pieces together and take them to the next level? The one
question mark with Fischer is the level of competition – he was this
year’s Mr.Hockey as Jorge
already has a highly touted and enigmatic (Bela)Russian in his
organization in Andrei Kostitsyn, and Igor Makarov
could be said to be a similar player. Makarov was touted as a player that
could go in the top half of the 1st round at the outset of the
season and ISS had him ranked 21st in October. Makarov was also
expected to be the player that returned the spotlight to Riley
Holzapfel was selected in the
mid-second round by the NHL Thrashers, and as such, getting him at 78 is
never bad. That said, there are a lot of question marks around
Holzapfel’s ultimate pro-upside – he is a player that definitely fits
the “new NHL” mold – he is vary mobile and shifty and has an
all-round solid offensive upside, however lacks size and grit. Holzapfel
put up very solid, but not remarkable numbers in the WHL for the Moose Jaw
Warriors 2nd line, but had a fantastic playoffs with 16 points
in 22 games as Sandlak
Division
DUCKLINGS
8.)
Justin Pogge (Leafs, #90, 2004) 19.)
Dustin Boyd (Flames, #98, 2004) 52.)
Nikolai Kulemin (Leafs, #44, 2006) 54.)
Jarkko Immonen (Leafs, #254, 2002) 86.)
Sergei Kostitsyn (Canadiens, #200, 2005) 90.)
Vladimir Zharkov (Devils, #77, 2006) 95.)
Nigel Dawes (Rangers, #149, 2003) 108.)
Patrick Thoresen (Oilers, undrafted) 111.)
Denis Kulyash (Predators, #243, 2004) Best
pick: Nigel Dawes – everything
screams “solid pro upside” despite size Worst
pick: Nikolai Kulemin – a Russian drafted by the Leafs… now,
what’s the statistical likelihood of this pick turning into anything? Overall
verdict: B – Mixed bag with some good highlights So
– anyone who is truly surprised, raise a hand! No hands? No one? Nope,
didn’t think so. Seeing Ducklings pick 7 overagers – whereof
4 Europeans – cannot have been a surprise to anyone. The main
surprise rather being that Anders missed out on Perttu Lindgren,
especially as he had the opportunity to pick Lindgren with the #19 pick A
year ago, the Maple Leafs had just picked highly touted Finnish goalie
prospect Tuukka Rask in the draft and, true to form, the Leafs Nation
unanimously declared Rask to be the Vezina winner of the future and a
perennial all-star. Fast forward one year, and a very good season of
Rask’s have led to the Leafs trading him… huh? Well, the reason is the
play of Justin Pogge, who a year ago was a forgotten 3rd
round pick from 2004. Pogge has emerged as one of the best goalies in the
whole of the CHL and crowned his season with a fantastic U20 WJC
performance for Team Another
pick that was surprisingly early indeed was picking up promising Flames
pivot Dustin Boyd at 19th overall. Boyd had a bit of a
coming out party as he scored 90pts for Moose Jaw Warriors and leading the
team to within two games of the WHL title and he is top ranked out of
Calgary prospects according to HF… however, the latter distinction
should be considered in the light of Flames having one of the worst
prospects pipelines in the NHL. Dustin Boyd is a good skater and a player
that gives 110% every shift – he is tenacious on the forecheck, however
his offensive skills have more to do with good vision than possessing
high-end skills. I would be surprised to see Boyd turn into much more than
a serviceable 3rd liner that can fill in on the top line and
see a player in the Steven Reinprecht mode at best. Boyd is a nice player,
however with only 15 2006 eligible prospects gone at this point, I can’t
help but feeling that something more exciting could’ve been had Ducklings
picked Nikolai Kulemin 44th, and while he was the first
2006 pick the Ducks selected, he was an overager coming into this draft
after being passed over last year. Kulemin was a surprisingly early
selection in the draft, and the fact he was considered a reach coupled
with the Leafs selecting him combines to form a very clear “stay away”
message in my mind. Add to this he’s Russian, and you really have a pick
where it’s just hard to see the upside. Kulemin is a prototypical
checker with some scoring upside, however it looks like he will top out as
Branko Radivojevic-type player that can be useful in any situation but
will excel in none. He put up reasonable numbers in the Russian league,
however this was partly due to seeing some special teams time on the
stacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk team. Kulemin may ultimately be a future
NHL player – especially considering the Leaf’s legacy of endlessly
keeping less talented players like fellow Russian Nik Antropov – however
at 52, there were several better choices available Anders went with another Euro overager for his next pick, selecting Finnish pivot Jarkko Immonen at 54. Immonen is a creative pivot that notably has great vision and soft hands and who will likely get a long, good look at Ranger’s camp this year. He ended last season impressively with 70pts in 74games for the Wolf Pack in the AHL and had a late cup of tea with the Rangers, not looking out of place. With only Nylander and Cullen as natural centers (except Straka, who will likely play on Jagr’s wing), a place on the 2nd line C is up for grabs. Immonen likely needs to stick this season, as he is already 24 years old and the window for him to prove he belongs on an NHL scoring line is closing. The main concern with Immonen’s game is his lacking footspeed, somewhat alarming considering the higher paced game. All in all, he could very well see some quality ice time this season; however I wouldn’t expect him to put up much more than 45-50 pts, and further significant upside is questionable, considering his relatively advanced age. Unexciting pick, and arguably too early at 54 Sergei
Kostitsyn is another Euro
overager, added to Anders considerable pool… Sergei, much like his older
brother Andrei, possesses a great offensive skills set, including
spectacular finishing skills – both, however, appear to be projects that
need significant maturing. Sergei is a much less heralded prospect, but
has proven his offensive upside on a stacked London Knights team (OHL) –
this season, he will be counted on to carry a lot of the load himself with
the departure of Robbie Schremp and Dave Bolland and it will be
interesting to see how he handles being the go-to guy. Kostisyn needs to
significantly upgrade intensity, defense and physical game to become a
force in the NHL – he is at this point to inconsistent and too easy to
take out of a game by playing physical. That said, he also has a skills
set that few players can match and ultimately, he could turn into a first
line player. Good pick at 86 for the sheer upside
Anders kept adding Russians at 90, where future sniper Vladimir Zharkov was added to the mix. The young, slippery Russian is a nice high risk/reward proposition in the 5th round and could ultimately turn into a very pleasant surprise for the team, as it is very clear he can put the puck in the net. Zharkov can actually be said to be the prototypical Russian prospect – he has all the typical traits in excellent mobility, good finishing skills and superb stickhandling, however he also exhibits many of the traits that ultimately has led to the failure of players like Igor Radulov and Pavel Vorobiev – he is prone to taking shifts or indeed games off, he shies away from the physical game. He is also relatively selfish with the puck and outright refuses to play defense. However, it should be said that the glimpses of brilliance exhibited by Zharkov suggests that he could develop into a Vycheslav Kozlov type player and such upside is definitely enough for this to be a very solid pick late in the draft Anders waited until well into the fifth round before bringing out his best – the first of solid back-to-back picks is diminutive winger Nigel Dawes, who will likely get a solid look in the Rangers camp this year. Dawes has great hands and mobility and has the skill to be a Theo Fleury-like scoring threat; however as with all players standing 5’8, there will always be concerns around durability and effectiveness at the NHL level. Look for Dawes to need a couple of years to fully adjust to the NHL before becoming a threat on a nightly basis, but there is no doubt he will be a productive player. Short
of picking any Danes, Anders turn to Norway for arguably the best
Norwegian player since Espen Kutsen in Patrick Thoresen, an
undrafted player that was signed by the Oilers in the off-season. Thoresen
is 23 and has a couple of very productive seasons in the Swedish Elite
League behind him. He is versatile and can line up at either forward
position and, while being a primarily offensive player, could as well be
used on a checking line. Thorsen likely doesn’t have the skills set to
be a dominant NHL player, however he has solid vision and good enough
hands to be a solid complementary player on one of the top 2 lines,
capable of putting up 50-60 pts with solid line mates. It looks somewhat
unlikely that Thorsen will make the top6 out of camp, but he should have a
good chance sticking with Anders
wrapped up his draft by picking Russian dark horse blueliner Denis
Kulyash with the #111 pick. Kulyash was an 8th rounder in
2004 and has since played a solid role for Dynamo Moscow in the Russian
Super League. His main claim to fame so far is a 12 goal performance last
season, which had Duckling scouts take notice. Kulyash’s main stand-out
skills is a big shot and he has been extremely effective on the PP. Add to
this solid size and a bit of a mean streak, and you have the ingredients
of a solid blueliner… however, Kulyash’s decision making is a main
area of concern; he is prone to pinching at the wrong time, has shown
problems handling hard forecheck and is prone to making poor outlet passes
which may be a key stumbling block for an NHL career. If he rounds out his
game, he may have a future as a second pairing d-man ROYALS
22.) Ryan Craig (Lightning, #255, 2002) 42.) Brad Richardson (Avalanche, #163, 2003) 65.) Maxime Talbot (Penguins, #234, 2002) Best
pick: Brad Richardson – will be
a solid 2-way center seeing a lot of PK time Worst
pick: Maxime Talbot – Couldn’t crack a Pens roster on a full time
basis last year, and the additions of Malkin and Staal won’t make it
easier… Overall
verdict: B- – Three defensive forwards won’t make or break a team
in a 20-team legue GM
Andy Saunders returned to the CNGHL after a one year hiatus and found his
veteran roster revamped through a pretty aggressive re-building scheme.
Saunders promptly re-focused on the now and significantly strengthened his
team by trading his first rounder in separate deals to acquire 81OV d-man
Bryan Berard and 76OV pivot Scott Hartnell, both who will help make Royals
a play-off team again after finishing in the league basement last season. Andy decided to go with relatively known commodities throughout the draft, starting off with scrappy Lightning winger Ryan Craig, an all-purpose two way player that can be productive in any situation. Craig is a player type that is very useful to an NHL team, however I’d seriously question his value in the FHL beyond a solid 3rd line role – Craig is a hard worker that will score plenty of goals based on a strong desire to go to the net and outworking anyone on the ice but to expect more than a consistent 25 goal, 50 pts production would surprise me a lot. Craig is 24 years old and is reaching his upside in terms of production. It is easy to look at his 48 games, 28 points production from last year and project stellar future production, however it should be considered that Craig has already spent 2.5 seasons in the AHL – scoring 75 pts in 170 games – without ever developing into a top line player. With only 16 2006 prospects gone at this point, it may be argued that something slightly more exciting could’ve been had with the #22 pick The
next pick fetched Avalanche pivot Brad Richardson, a 5th
round pick in 2003 that emerged as one of the OHL’s prime scorers after
his draft year, being one of the best players on a strong Owen Sound team.
Maxime
Talbot rounded out the Royals
draft, bringing in another talented, but slightly built player. Talbot
scored 300pts in 250 games in the QMJHL, which would suggest he is a
strong offensive contributor; however his role at the NHL level will
likely be more of the 3rd line energy type. Talbot is a solid
skater and a player of the type that will bring 110% every shift and he is
an above average finisher, even though his overall offensive skills set is
not good enough to play on a top line. Talbot was a surprise making the
Pens last year in an extensive audition; however, this was partly due to
the appalling state of the Pens roster last season. He is expected to
enter his third season in the AHL this year and with youngsters like VIOLATORS
16.)
56.) Michael Neuvirth (Capitals, #34, 2006) 79.) Jeff Petry (Oilers, #45, 2006) 104.) Codey Burki (Avalanche, #59, 2006) Best
pick: Worst
pick: Jeff Perty – honestly, will it be worth the wait? Overall
verdict: B- - Too Little to be really exiting Ken
really got a jackpot, finding Michael
Neuvirth
remained late into the CNGHL draft, though arguably he was selected very
early. Like many Czech goalies before him – notably Cechmanek and Hasek
– Neuvirth plays an unorthodox style and has game stealing talent,
however like Checko, he is also prone to breakdown when getting out of
position and being unable to recover on reflexes alone. Neuvirth enjoyed a
solid year in the Czech Juniors last year and has decided to take the step
over to Defender
Jeff
Petry definitely falls
under the category “worth waiting for…?” Despite being one of the
older players in the 2006 draft with a late ’87 birth date, he will
spend another year this season in the USHL before joining college in the
2007/08 season and hence will likely see a season with competition that is
far from stellar. It also pushes his projected date for impact at the pro
level quite some time forward; assuming Petry plays at least 2 seasons in
college and needs one full AHL season to acclimatize, he’s unlikely to
be in the NHL before the 2010/11 season. At that point, he will be turning
23. With that out of the way, however, there is a lot to like about
Petry’s overall skills set. He is a superior skater and has a generous
frame, though he will need to bulk up by around 40lbs… It is hard to
project Petry’s upside at this point, but he may eventually round into
an allround 2nd pairing d-man… however, considering the long
wait time along with the fact that prospects still in high school are
difficult to assess due to lacking competition, I’d say that there were
plenty of more attractive choices out there Violators rounded out the draft by picking up speedster Codey Burki of the Brandon Wheat Kings. Burki’s main claim to fame so far is somewhat surprisingly being selected the MVP of the 2006 top prospects game, notching the game winner. His main asset is strong skating and he has a solid game in both zones. He has gotten off to a hot start offensively this year in the WHL and the main question ability wise is around his offensive upside – Burkis overall play would lend itself very well to a 3rd line checking role, but it is as of yet unclear whether he can in fact be a scorer at the NHL level. Very solid pick at 104 – there is limited downside and some rankings had Burki as a potential late first rounder prior to the NHL draft EPIDEMIC
20.) Chris Campoli (Islanders, #227, 2004) 40.) Lee Stempniak (Blues, #148, 2003) Overall
verdict: B- – Autodraft would
have fetched the #14 and #23 picks in the NHL draft, one of which should
have higher impact than either player True
to form, the reigning Champion – that’s also true to form by the way
– went with experience and avoided the young 2006 draft class
altogether. At 20, Bryce picked promising Islanders blueliner Chris
Campoli, who had a fantastic rookie season on a pretty bad team.
Campoli enters the new season third on the Isles depth chart behind
Zhitnik and Witt, and should see time on the first PP unit. He will
contribute to step into the Epidemic line up immediately as well. Campoli
has a solid offensive game and his 34 points in 80 games were in the top5
of rookie d-man scoring, however it should also be noted that he stood out
as a team worst -16 on the Isles. Campoli is a player in the JM Liles mold
and it remains to be seen whether he can shape up his defensive game
enough to establish himself at the NHL level. For now, he looks like a #4
type with PP upside Lee
Stempniak was one of few sunshine
stories about last year’s lackluster Blues team, which was really the
laughing stock of the league. The underwhelming performance of several
vets along with a depleted roster meant several youngsters had a chance to
prove themselves at the NHL level and Stempniak was arguably the most
impressive. 27 points in 57 games was exceeding all expectations, though
he did finish the season with ICE
DOGS
1.)
Nicklas Bäckström (Capitals, #4, 2006) 23.)
Patrick Berglund (Blues, #25, 2006) 66.)
Yuri Alexandrov (Bruins, #37, 2006) 91.)
Keith Seabrook (Capitals, #52, 2006) 109.)
Simon Danis-Pepin (Blackhawks, #61, 2006) Best
pick: Nicklas Bäckström Worst
pick: Keith Seabrook Overall
verdict: B- – Solid but unspectacular draft – the later picks
don’t stand out as being special Ice
Dogs won the draft day lottery and were rewarded with their pick of the
consensus 4-5 clearly best players in the draft. Somewhat surprisingly to
many, the Dawgs started off with a reach by going for Swede Nicklas Bäckström,
selected 4th overall in the NHL entry draft by the Capitals.
The pick in itself was not so much of a surprise, since GM Angus had
advertised his intentions quite blatantly. The Blondes, who lost the
lottery, also had Bäckström tops of their list but had to “settle”
for Erik Johnson… So – why Bäckström? Well, the Ice Dogs saw plenty
to like – Bäckström may be the most NHL ready of the 2006 draftees,
however he has elected to remain in Angus
again went to Yuri
Alexandrov was widely expected to
go late 1st round in the NHL draft, but somewhat surprisingly
fell to the 2nd round, likely in part due to the uncertainty
about the transfer agreement with the Russian hockey federation.
Alexandrov was by many considered the best Russian player available in the
draft and also captained the WJC18 team. He is very solid offensively as
well as defensively, however has a bit a “jack of all trades, master of
none” problem – at 6’0/175lbs (being generous) and playing soft,
Alexandrov will never be a reliable crease clearer and will struggle
containing big opponents. His offense is solid, but he lacks the skills
upside of d-men like Ivan Vishnevsky and Bob Sanguinetti. Alexandrov could
develop into a solid 2nd pairing d-man that can be used on both
special teams, however I would expect him to top out as an elite player in
one of the European leagues since I think he will command more money there
for his skills set than what any NHL club will want to pay him for being
an unspectacular #4 Keith
Seabrook would undoubtedly have
been a much later pick in this draft, hadn’t it been for the very
successful rookie season of older brother Brent in The
Dawgs ended their draft with huge project Simon Danis-Pepin of the Murzyn ConferenceDirk
Division
BOMBERS
12.)
Michal Frolik (Panthers, #10, 2006) 32.)
Trevor Lewis (Kings, #17, 2006) 85.)
Dennis Wideman (Sabres, #241, 2002) Best
pick: Michal Frolik – could be
a true star! Worst
pick: Dennis Wideman – will certainly be an AHL all-star! Overall
verdict: B+ – Steve got
two guys with high-end upside despite only having three picks, neither of
which were very early Bombers
had a good night at the draft table and focused on upside rather than
going for safe and boring bets. Steve may be the single GM with the
highest risk profile out of this draft, but lacking early picks in a draft
that was top heavy, it’s always right to go with upside in a 20-team
league. Michal Frolik has the potential to be the steal of the
draft in both the NHL draft and the CNGHL version. Touted as a potential
top3 pick going into the season, Frolik has played well in the Czech
Extraliga, however has come up short in the international competition with
the Czech WJC team which has clearly hurt his draft stock. By comparison,
Jiri Tlusty performed in the WJC and went as early as Frolik despite being
virtually unknown before the draft. Frolik is a special talent with
advance vision and stickhandling that is second to none in the draft. He
has the ability to be a game breaker and has a relatively complete skills
set including decent defensive awareness. The knock on Frolik is his
inconsistency – scouts tend to differ whether it is a maturity and
desire problem or whether it has more to do with not yet having fully put
the complete puzzle in place. Be as it may, the upside is undeniable and
until proven otherwise, Frolik projects as a first line talent Bombers
followed up with another speedy forward in King’s prospect Trevor
Lewis. Lewis was considered 2nd round material by most
scouting mags going into the draft, however the Kings traded up to secure
their man and felt they had gotten a find at 17. With LA’s recent draft
record and Dean Lombardi (who oversaw great drafting in Steve
finished up with drafting rookie d-man Dennis Wideman, undoubtedly
partly to fill a need as depth for the Bombers woeful blueline. Wideman
was a very late pick by Sabres in the 2002 draft and he failed to earn a
contract with the Sabres and instead signed as a free agent with the
Blues. He proceeded to tear up the AHL with 43 points in the first season
and earned a spot on the Blues blueline in the 2005/06 season primarily as
a PP quarterback. Now, Wideman has been much talked about amongst Blues
fans based on the offensive upside and his 24 points as a rookie in the
NHL is no poor feat. What is not considered, however, is that Wideman
cannot play D, period. He was a -22 in 79 games with HYACKS
31.) Nigel Williams (Avalanche, #51, 2006) 51.) Niklas Bäckström (Wild, undrafted) 74.) Daniel Rahimi (Canucks, #82, 2006) 100.) Kevin Bieksa (Canucks, #151, 2001) 102.) Kris Russell (Jackets, #67, 2005) Best
pick: Nigel Williams – mammoth
blueliner has a lot to like Worst
pick: Nicklas Bäckström – no, this isn’t the center! Overall
verdict: C – A lot of solid and utterly unspectacular defensive
d-men… University
bound blueliner Nigel
Williams started Hyacks
off uncharacteristically late in the draft – and Ken did it with a MAJOR
reach compared to the NHL draft. The 17th overall pick Trevor
Lewis still being on the board, this pick may always be second guessed as
coming a round too early. That being said, Williams was mentioned as a
potential top 10 pick a month before the draft and has a skills package
that has a lot to offer – many saw him as the most complete d-man in the
draft behind Erik Johnson. Much of the fall in rankings may be attributed
to a rather forgettable WJC U18 showing, where he was expected to lead the
team but remained pretty invisible. Williams is big and surprisingly
mobile. He excels in defensive situations and will at the very least
develop into a defensive stalwart of the Jay McKee / Rhett Warrener type.
He does have solid instincts and vision though, along with a heavy shot,
so it isn’t inconceivable to see him on the PP down the line, though
that’ll likely not be his primary role. Williams will star for the
Ken
went with experienced Swedish goalie Niklas Bäckström at 51. Bäckström
is a 28 years old journeyman that has played most of his career in
At
74, Ken went with Finnish-Iranian rearguard Daniel Rahimi, out of
the Swedish 2nd tier league and juniors… drafting a player
out of Sweden that I hadn’t previously even heard of is no mean feat,
however it is certainly possible. Rahimi could essentially be said to be
Nigel Williams-light – somewhat smaller, much less heralded and a
long way away from playing in Staying with the Canucks theme, Ken picked up Kevin Bieksa with the #100 pick, the first of two picks acquired from the Blondes for Colin White. Bieksa should enjoy a very solid career as a bottom 3 d-man that can be used all-round. He is likely well-known by everyone in the league, so I won’t spend a lot of space describing him. Bieksa is a very solid pickup at 100 – however, there is in my mind not a clear case in moving Colin White to get him… …and
Kris Russell still has a lot to prove before convincing me that the
additional 5th rounder is enough to motivate the deal. There is a lot to
like about Russell – he has fantastic mobility, great hockey sense and
very solid offensive instincts. He also displays plenty of grit and solid
defensive positioning… so what’s the problem? Well, a 5’9/160 lbs
rearguard will always struggle to be effective in the NHL and players like
Freddy Meyer of the Flyers perfectly illustrate this example. Russell has
too much talent to not be an interesting pick, and at 102, he probably
possesses more upside than any of the other Hyacks picks, however the
likelihood of Russell playing in the NHL anytime soon must be considered
slim HAWKS
26.)
Leland Irving (Flames, #26, 2006) 43.)
Dennis Persson (Sabres, #24, 2006) 46.)
Freddy Meyer III (Flyers, undrafted) 50.)
Matt Corrente (Devils, #30, 2006) Best
pick: Leland Irving – Future
starter extraordinaire Worst
pick: Freddy Meyer III – 5’8 turn-over machine will be trade bait
this season Overall
verdict: B+ – A mixed bag – lots of promise, no sure things. Hawks
were active in GM Adrian Chong’s first CNGHL draft and walked away with
3 (late) NHL 1st round picks despite not picking at all until
#26. The first pick was used on Everett Silvertips’ goalie Leland
Irving, somewhat of a reach at this point in the draft with players
like Bob Sanguinetti, Claude Giroux and Mark Mitera still on the board.
Even so, Hawks were looking for a goalie and it is hard to argue with
getting the best available guy at the position and Dennis
Persson was snapped up next at 43 – curiously, Persson was picked 2
spots before For
their 3rd pick, Hawks went with Flyers journeyman defender Freddy
Meyer III, a 5’8 turnover machine who at times played on the Flyers
top pairing. Fans claim that he is ideally suited for the new NHL with
mobility, offensive awareness and a booming slap shot. Critics point to
the fact that he is completely unable to handle aggressive forechecking,
that his turn-over frequency is alarmingly high and that he couldn’t
clear the front of the net if his life depended on it. Meyer will likely
continue to have a niche as a 3rd pairing d-man that sees some
PP time, but it wouldn’t surprise me if he is the odd man out in Philly
this year with a healthier blue-line TRIFECTA
4.) Jonathan Toews (Blackhawks, #3, 2006) 24.) Michael Grabner (Canucks, #14, 2006) 44.) Semen Varlamov (Capitals, #23, 2006) 63.) Jamie McGinn (Sharks, #36, 2006) 67.)
Bryce Swan (Ducks, #38, 2006) 92.)
Mathieu Carle (Canadiens, #53, 2006) Best
pick: Jonathan Toews – will be
a star Worst
pick:Bryce Swan – limited upside and significant health concerns Overall
verdict: A- – Trifecta got a lot of interesting talent infusion and
could very well have 4-5 solid CNGHLers some years down the line Justin
had some tech problems going into the trade and ended up auto-picking (I
think) – feel for you bro, was a nice time at the draft and I am
completely computer illiterate, so I can relate to having problems with
mIRC! On the flip side – whatever Justin was doing, he put together an
extremely solid draft, starting off with future top line center Jonathan
Toews. A complete
package, Toews has good size and mobility to go along with possible the
best vision in the draft and very soft hands. Toews may be a less flashy
player than fellow draftees Bäckström or Kessel, but there is no doubt
that he’ll be a great NHL player even though he will be playing for one
of the most mismanaged franchises in the league. Look for Toews to lead
the Trifecta
next got what Canucks fans hope will be the next league superstar in
Austrian Michael
Grabner, drafted out of
the Spokane Chiefs in the WHL. The legacy of There
have been rumors that Trifecta are planning to offer Rick DiPietro a
25-year contract with the club, however, pending decision from the league
whether to allow this, the club got some long-term insurance by picking up
Russian netminder Semen
Varlamov at 44. Varlamov
went surprisingly early in the NHL draft at 23, considering he flew under
most radars going into the draft and considering Russians have fallen in
general due to the difficulties around a new transfer agreement, so you
know the Caps really wanted this guy… had it been another team, this
would’ve been an encouraging sign, however, with the Caps, you simply
have no idea… their idea of consistent drafting is taking out a dice and
rolling it. Varlamov is a great talent – he has superb reflexes and
agility to go along with good size. He’s a very quick butterfly goalie
and already has a pretty well-rounded game, but could be more aggressive
against shooters. Varlamov played in both the WJC U18 and U20, despite his
young age and played extremely well in both tournaments. He has also taken
over the starter role for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl – one of the absolute
elite clubs in After
3 stellar picks from auto-drafting, there was bound to be something less
fantastic coming Trifecta’s way and, voilà, along comes Sharks’
youngster Jamie McGinn.
I want to start by pointing out that McGinn WILL become a solid pro. I
have the utmost confidence in Sharks drafting, but also believe McGinn
will be the type of player any team would want to have on their roster…
any NHL team that is. McGinn brings leadership, a ton of grit, 110% effort
on a nightly basis and versatility to be used anywhere in the lineup,
however I just don’t see anything elite in his skills set. This makeup
translates poorly to FHL hockey, and for that reason only, I am a little
skeptical to this pick-up. Here’s to hoping for a long, solid 3rd
liner career for Jamie – the pick gets pass The
fifth Trifecta pick saw talented QMJHL sniper Bryce
Swan enlisted as
improved wing depth. Swan is a talented player, who has struggled in the
QMJHL due to several freak injuries that have kept him out of the lineup
for stretches. Some would suggest that he is very injury prone, however
all injuries are unrelated and several have come in odd collisions. Swan
has however only played 70 games combined in 2 QMHJL seasons and he has
already missed time this season as well with a broken bone in his hand.
Part of the reason for the multitude of injuries is Swan’s abrasive
style of play – he is a physical forward that loves to crash the net and
take the body. Much like McGinn, he will likely not be a scorer at the NHL
level, but rather a solid 3rd/4th line banger that
can put up some timely offense. Pick could’ve been used on something
more exciting, as Swan even if he can keep healthy is unlikely to find
himself on an NHL scoring line Rounding
out the Trifecta draft is offensive rearguard Mathieu Carle,
another pick out of the QMJHL. Carle bears no relation to Matt Carle of
the Sharks and is unlikely to develop into a player of similar caliber,
although they share some common traits. Carle is a very good skater and
was amongst the fastest d-men at the CHL top prospects game skills
competition – he also finished very high up in the hardest shot
competition, with a slap shot clocked at 93 mph. Carle has very solid
offensive instincts and may very well score 80+ pts this season in the Q.
He also has solid size. The main question mark is whether he can elevate
his defensive game enough to get to the NHL level – like many QMJHL
defenders, he is relatively offense focused and this is also the area that
may be his ticket to the pros. Carle projects as a 2nd pairing
offensive d-man in the MA Bergeron mould if he continues to develop,
however I’d not expect him in the NHL until 2010 at the earliest JAZZ
11.) Kyle Okposo (Islanders, #7, 2006) 34.) Mark Mitera (Ducks, #19, 2006) 72.) Michael Ratchuk (Flyers, #42, 2006) 83.) Joey Ryan (Kings, #48, 2006) 88.)
97.) Blake Geoffrion (Predators, #56, 2006) Best
pick: Joey Ryan – Likely 2nd
pairing d-man at 83 Worst
pick: Milan Lucic – Will never have CNGHL impact Overall
verdict: B+ – Quite some upside and, the two late picks aside –
players that most likely will be top2 line pros Patrick
selected Jazz
next scooped up hulking d-man Mark Mitera, a University of Patrick
got another d-man at 72 with Mike Ratchuk, who fell a whopping 30
spots compared to the NHL draft. Ratchuk is the younger brother of
journeyman AHLer Peter Ratchuk, who returned to make another NHL
try with the Wild this season, but who will likely return to the Houston
Aeros of the AHL. Mike Ratchuk has spent the past two years with the US
NTDP and was one of a very deep defensive unit this past season.
Undersized but offensively skilled, Ratchuks absolute strength is in
fantastic mobility and he reminds a bit of Coyotes’ blueliner Keith
Ballard in this respect. Ratchuk doesn’t own the hockey sense of an
elite PP quarterback, but mobility, discipline and a consistent great
effort will likely be an attractive enough package for him to enjoy a
solid pro career. Ratchuk’s main issues are in lacking strength and
defensive game – these need to be addressed if he wants to be more than
a marginal NHLer. Solid pick at 72 Another
intriguing defensive prospect was added to the Jazz roster at 83, where
Patrick picked Quebec Remparts d-man Joey Ryan, a bruising
defensive stalwart who consistently takes the body and plays an overall
mean game. Ryan will never put up great points at the pro-level but can be
expected to fill a role similar to Greg Devries or Mattias Norstrom on any
team – he is unspectacular but will play against the opponents top line
and on the top PK unit on a nightly basis and more often than not be
unnoticed while doing so. Very good pick at 83, as there is virtually no
downside So
– after 4 solid picks, what to do? Well, screwing it up by selecting
players that may have checking line upside seems to be a good idea.
Jazz picked Vancouver Giant’s buzzsaw winger Milan Lucic and
University of Wisconsin-bound center Blake Geoffrion were selected
with the 88th and 97th picks respectively. Both
players projects as checkers – Lucic as a Tyson Nash-like pest and
Geoffrion as a more complete Kris Draper-type checker. Both will likely
have limited fantasy value. Of the two, Geoffrion is the one that could
feasibly be expected to play more than odd games for the Jazz down the
line. The downside of auto-drafting Kucera
Division
STORM
28.)
Dustin Penner (Ducks, undrafted) 48.)
Chris Summers (Coyotes, #29, 2006) 71.)
Pekka Rinne (Predators, #248, 2004) 96.)
Ryan Potulny (Flyers, #87, 2003) 110.)
Bruno Gervais (Islanders, #182, 2003) Best
pick: The non-pick – moving the
8th overall for Zubov was a coup Worst
pick: Dustin Penner – more upside expected at 28 Overall
verdict: B- – considering only the picks and not Zubov The
already strong Storm franchise got an immediate boost with incoming GM
Brad Schmirler, who certainly put his mark on the team early by adding
all-star defender Sergei Zubov for the 8th overall pick as the
Ducklings had to address their salary situation. Zubov may be a 1-year
solution only due to pending free agency, however to add a #1 d-man as a
contender and simultaneously addressing the weakest part of your team you
come out on top… of course, the Storm franchise still has a tradition of
choking come playoff time, but maybe Zubov’s experience is the
difference here. Brad
made his first pick at 28, somewhat surprisingly taking a fly on Ducks’
winger Dustin Penner, a mammoth 6’5 winger who surprised many by
putting up stellar rookie numbers with first the AHL Ducks and then
repeating the success at the NHL level. Indeed, some message boards have
gone as far as proclaiming Penner a potential Calder candidate in 2006/07
as he is still eligible. And Penners 84 points in 57 AHL games (along with
a +41 rating) certainly makes a case. There are, however, some
considerations to keep in mind when evaluating Penner’s performance.
First of all, Penner is 25 years old this upcoming season and should be
expected to put up better numbers than a 19 yo rookie and secondly, he has
a big help in his size, as his strength is already at a level where most
rookies would be in their 3rd pro season (or never, if
they’re 5’10). Simply put, while Penner had a fantastic year, it is
hard to see him continuing to develop along the same trajectory and I
would rather expect him to top out as a Tomas Holmström or Mike Knuble-type
player who is productive offensively, doing all the dirty work and never
taking a shift off. Penner may have some offensive upside paired with a
gifted playmaker, especially due to his willingness to crash the net, but
ultimately it would surprise me if he gets more than at best 2nd
line ice time (and most likely he is used on the 3rd line while
being on both special teams). I would expect Penner to be a 45-50pts
player in his prime and while that is nice, it’s not great in a 20-team
league. OK pick, but there were certainly players with more upside
available at 28 At
48, Chris Summers became the only 2006 draftee Brad selected during
the whole draft. He is very much a wild card, as his upside is very
unclear. Summers is originally a 2-way defenseman, however due to lack of
forwards, he was extensively used in tournaments as a forward by the US
U18 NDTP, most of the time centering one of the checking lines. Summers is
a very strong skater, who excels defensively and has a very gritty game.
He has some offensive skills, however likely not enough to be used as a
forward on a scoring line and it would be surprising to see him converted
to forward full-time. Summers is committed to the Finnish
goalie Pekka Rinne was selected next, as the 71st
overall selection. Rinne is one of the least known in a long line of young
Finnish goaltending prospects – he was originally selected in the 7th
round of the 2004 draft as he had shown some promise in the Finnish junior
league, however the 2004/05 season gave little reason for anyone to expect
anything of Rinne – he failed to make the WJC roster and only saw
limited action in 10 games as backup for Kärpät. Ryan
Potulny is set to begin his
pro-career this upcoming season after leaving Bruno
Gervais was the final Storm pick
– Gervais is a late pick that has never been expected to be a big time
player at any level, however who has managed to overcome expectations
continuously. Could’ve been on the Isles roster already two years ago
when he had a great training camp but injuries have hindered him from
taking the last step. He filled in very well towards the end of the season
for the Isles this past season, seeing very significant ice-time and
responding with a very solid +/- in primarily a shut-down role. With the
off-season additions of Zhitnik and Witt, the Isles blueline is better
this time around but the one year older Gervais should be a safe bet to
make the third pairing and possibly also the PK. The somewhat reduced role
and the presence of a mentor such as Witt will likely impact Gervais
development positively and he projects to be an allround #4/#5 d-man in
the future. Neither particularly big, nor very physical, Gervais can do a
little of everything however appears very dedicated and coachable and will
likely be a solid pro. Excellent pick at 110 BLONDES
2.)
Erik Johnson (Blues, #1, 2006) 3.)
Jordan Staal (Penguins, #2, 2006) 6.)
Peter Mueller (Coyotes, #8, 2006) 14.)
Riku Helenius (Lightning, #15, 2006) 25.)
Ty Wishart (Sharks, #16, 2006) 29.)
Claude Giroux (Flyers, #22, 2006) 36.)
Cody Fransson (Predators, #79, 2005) 39.)
Stanislav Lascek (Lightning, #133, 2005) 60.)
Thomas Greiss (Sharks, #94, 2004) 73.)
Artem Anisimov (Rangers, #54, 2006) 82.)
Brad Marchand (Bruins, #71, 2006) 103.)
Marc-Andre Gragnani (Sabres, #87, 2005) 106.)
Kyle Quincey (Wings, #132, 2003) Best
pick:Claude Giroux (I mean after
duh…Erik Johnson) Worst
pick:Artem Anisimov Overall
verdict:A – Really a nicely balanced draft…there is no way anyone
can argue with landing the top two picks overall and in addition there is
a nice, well rounded collection of sure things and high risk ventures. A
nice balance of forwards vs. d-men vs. goaltenders as well The
Blondes entered draft day in an extremely strong position, and after
swinging a couple of key trades found themselves looking stronger yet by
the time the first player was picked. Following the 2004 draft, Andreas
had found himself reflecting on his good fortune at having landing the top
two draft picks and also surmised it unlikely it was to happen again –
lo and behold, via shrewd trading and the itch the Ice Dogs had for
Nicklas Backstrom, lightning struck twice two years later. That said Erik
Johnson was a no-brainer for the Blondes first pick of the draft. As
the most complete player of the draft he has been compared to Chris
Pronger in that many see him as the type of player you can build a team
around. He has an excellent shot, is an exceptional passer and is almost
impossible to beat 1 on 1. Johnson was a player that saw his stock rise
constantly and consistently throughout the season to the point where he
was #1 on every GM’s lips come draft day. With Dion Phaneuf already in
the fold the addition of Johnson gives the Blondes two young twin towers
on D that will surely be the envy of the CNGHL How
to follow up this choice was the question hanging in the air (well really
only for about a two seconds), some (me) thinking Andreas might be seduced
by the pure dark upside of Phil Kessel, however the cooler head prevailed
and Jordan Staal was the next player on tap for the Blondes. Staal,
although he has similar stats to his older brother Eric at the same age,
seems to have more of a two-way sensibility and could be compared to Rod
Brind’amour. Though some scouts see similarities between Andreas
was shopping around the 6th overall pick, and while he did have
some nibbles, he didn’t have any solid bites to reel in. That said his
choice of Peter Mueller will likely bear some fruit of the solid
first-liner variety. Mueller played in the WHL…which shouldn’t be
something to note in and of itself except for this year, as, when the rest
of the CHL adapted the NHL’s “no clutch and grab” rules, the WHL
continued to be more an exhibition of water skiing and less one of hockey.
That said Mueller’s 58 points in 52 games does not seem all that
impressive, but considering the circumstances much more than adequate.
Like Staal, Mueller could be considered a two way forward with a solid
defensive game. Anecdote: When the The
best goaltenders as of late appear to be Finnish, just as they were
Quebecois ten years ago.Riku Helenius therefore comes from the
premier country and currently the premier team, Ilves, of said country, so
he oughta be good right? Well for starters he helped carry his team to the
gold medal game in the World U18 championships and possesses the demeanor
of a young Mikka Kipprosoff. According to scouts he has a great glove hand
and knows how to use his stick…um…to play the puck with. Also, he
plays the angles exceptionally well, challenges the shooter and has great
lateral movement. Arguably the best goaltender in the draft (one could
also make valid claims for Bernier and Varlamov), Andreas made a
calculated move to trade up to the position to draft Helenius. As with all
goaltenders, only time will tell if it was the right choice. In my
personal opinion, I see the trend of drafting goalies early as risky. I
maintain that there are far more first round goaltender busts than
successes and the pick might be better spent elsewhere and possibly a pair
of late round goaltenders invested in instead In
his photos he looks something like Saturday Night Live’s Jimmy Fallon,
but I won’t hold it against him. Ty Wishart is what one would
call a big defenseman, 6’5”, 210 lb, and as the Hockey News described
him. “As dependable as a Maytag washing machine.” There is nothing
fancy here, just a guy with great size, who competes hard, is hard to beat
one on one (again courtesy of the Hockey News.) Some have compared him to
Eric Brewer, but many disagree saying that his skating is not quite up to
snuff. The Sharks, infamous for their reaches selected Wishart at #16, ISS
was not quite so enamored with him, ranked him at 36. Andreas picked him
at 25, which is probably about right. Given the choice at the same
position I probably would have opted for a defenseman with a little more
mobility like David Fischer, but that is only this scribe’s opinion
I
really like the Blonde’s pick of Claude Giroux at 29 in that I
think that it served not only to allow Andreas to be
able to express his love of Bobby Clarke’s rapidly shifting
Philadelphia philosophy, but also in that Giroux may truly be the model
for the new NHL. With the successes of smaller players like Marc Savard
and Daniel Briere last season, the NHL would appear to be ripe for the
smaller player. Agility, mobility and vision are Giroux’s greatest
strengths. He displays a willingness to go into traffic and maintain
defensive responsibility. As the scouts say, “It’s his ability to play
the game at top speed and his playmaking ability that leaves us with the
impression that he can be a big time player.” Giroux has proven he can
play, putting up 39G 64A 103P at With
their seventh pick the Blondes picked another big defenseman--This time an
overager. Cody Franson At 6’4, 210…while not quite At
a certain point I knew there would have to be a pick by Andreas that I
wasn’t crazy about and here it is: Stanislav Lascek. I really
don’t so much hate the pick itself as where it was picked, I feel that
rather than at 39 it could have been ten or fifteen picks later…but then
the Blondes next pick was at 60, so there’s the rub. If it were me I
might have opted for a Thomas Kana, a Chris Summers or even reached way
out there for a Ben Maxwell…but yes, that’s just me. The knock on
Lascek is the same thing that the new NHL is all about: skating. This flaw
is what knocked him down to #133 in 2005. By all accounts Lascek’s
skating has improved and history has shown that poor skaters can thrive in
the NHL (God, look at Dave Andreychuk) plus Lascek’s “Q” numbers
can’t be ignored…135 points in 64 games is impressive by any stretch
of the imagination so I really can’t fault the pick and with 88 assists,
the guy can clearly generate offense…If the pick were at #55 or
something higher I’d be jumping up and down The
San Jose Sharks goaltending pool is an interesting soup. I distinctly
remember the Ducklings selecting Dmitri Patzold last year and thinking
“Yep, that’ll go far.” I really don’t know if Thomas Griess
is an integral element of the same soup out of which Kiprosoff escaped and
Nabakov and Toskala are still stewing, but when it comes to the Sharks
goaltending I just find myself stirring and stirring…and wondering.
Hey… whatabout Nolan Schaffer remember him? He was good too. Here’s
what little I know about Griess, He’s 6’2, 192 lbs, which makes him a
larger goaltender, and he is German…(for some reason the Sharks are very
fond of the Germans.) He played for the Cologne Sharks (weird they share
the same team name) of the German Elite League last season with a 2.46 GAA
.926 pct I get the distinct feeling that he is a very accomplished and
good goaltender but from my perch in the Bay Area I don’t see the
eyeballs deep San Jose situation as being terribly conducive for the
younger goalie breaking in, thus I will have to give a neutral rating on
this pick In
an uncharacteristically risky play the Blondes rolled on Artem Anisimov,
a Russian. This was a great choice for pure upside, but given the state of
affairs between Russian Hockey and the NHL it could very well be a wasted
pick – but it is #73, so perhaps worth the risk. Of the Russians
available, Anisimov is arguably the most talented. He is a strong skater,
sees the ice well, can play in both offensive and defensive situations and
has a hard, accurate shot. Anisimov’s coming out party was the 2006 IIHF
U18 tournament. He wowed many of scouts who projected him as a sure fire
first round pick and showed that he has all the tools to be a dominant
power center in the mould of Pavel Datsyuk. It is because of Anisimov’s
fall to #54 that Andreas should be concerned as it reflects not only the
deteriorating state of affairs between
the Russian Hockey association and the NHL, but also that teams in
the Russian Super League are willing to pony up NHL sized salaries to
their top players. A very risky time to be investing in Russian players
indeed I’m
as surprised as anyone that the Blondes drafted the same player twice, but
who can blame them for buying into the “New NHL” hype? Brad
Marchand is very much in the same mould as Claude Giroux except even a
little bit smaller. Think Reaching into the overage pool again, the Blondes plucked out Marc-Andre Gragiani out of the muck. Andreas was uniquely able to zero in onto what I would describe as your “every-defenseman.” I mean …this is his exact write-up from “Hockey’s Future” (Man, I just wish I could write this good…): “Gragnani is not a particularly mean or strong defenseman, but he does a number of things very well. He is extremely smart both defensively and with the puck. His passing skills are good, and he knows when to pinch and when to retreat. In the defensive zone he knows when to protect the net and when to pursue the puck in the corners. Gragnani’s heart, however, may be his most appealing asset. He gives it 100 percent every shift and never takes a night off, and is willing to sacrifice his body for the good of the team.” Well,
shucks…I had him pencilled on my list, with that stellar write up why
didn’t I grab him dammit!!! OK…here is something you can’t ignore.
For With
the last pick out of thirteen you’d think you’d go for a bit of a
crap-shoot. Why not shoot for the moon? Live a little man!….Apparently
not the Blondes style. They selected a bonafide player who will likely
have real impact next season for the Detroit Red Wings. Kyle Quincy,
if all goes according to plan should find a solid role as at least a
part-time a #5 or #6 D-man
next year after impressing in Grand Rapids. In a sense it confirms the
current wisdom that one can never go wrong betting on the drafting of SEALS
9.) James Sheppard (Wild, #9, 2006) 21.)
Perttu Lindgren (Stars, #75, 2005) 38.)
Ondrej Fiala (Wild, #40, 2006) 41.)
Jhonas Enroth (Sabres, #46, 2006) 58.)
Patrick McNeill (Capitals, #118, 2005) 59.)
Jamie McBain (Hurricanes, #63, 2006) 64.)
Robin Figren (Islanders, #70, 2006) 77.)
Jesse Joensuu (Islanders, #60, 2006) 81.)
Theo Peckham (Oilers, #75, 2006) 87.)
Jonas Ahnelöv (Coyotes, #88, 2006) 89.)
David Kveton (Rangers, #104, 2006) 94.)
Oskar Osala (Capitals, #97, 2006) 99.)
Martin Latal (Coyotes, #131, 2006) 107.)
Joe Palmer (Blackhwaks, #96, 2006) 112.)
Jan-Mikael Juutilainen (Blackhawks, #156, 2006) Best
pick: Perttu Lindgren – next
Saku Koivu? Worst
pick: Jonas Ahnelov – next Cale Hulse? Overall
verdict: B- – I only see 6 potential NHLers, and most of them
have significant question marks… and relying
on scouts from Rags/Caps/Yotes/Isles for 7 out of 15 picks is generally
not advisable, given their track records at drafting outside the first
round The
Seals picked often as usual and with significant emphasis on European
talent. As per usual, GM Leduc also made several reaches favoring upside
over safe bets. It is too early to say whether the strategy will be
successful, but there are certainly a lot of players that have the
potential to make some noise some years down the line. Seals
were on the board at 9, hoping for Mueller or Brassard to fall, however
were pleasantly surprised to find James Sheppard available.
Frequently compared to Joe Thornton, Sheppard has a big frame and advanced
physical game, outstanding vision and soft hands. He is more of a
playmaker than finisher, however is above average in both roles. Sheppard
was mentioned as a top5 candidate going into the season and has showed
some real upside throughout the season, however hasn’t managed to put
forward a consistent enough performance to be mentioned as an absolute
elite pick. He has also had his mobility questioned and unfortunately he
disappeared in the playoffs when the pressure was on. Sheppard should
still develop into a solid pro, however it remains to be seen whether he
is a 1st or 2nd line talent. Solid, if unsurprising
pick. At
21, Leduc was another of the many GMs that made a play for an overager –
no doubt inspired by Ducklings, Stalefish and Epidemic going for more
proven players. Mike picked Perttu Lindgren, rookie of the year in At
38, the Seals made a slight reach on paper to select Ondrej Fiala,
foregoing players like Semen Varlamov and Dennis Persson. Fiala has been
plying his trade with Everett Silvertips in the WHL, posting rookie
numbers of 35 pts in 51 games while battling injuries all season. Fiala
has great mobility and puck skills, however the jury is still out on his
offensive upside – he has neither great vision and hockey sense, nor
fantastic finishing skills. While he has been relatively young in all
leagues he has participated in, he’s never put up eye-popping numbers
and 20 points in 40 games in the Czech Junior league as a 16-year old
isn’t exactly fantastic. Fiala didn’t manage to make the scoring lines
on the Czech WJC18 team – despite being one of the older players on the
team – and I would be surprised if he is one of the go-to guys on the
WJC20 team this year. Fiala played all year on Peter Mueller’s wing in Seals
went with goaltending for the #41 pick, reaching to secure Swede Jhonas
Enroth, who came into the season as a dark horse to be picked in the
draft, but who secured a solid pre-draft ranking with a great WJC U18 in
Sweden. Enroth is expected to see time in the Swedish 2nd tier
this season with
True to form, Mike continued his habit of selecting high risk/reward holdovers from previous drafts, next selecting Caps defender Patrick McNeill, who was somewhat surprisingly returned to the OHL Saginaw Spirit for a 4th season after failing to stick at the Caps camp. McNeill is an offense first defender; he has a great slap shot, is strong at the point on the PP and has very solid outlet passing. His decision making about when to pinch is however an area for concern, as is his very average mobility and lack of strength. McNeill can definitely develop into a top4 rearguard, but I would be concerned with the fact he didn’t make the Caps – after all, the Caps blueline (including Pothier, Heward, Muir most nights) doesn’t exactly stand out as very solid, and with fellow youngsters Eminger, Morrisonn, Green, Pokoluk, Schultz and Finley on the pipeline, it is a bit difficult to see just where McNeill fits into the Caps plans. Suspect pick, but the upside is certainly there. With the second of back to back picks, Seals went with US NTDP rearguard Jamie McBain, a really solid pick of a player that has constantly improved throughout the season and played his best hockey in the most important tournaments. McBain is a jack of all trades and a master of none; however he is really above average across the board with a slight question mark for skating. He plays a very solid and simple defensive game, with considerable grit, and has very good vision and a heavy slapper to use on the PP. The Hurricanes have been good at drafting d-men and I believe McBain will be another in a long line of solid picks – look for him to settle as a #4 d-man that’s used on both special teams. Swedish
winger Robin Figren made it 4 reaches in a row for the Seals, and
the pick seemed based on raving Isles fans more than anything else.
Granted, if you’re an Isles fan, anything is an improvement over what
you have and consequently it doesn’t take a lot to make them happy.
Jokes aside, Figren is a strong skater, who will go up and down his wing
and create offense as needed. He has a strong arsenal of shots and will go
to the net to score. Figren can undoubtedly be productive on the right
line, however he can never be expected to be a player that creates offense
on his own; his vision and creativity is too limited for this. I would
expect Figren to settle into a Ryan Kessler like role on a thirdline and
don’t expect him to become an offensive force. Figren will be playing
for the Calgary Hitmen this season, where Mike can undoubtedly support him
with some playmaking advice This year’s Jesse Niinimäki-award go to Jesse Joensuu – like Niinimäki he is huge, was projected as a top10 pick, ended up as a complete no show during the whole draft season and has gone from future superstar status to bubble player. Niinimäki, of course, have had a couple of seasons since further proving his bust potential, but there is still time for Joensuu to put things together. Another difference is that while Niinimäki was still picked in the first round by the unfortunate Oilers, scouts actually took notice and Joensuu fell to #60. This puts reasonable expectations on his future development and saw him still available when Mike picked at 77. That Mike would in fact pick him was somewhat of a foregone conclusion – it’s in the Seals makeup to take a chance on an enigmatic talent that COULD be special and it’s very hard to argue with this approach as late in the draft as the 2nd half of the 4th round. Fast forwarding to the start of the season, Joensuu is slowly starting to prove Mike right – he has been productive on the Ässet Pori squad and look to triple his numbers from last season, while quickly moving up the depth chart. He still has issues with mobility and puck control, however this is not unusual for 6’4 youngsters… his vision and shooting however have been great and he has significantly upped his energy level and consistency since last season. Joensuu looks like he could very well be a hidden gem, although he is still very rough around the edges. Great pick! Contrary
to form, Mike then went with a player without significant upside… or did
I miss something? Theo Peckham is a big, slow and very bruising
d-man that will likely end up filling a role similar to current Oiler Matt
Greene – toughness and crease clearing and not too much else. Like
Greene, he is also pretty prone to be beaten wide and has clear problems
covering against speedy forwards. Peckham will likely see increased ice
time this year in
Mike continued with picking a third Swede – no doubt impressed by the excellent Swedish GMing on display in the C – and went with physical stay-at-home d-man Jonas Ahnelöv of Frölunda Indians, a solid defensive d-man that brings plenty of grit, good size and good mobility to the table. Ahnelov is in some aspects similar to current Devils rookie Johnny Oduya, though he has less vision and offense. I was actually somewhat surprised that Ahnelov went in the top100 of the NHL draft, and the fact it happened to be the hapless Coyotes picking him does nothing to strengthen my belief in Ahnelov as a future NHLer. To make things worse, he is playing for a team in free fall where he has had a tough time getting any significant ice time and where it is increasingly likely that a vet will be brought in to take his spot in the lineup as the season progresses. Looking forward, I’d be surprised to see Ahnelov have upside past a bottom pairing, defensive role and it is rare that Europeans make the trip over for minimum salary with limited upside, as they can frequently make similar money in Germany or Switzerland with less effort. Another not so great pickup as I just don’t see any upside David
Kveton signalled a return to true
form as the Seals once again picked a high risk/reward forward out of Oskar
Osala is a European winger that
DOES actually play in the CHL and he has developed into a go-to-guy for
the OHL Ice Dogs. Osala shares many traits with fellow Finn Jesse Joensuu
– he is big, mobile and physical and has soft hands. Unfortunately, they
also share one real problem area in consistency. Contrary to Joensuu,
Osala was never highly touted coming into the draft, however could
surprise. Osala may develop into an allround 2nd liner –
however, I have a pretty hard time seeing any higher potential. When he is
on his game, he is one of the 30 top offensive players in the OHL, however
many nights he is completely invisible. Will likely be a player dependant
on solid playmaking to put up significant pro numbers and therefore I
would expect it’s more likely that he sees time as a checker at the NHL
level, or goes back to At 99, Seals selected David Kvet… sorry, Martin Latal… weird with another Czech just like him, must be a fetish of some kind… Seals actually managed to select 10 Euros in this draft, possibly a CNGHL record, and Latal was #9… for an evaluation of Latal – check Kveton, with the exception that Latal has decided to stay in the QMJHL, where he stars for PEI Rockets. Latal and Kveton are actually ex team mates for Vsetin and play a very similar game with the main difference that Latal is smaller and less physical than Kveton. While there is a lot of dazzling talent in Latal – especially speed and stickhandling – I’d be tempted to suggest that he’ll be a Czech Extraliga all-star for many, many years… and with Coyotes shitty drafting track record and inability to develop talent, nothing suggests that it would be otherwise… Goalie Joe Palmer looks like a crap shoot pick at 107 – he is a goalie of the type that could end up an NHL starter 6 years down the line but could as well never even reach the AHL level… picking a goalie late is never bad as goalies take longer to develop and it simply is hard to judge their upside as examples like Ryan Miller, Antero Niittymäki, Ray Emery and Justin Pogge highlights, however so far it is certainly hard to suggest that Palmer would have similar success. Palmer is blessed with great reflexes and is a very strong puckhandler, however he is lacking in positioning and playing the angles. He needs significant coaching to take the next steps but does have the raw potential to be a starter down the line. He will attend Ohio State University this fall and will very likely play out his college eligibility, especially considering that the Black Hawks will likely turn to Corey Crawford for any immediate goaltending needs over the next couple of years Finally,
Seals finished up the draft with a real dark horse in Finnish centre Jan-Mikael
Juutilainen, who flew under the radar for most of the season but burst
on to the international scene with a pin-up performance at the U18 WJC. In
fact, the performance was good enough for ISS to bump his pre-draft
rankings from 152 to 19 in their last instalment before the draft, however
none of the STALEFISH
10.) Petr Prucha (Rangers, #240, 2002) 18.) Kyle Wellwood (Leafs, #134, 2001) 30.) Paul Ranger (Lightning, #183, 2002) Best
pick: Kyle Wellwood – has point
per game upside! Worst
pick: Petr Prucha – not for the pick itself, but for giving up
Hartnell Overall
verdict: A- – All picks are solid pros
with interesting upside Chris
started out with very active maneuvering to secure an early pick in the
draft, homing in on Petr Prucha. There were discussions around the
#6 pick, but ultimately Chris went hard for the #10 pick when it was clear
Prucha was still available. The price? Giving up gritty and talented
winger Scott Hartnell and this is to me the real puzzler in the deal…
Hartnell and Prucha is the same age. Prucha is a 47 points player (in 68
games) while Hartnell is a 48 points player (in 82 games)… HOWEVER –
Hartnell is a physical force, a good skater, a player who is solid in his
own zone and who creates most of the offense on his line – indeed, he
has put up the 48 points in the company of “big name” players like
Yannic Perrault and Martin Erat. By comparison, Prucha’s points have
come playing wingman to Straka and Jagr and half of his points have come
on the PP. In fact, the 5’10/165 lbs Prucha is easily dominated and not
particularly fast and it is hard to see how he can be very effective at
even strength without supremely talented line mates that creates space for
him. In fact, the last 19 games of the season Prucha was taken off of
Jagr’s line. The result was 3 goals and 1 assist in 15 games and ending
the season as a healthy scratch 4 times. Prucha scored half his goals
during a 15 game hot-streak mid-way through the season. I think picking
Prucha early has merit – after all, a proven 30 (35 pro-rated) goals
player is a rare find; however giving up Hartnell to get him makes less
sense to me. Stalefish
were on board again for the #18 pick and a player in similar mold was
picked in diminutive Leafs center Kyle Wellwood. The Paul
Ranger was the final pick from
Chris and again it is a solid pick, albeit unspectacular. Ranger is a
stay-at-home d-man that keeps it simple, but also has a pretty solid
outlet game. He has solid size and plays a disciplined game – he isn’t
overly physical but will get the job done. Ranger could be considered a
“light” version of current Stalefish blueliner Scott Hannan and does
have some upside. The off-season loss of Pavel Kubina sees Ranger as a
likely #3 on the depth chart (after Boyle/Kuba) and barring any camp
surprises, he may well see ice time on both special teams which may be
enough to get him an audition with the Stalefish’s pro roster in the
coming couple of seasons. From a CNGHL perspective, he’s likely to top
out as a #4/#5 defensive d-man, which could provide for an attractive mix
of high DF/ST and low salary BULLMAX
5.)
Phil Kessel (Bruins, #5, 2006) 45.)
Nick Foligno (Senators, #28, 2006) 62.)
Francois Bouchard (Capitals, #35, 2006) 68.)
Andreas Nodl (Flyers, #39, 2006) 80.)
Shawn Matthias (Wings, #47, 2006) 93.)
Denis Bodrov (Flyers, #55, 2006) Best
pick: Shawn Matthias – since
Kessel was a given! Worst
pick: Denis Bodrov – Much good he’ll do over in Overall
verdict: B – Mixed bag, with nice finds in Foligno, Nodl and
Matthias – however, only Kessel stands out as a clear difference maker
in a 20-team league Well…
Bullmax ended up with the draft day wild-card at 5. Phil Kessel is
undeniably talented and Bruins and Bullmax fans alike could well look back
at this day in a couple of years and loving the fact that four teams
actually passed Kessel up – however, Kessel is arguably also the top5
pick with the highest bust potential. The facts: Kessel may be the best
skater in the draft, he is a very deft stickhandler and he is lethal one
on one. He also has above average finishing skills and many see him as a
future Maxim Afinogenov – however, with the distinct difference that
Kessel has a wicked wrister while Afinogenov relies on stickhandling the
puck into the goal. However, the reason for Kessel going from a shoe-in to
be the first overall pick to falling to #5 is a combination of traits that
haven’t exactly endeared him to scouts. Kessel’s maturity has been
questioned, and his combination of arrogance and outspokenness as
witnessed publicly suggest he will make Sidney Crosby look like a born
captain. Furthermore, Kessel has failed to step up his play in important
games. He performed well against lesser teams in the WJC but was a
complete no-show against the tough Canadian D. He also failed to make an
impact in the elimination games for The
Bullmax had to wait two full rounds before being on the board again and
this time went with Sens prospect Nick Foligno, a true blue collar
player that wears his emotions on the sleeve. Foligno can do a bit of
everything; he is a fierce competitor that plays hard and who produces at
both ends of the ice. Doesn’t own the high-end offensive skills set for
a 1st line role, however is a safe bet to develop into at least
a 2nd/3rd line presence that can play both special
teams – a cross between Kyle Calder and Darcy Tucker is probably a good
comparison – less physical than the latter, but owning the quickness and
skills of the former. He has had issues with poor discipline that will
hopefully be corrected with maturity and age. Arguably picked early in the
NHL draft, Foligno should nevertheless be considered a find at 45 and has
limited downside For
their second pick in a row, Bullmax went with bloodlines. Nick Foligno’s
father Mike played for a long time in the NHL and their third pick Francois
Bouchard is the younger brother of Wild youngster Pierre-Marc. Like
his brother, Francois is a great skater and stickhandler with an
impressive offensive skills set and his 102pts in 69 games for Baie-Comeau
Drakkar in the QMJHL indicates pro-scroing upside. Francois is also bigger
than his brother at 6’/180lbs – so why was he picked 35th
overall in a weaker draft while PM went 8th? Well, the major
difference is that while PM actively initiates contact, Francois tends to
play a perimeter game and is consistently shut out when facing very
physical opposition – this has been very evident especially in playoff
games, where he has tended to disappear completely. Bouchard has the tools
to be a top6 forward in the NHL, however unless he significantly builds
strength and improves his willingness to play in traffic, he seems
destined for a path similar to many high-scoring QMJHL-grads – as a AHL
or ECHL MVP. Bouchard has enough upside to be interesting at 62, however I
think Capitals screwed themselves using the 35th overall pick
on him Kevin
continued with picking up Austrian USHL sensation Andreas Nodl, a
speedster that have scored at a goal a game clip in the high school
league. Nodl is committed to St.Cloud’s for the upcoming season and will
likely need 3 years in college and another in the minors before having a
sniff at NHL Hockey. Nodl was picked surprisingly early in the NHL draft,
undoubtedly in part due to his strong skating, however it is questionable
whether he possesses either the high-end offensive skills to be a
consistent scorer or the defensive commitment to become a quality
checker… however, given his mobility, he could potentially excel in
either role. For now, consider Nodl a project that could pay dividends
down the line Kevin
again went with speed with his fourth pick, selecting tough center Shawn
Matthias 80th overall in a pick that I feel is very good
– should’ve thought about it myself! Matthias has been a bit of a wild
card throughout the years, but entered the draft as one of the players
that was really shooting up the rankings – ISS had him ranked #157 going
into the year and at #27 at the draft. At 6’3/215lbs and a solid skater,
Matthias can throw trainwreck hits, excels on the forecheck and is one of
the defensively most mature and advanced players in the draft. He is
underrated as a scorer – while he definitely hasn’t posted big
numbers, he still has a solid understanding of the game, gets himself in
position and is willing to scrap to score goals. Matthias could very well
round into a Darren McCarty or Kirk Maltby type of player – at best, he
could put up 50 pts per season, while playing solid defense. The fact that
he also has the “Red Wings” rubber stamp of approval also suggests
there may well be good things to come. All you could want from a #80 pick! Kevin
closed the draft by Denis Bodrov, a Flyers second round selection
in the 2006 draft. Bodrov is an overager that was passed over in the 2005
draft and since has put up an unremarkable season in |