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Season 8 CNGHL Entry Draft review October 2006 - By Andreas Persson The season 8 draft has come and gone and it was certainly one of the liveliest drafts in recent CNGHL memory, buoyed by high attendance and some new and very active GMs that made a great effort. There were also quite a lot of attractive players available in the draft. The draft got off to a very active start with the Kumquats off-loading all their picks leading up to the draft, followed by a blockbuster where the Blondes acquired a new starter and the 3rd overall pick in a trade that saw Bryan Berard and Chris Osgood move to Royals and boost Royals into a credible playoff team. There were seven instances of a first rounders traded at draft day alone, and the KUM1st (10th overall) was moved three times on draft day from Kumquats via Blondes and Royals to Stalefish who used the pick to draft Petr Prucha. Looking at the drafting in retrospect, it was peculiar with several opportunities for finds. Some facts:
Several GMs made large reaches very early and the merit of those will be tested in time. As always, I’ve made a team-by-team review based on my own personal views and most of them are likely to be false. I’ve also been asked to rip into GMs more (or be less diplomatic), however take it with a grain of salt – lest I get monthly hate posts of “well, now my prospect X and Y are outperforming your stupid-ass projections”… As many know, I am a bit skeptical of drafting proven second or thirdliners early, so keep this in mind. Finally – you may notice that the Blondes team-review stands out as being very good – some would suspect I took extra care with my own team, but the reality is that this excellent piece of writing was contributed by Mike. While I aspire to write at the same level, this has me really considering outsourcing more of next year’s review to him! Let the fun begin! TEAM-BY-TEAM REVIEWMomesso Conference
Dowd DivisionVORPAL BUNNIES
13.) Jiri Tlusty (Leafs, #13, 2006) 33.) Ivan Vishnevski (Stars, #27, 2006) 49.) Tomas Kana (Blues, #31, 2006) 53.) Carl Sneep (Penguins, #32, 2006) 76.) Kaspars Daugavin (Senators, #91, 2006) 101.) Jeff Zatkoff (Kings, #74, 2006)
Best pick: Jiri Tlusty Worst pick: Carl Sneep Overall verdict: B – Solid if unspectacular picks all round PF went Czech with his first pick for the second year in a row, as budding power forward Jiri Tlusty was picked up with the 13th overall pick. Tlusty came out of nowhere in the second half of the season, where he started putting up big points in the Czech extraliga, and he crowned the season by being the best Czech player in the WJC Under-20s – despite being one of the youngest players on the team. Tlusty is a budding power forward that blends great speed with size and a physical game and could eventually develop into a player of similar skills set to Jerome Iginla. Jiri Tlusty is slated to play for the Toronto Marlies in the AHL if he doesn’t crack the Leafs pro team, however could well be sent down to juniors, where SSO Greyhounds of the OHL has his rights from the CHL import draft. My bet would be to see him in the AHL this season, with some call-ups towards the end of the season as the Leafs are thin up front The Bunnies continued picking up high-upside players with talented Russian d-man Ivan Vishnevski – a player frequently compared to Sergei Zubov. Vishnevski is all about offense – he is one of the best skaters in the draft and has an above average skills set across the board in the offensive zone. Where he needs significant work, however, is on defense. At 5’11/175lbs, Vishnevski has big problems containing larger forwards and his positioning is another area that will need work. Like many young Russians, he also exhibits spotty work ethic and is very inconsistent. Vishnevski will spend at least another season in the QMJHL, but figures to develop into a top4 d-man who runs the top PP unit. Great pick in the mid second round and possibly a higher upside player than Tlusty, however there is also a risk that Vishnevski ends up like Kirill Koltsov Continuing through the list, Peca is more and more reminding me of Anders – picking up Euros left, right and center. PF’s third pick was not an exception to this – another Czech in promising pivot Tomas Kana. From an NHL standpoint, Kana is the type of player every team needs – he can play well in any situation and while he’ll never be a very productive top line player, he’ll be a very useful member of the 2nd/3rd lines as well as a main contributor on the PK. Look for Kana to settle into a role similar to Mike Johnson or Jason Blake at best. From a FHL perspective, Kana will obviously be slightly less useful and at 49, arguably, there would’ve been higher upside choices available. Kana will play at least one more season in the top Czech league, before potentially coming over to the U.S. The Blues aren’t exactly stocked right now, so there is reason to believe that Kana will be given every chance to contribute shortly
Finally selecting an American, PF picked up hulking d-man Carl Sneep at 53. Sneep was – somewhat surprisingly – picked up in the early 2nd round in the NHL draft, after having been projected by most scouts to be a late 3rd round pick. Sneep have solid fundamentals – he is huge at 6’4/210 lbs, very mobile for his size and has overall good vision. So far, Sneep has only competed at USHL level, where due especially to superior size, he has dominated the opposition. Bound for Boston College this fall, Sneep is looking to prove himself at a higher level. Sneep will likely take 3-4 years at least before making a play for the pro-leagues and it isn’t impossible that he will look to complete his degree. He has the potential to be a primarily defensive top4 d-man, however at this point he is a project. Interesting pick and worth a flier, but should probably have been picked later in the draft Arguably the most interesting Bunnies pick came at 76, where unheralded Latvian Kaspars Daugavin was selected. The young center has everything including an unpronounceable, exotic name… Daugavins has come over to North America and will suit up for Toronto St. Michael’s Majors in the OHL for the season. Daugavins already plays an American style hockey and goes hard to the net. He is a tireless worker with great vision and playmaking skills and figures to settle in as a second line center that plays well defensively and on the PK, while still producing offensively. Look for Daugavins to be one of the go-to guys on his junior team this season and for him to be making a mark in the NHL in 2009. He is not by any means a sure thing to make the big show, but he does at least have the upside
Goalie Jeff Zatkoff was the final pick of the day for Peca at 101. Zatkoff comes off a stellar performance for the University of Ohio-Miami and was selected the team’s rookie of the year the past season. He is a very athletic goalie with strong reflexes and a quick glove hand, however needs to work on rebound control. He will be looking to claim the starters spot this year in the CCHA. Considering the goaltending pipeline in LA, with Jonathan Bernier and Jonathan Quick clearly ahead of Zatkoff, and with a number of rather young players such as Ryan Munce, Barry Brust and Adam Hauser vying for spots, Zatkoff should be considered a long-shot to make the NHL and it would be very surprising if he elects not to play out his college eligibility, before turning pro for the 2009/10 season. Picking goalies late is never bad, as their development is difficult to forecast, however I wouldn’t bet on Zatkoff being the real deal. BRAWLERS
7.) Derick Brassard (Jackets, #6, 2006) 27.) Bob Sanguinetti (Rangers, #21, 2006) 47.) Cory Emmerton (Wings, #41, 2006) 69.) Ryan White (Canadiens, #66, 2006) 70.) Alexander Vasyunov (Devils, #58, 2006) Best pick: Bob Sanguinetti – you cannot teach that vision and skating Worst pick: Ryan White – nice role player, but likely no impact in 20-team league Overall verdict: A – Solid performance all-round, with the three first picks very likely to pay significant dividends Brawlers’
Bryan was quiet on draft day, preferring to keep the picks he went into
the draft with over seeking trades, however he certainly made the picks
count and got away from the draft with at least two bluechip prospects and
a couple of players that should realistically have a good shot at being
solid role players as well Things got off to a fast start with the selection of QMJHL standout and speedster Derick Brassard who has been tearing up the Q with impressive offensive performance. A two points per game average is impressive even in the high scoring Q. Brassard is blessed with great wheels and has a style that can be amply compared to Teemu Selänne or Paul Kariya, though his future niche is likely more as set-up man than finisher. Brassard is a potentially game-breaking talent and the only concern going forward should be his ability to stay healthy (having missed 50 QMJHL games over past two seasons) and continuing to develop his core assets in skating and skills. Brassard also need to get stronger to cope with the bigger competition, however he does play with a physical edge already and is unlikely to be limited to a perimeter role. Brassard is a very solid pick, which should be expected at 7 overall
Next, Brawlers turned to defense with slick skating offensive talent Bob Sanguinetti, whose upside should be along the lines of Sandis Ozolinsh (hopefully sans booze). Sanguinetti’s core assets are great mobility and very good vision/playmaking skills. He is at the very least expected to make the league as a PP specialist, however his defensive play is sound enough to not hurt teams. He has decent but not great size and isn’t overly physical and the defensive zone play – notably shot blocking, crease clearing and one-on-one work is where he needs to take further steps to become a pro. He is likely headed back for another year in the OHL (much the same route as was chosen by Rags management for Marc Staal last year) and will also likely need some time in the AHL before graduating to the Rangers roster. Sanguinetti was thought by many to be the second best d-man in the draft after Eric Johnson and getting him at 27 is an outright steal Cory Emmerton went into the draft as a highly touted two-way forward prospect and many expected him to go late in the first round, however he had to wait mid-way through the second to be nabbed up. Emmerton has an allround solid game, but several coaches knocked him for lacking the high end offensive skills and for failing to bring a consistent performance at the U18 WJC. He is a pick with very limited downside – the combination of high mobility, defensive awareness and good understanding of the game is likely to at least land Emmerton a job as a third line checker. His offensive upside is debatable; however look for him to be on a mission this year to prove that his 90pts performance wasn’t a fluke. Emmerton could well develop into a Marc Sturm type of player that can contribute at both ends and be very valuable to a team. Again, a very solid pick for a third rounder Brawlers got some help on defensively adept forwards in the form of Ryan White with the #69 pick.. White was generally expected to go towards the end of the first round in the NHL draft and him being available at #69 is a great catch – however, he is the type of player who’s value doesn’t translate very well to the FHL. White is a defensively very strong center that plays a physical and gritty role, frustrating opposing players. He also has solid offensive skills, however the lack of elite hands and mobility will likely limit his pro upside to being a great 3rd line center that can fill in on the second line if need be. Similar in style to Mike Richards and Ryan Kesler, White will likely be a mainstay on the penalty kill and could well be a future captain for the Habs. From a CNGHL perspective, the pick is somewhat unspectacular, however there is virtually no downside and that’s a pretty good outcome of a pick around 70. White will likely be back for at least another year in the WHL, however his maturity is high and his game should translate pretty easily to the pro-ranks, so it isn’t conceivable to seem him with a regular shift on Montreal’s fourth line in 2007/08 Bryan closed out the drafting by picking skilled but enigmatic Russian sniper Alex Vasyunov, one of the Devil’s many Russian picks from the 2006 draft. Vasyunov is classic Russian prospect – he boasts top notch shooting arsenal and hands, hasn’t been in the defensive zone more than twice the past year and has erratic work ethic to say the least. He DID show up for the U18 WJC and made a great impression on scouts, however at this point it is safe to say that his absolute upside and downside are far apart. The future will tell whether Vasyunov turns into Sergei Samsonov or Igor Radulov – for now, Vasyunov needs to establish himself on Yaroslavl’s pro-team, as he so far has only played on the farm team KUMQUATS
98.) Mike Weber (Sabres, #57, 2006) Overall verdict: C – there isn’t anything in particular wrong with Weber, but having one pick at 98 is simply not worth a better grade Kumquats made a flurry of trades going into the draft, as Quinton found himself unable to attend, and these trades seriously strengthened the team to the point of contending for the conference in the east with historical powers Epidemic and Zebras looking weaker than in recent memory. That said, Quinton was left with only one pick, which was used on Windsor Spitfire blueliner Mike Weber, who was at times touted as a potential NHL first rounder, but who somewhat surprisingly fell to the mid-second round. Weber is a solid defensive d-man, who has few weaknesses. At 6’2/200 lbs and with plenty of hockey smarts, Weber plays a solid and physical defensive game and plays it simple and error free. He has good overall awareness in both zones and picks his spots to use a somewhat underrated offense. Look for him to develop into a Keith Carney like player at the NHL level ZEBRAS
17.) Chris Stewart (Avalanche, #18, 2006) 37.) Michel Ouellet (Penguins, #124, 2000) 57.) Ben Maxwell (Canadiens, #49, 2006) 61.) Michael Forney (Thrashers, #80, 2006) 75.) Kevin Dallman (Bruins, undrafted) 84.) Maxim Kondratiev (Leafs, #168, 2001) 105.) Chad Larose (Hurricanes, undrafted) Best pick: Michel Ouellet – If he remains in a top6 role with the Pens, he’s likely to produce more points than the rest of the picks combined… Worst pick: Maxim Kondratiev – Max just returned to Russia for the second time due to higher salary over there. At least draft someone interested in playing in North America Overall
verdict: C+ – Ouellet and Maxwell are great picks… but the rest of
the draft was really pretty forgettable The
Zebras started off very untrue to form by electing to go with budding
power forward Chris Stewart, an unconventional choice for a GM who
stands out as having one of the softest and most defense minded teams in
the CNGHL. The younger brother of Anthony Stewart, Chris has pretty much
the same make-up; like his brother, Chris will never score highlight goals
and won’t be a perennial all-star, but a hard worker that brings grit
and scores garbage goals in droves. Paired up with a solid playmaker, he
is the type of player that could contribute 35-40 goals down the line,
however he can likely not be counted on to produce a lot on his own. The
best case sees Stewart develop into a Glen Murray or John Leclair type of
player (50pts without talented playmaker, 80pts with), however the big IF
in the equation whether he ultimately sticks on the top 2 lines. Failing
that, he may have a long career as a checker. Stewarts main challenges
will be in improving consistency and conditioning. Decent but not
fantastic pick Penguins
overager Michel Ouellet raised eyebrows in East Vancouver after
getting a regular shift with Sid the Wonderkid in Pittsburgh during parts
of the past season and Anthony decided to take an opportunistic approach
foregoing highly touted draft picks like Semen Varlamov. Ouellet once
again finds himself in a top6 role with the Pens and with Crosby and
Malkin as the 1-2 punch at center, Ouellet is a virtual lock to produce
60+ points annually. Ouellet will never be confused with 1st
line talent; however, much like a Mike Knuble or Jonathan Cheechoo, he is
certainly a good enough player to be very productive with a solid
playmaker and for this reason Ouellet is without question the best of
Anthony’s pickups in this draft… big thumbs up (yeah, even I am
shocked at my thunderous endorsement of picking a 24 y.o. second line
talent in the top 40) Zebras
scouts we’re on a tear at this point in the draft and decided to go with
slight speedster Ben Maxwell of the Kootenay Ice with the next pick
at 57. Maxwell was a wild card going into the NHL draft, projected
anywhere between 20 and 60 in pre-draft rankings and ended up selected by
the Habs at 49. He has a very solid offensive skills set and is one of the
best skaters in the draft, with very solid playmaking and finishing skills
to boot. The knock on him is that he is soft as butter and very
reluctantly enters the defensive zone about once every period. Maxwell has
the tools and talent to be a first liner and his start to the WHL season
hints at potential greatness, however it is likely that he’ll need some
seasoning in the AHL before taking the step to the NHL while working on
his grit and defensive game. Very good pick at 57, rivaling the Ouellet
pick-up as the Zebra’s best College
bound Mike Forney became the next new Zebra with the #61 pick – a
considerable reach considering that Forney was picked at #80 overall in
the NHL draft and several top40 players were still available. Part of this
may be attributed to the relatively small difference between players in
this span, part to the fact that Forney arguably was overlooked in the NHL
draft. He possesses a pretty compelling skills package in very solid size
and strong mobility. He is also versatile and a budding 2-way threat. The
main question mark is around overall upside – Forney is above average in
all areas but nothing stands out as spectacular and hence, there is a
pretty significant likelihood that he is thus bound for a career as a
checker. He has also not been tested against better competition than USHS
level and will need to prove himself this year as one of the freshmen on a
rather stacked At
75, Anthony reverted to picking overagers – and Kevin Dallman was
the first in a line of… well… players that have proven they won’t be
FHL contributors. The skinny on Dallman’s past season: he was waived by
the Bruins – a team that finished 3rd worst in the east and
in the bottom 10 in goals against – and subsequently failed to be
resigned by the Blues – who finished with the worst overall record and
with the 3rd highest goals against. This year, he’ll be
plying his trade with the Kings – a team generally expected to finish
bottom 5 – where he has already seen 2 games from the press box and is
jeered by the fans. But hey, what’s there not to like about a slow,
5’11 d-man? Wasted pick! If
things weren’t already bad, they took a turn for worse with the #84
pick. Maxim Kondratiev has already been bought out twice by CNGHL
teams. Worse yet – at the young age of 23, he has already left NHL teams
twice for the Russian league as he has failed to work hard enough to
secure a spot. Kondratiev is undeniably talented – however, at the
current rate, it is very difficult to see why he’d once again come over
to the U.S. as he can clearly earn more money as a top3 guy in Russia than
as a #5 with attitude problems in North America. The one thing than can be
said for Dallman – he’ll probably play somewhere in some capacity –
may not even be true for Kondratiev Rounding
out the Zebra draft is undrafted and unheralded Hurricanes winger Chad
Larose, who does have a cup ring… and that’s about it. Larose is a
player that would be a perennial AHL all-star, only he is pressed into
service as an all-purpose 4th liner in DYKES
15.)
Jonathan Bernier (Kings, #11, 2006) 35.)
David Fischer (Canadiens, #20, 2006) 55.)
Igor Makarov (Blackhawks, #33, 2006) 78.)
Riley Holzapfel (Thrashers, #43, 2006) Best
pick: David Fischer – could
become a top-pairing steal Worst
pick: Riley Holzapfel – quick – someone mention a Thrashers 3rd
rounder that have been remotely close to making the NHL? Overall
verdict: B+ – Auto-picking sometimes works out extremely well and
Dykes managed to pick up one of the top goalies in the draft and a couple
of dark horses with solid potential Dykes
got on the board at 15 with diminutive but quick goalie Jonathan
Bernier. This year was not a great goalie year in the NHL draft,
however there were several promising netminders in the first round and
Bernier was picked first at 11. Bernier has had a very solid season for
Lewistone MAINEiacs, posting a 2.70 GAA which is very low for the
high-scoring QMJHL, however the most impressive display of his skills came
at the U18 WJC, where he was stellar. Bernier is a butterfly goalie who
has very quick reflexes and good agility. He is technically sound, both in
terms of positioning and rebound control. The one knock is his small size,
which makes him vulnerable especially up high. Bernier has game-stealing
ability and has also shown that he plays well under pressure – two
traits that may well separate him from other solid goalie prospects down
the line. The Kings currently have a solid goaltending situation – while
neither Cloutier nor Garon are yet elite goalies, both are good enough to
be starters for the time being, so there will be no rush in getting
Bernier into the pros. Expect 2 more years in Juniors and at least a year
in the AHL, however, Bernier should ultimately be the Kings (and Dykes)
goalie of the future At
35, the Dykes may have gotten their best pick of the draft in two-way
defense prospect David Fischer. Anytime you get a prospect picked
at 20 in the NHL draft with your 35th pick you’ve potentially
scored well, however what’s the more puzzling in this case is that the
reason isn’t because that #20 pick was a low upside player with
intangibles that are important to an NHL team but less so in a fantasy
league. Fischer has everything you would hope for in a defender – good
mobility and size, good vision and understanding of the position, solid
positioning and a good shot to boot. The one question mark – is he able
to put these pieces together and take them to the next level? The one
question mark with Fischer is the level of competition – he was this
year’s Mr.Hockey as Jorge
already has a highly touted and enigmatic (Bela)Russian in his
organization in Andrei Kostitsyn, and Igor Makarov
could be said to be a similar player. Makarov was touted as a player that
could go in the top half of the 1st round at the outset of the
season and ISS had him ranked 21st in October. Makarov was also
expected to be the player that returned the spotlight to Riley
Holzapfel was selected in the
mid-second round by the NHL Thrashers, and as such, getting him at 78 is
never bad. That said, there are a lot of question marks around
Holzapfel’s ultimate pro-upside – he is a player that definitely fits
the “new NHL” mold – he is vary mobile and shifty and has an
all-round solid offensive upside, however lacks size and grit. Holzapfel
put up very solid, but not remarkable numbers in the WHL for the Moose Jaw
Warriors 2nd line, but had a fantastic playoffs with 16 points
in 22 games as Sandlak
Division
DUCKLINGS
8.)
Justin Pogge (Leafs, #90, 2004) 19.)
Dustin Boyd (Flames, #98, 2004) 52.)
Nikolai Kulemin (Leafs, #44, 2006) 54.)
Jarkko Immonen (Leafs, #254, 2002) 86.)
Sergei Kostitsyn (Canadiens, #200, 2005) 90.)
Vladimir Zharkov (Devils, #77, 2006) 95.)
Nigel Dawes (Rangers, #149, 2003) 108.)
Patrick Thoresen (Oilers, undrafted) 111.)
Denis Kulyash (Predators, #243, 2004) Best
pick: Nigel Dawes – everything
screams “solid pro upside” despite size Worst
pick: Nikolai Kulemin – a Russian drafted by the Leafs… now,
what’s the statistical likelihood of this pick turning into anything? Overall
verdict: B – Mixed bag with some good highlights So
– anyone who is truly surprised, raise a hand! No hands? No one? Nope,
didn’t think so. Seeing Ducklings pick 7 overagers – whereof
4 Europeans – cannot have been a surprise to anyone. The main
surprise rather being that Anders missed out on Perttu Lindgren,
especially as he had the opportunity to pick Lindgren with the #19 pick A
year ago, the Maple Leafs had just picked highly touted Finnish goalie
prospect Tuukka Rask in the draft and, true to form, the Leafs Nation
unanimously declared Rask to be the Vezina winner of the future and a
perennial all-star. Fast forward one year, and a very good season of
Rask’s have led to the Leafs trading him… huh? Well, the reason is the
play of Justin Pogge, who a year ago was a forgotten 3rd
round pick from 2004. Pogge has emerged as one of the best goalies in the
whole of the CHL and crowned his season with a fantastic U20 WJC
performance for Team Another
pick that was surprisingly early indeed was picking up promising Flames
pivot Dustin Boyd at 19th overall. Boyd had a bit of a
coming out party as he scored 90pts for Moose Jaw Warriors and leading the
team to within two games of the WHL title and he is top ranked out of
Calgary prospects according to HF… however, the latter distinction
should be considered in the light of Flames having one of the worst
prospects pipelines in the NHL. Dustin Boyd is a good skater and a player
that gives 110% every shift – he is tenacious on the forecheck, however
his offensive skills have more to do with good vision than possessing
high-end skills. I would be surprised to see Boyd turn into much more than
a serviceable 3rd liner that can fill in on the top line and
see a player in the Steven Reinprecht mode at best. Boyd is a nice player,
however with only 15 2006 eligible prospects gone at this point, I can’t
help but feeling that something more exciting could’ve been had Ducklings
picked Nikolai Kulemin 44th, and while he was the first
2006 pick the Ducks selected, he was an overager coming into this draft
after being passed over last year. Kulemin was a surprisingly early
selection in the draft, and the fact he was considered a reach coupled
with the Leafs selecting him combines to form a very clear “stay away”
message in my mind. Add to this he’s Russian, and you really have a pick
where it’s just hard to see the upside. Kulemin is a prototypical
checker with some scoring upside, however it looks like he will top out as
Branko Radivojevic-type player that can be useful in any situation but
will excel in none. He put up reasonable numbers in the Russian league,
however this was partly due to seeing some special teams time on the
stacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk team. Kulemin may ultimately be a future
NHL player – especially considering the Leaf’s legacy of endlessly
keeping less talented players like fellow Russian Nik Antropov – however
at 52, there were several better choices available Anders went with another Euro overager for his next pick, selecting Finnish pivot Jarkko Immonen at 54. Immonen is a creative pivot that notably has great vision and soft hands and who will likely get a long, good look at Ranger’s camp this year. He ended last season impressively with 70pts in 74games for the Wolf Pack in the AHL and had a late cup of tea with the Rangers, not looking out of place. With only Nylander and Cullen as natural centers (except Straka, who will likely play on Jagr’s wing), a place on the 2nd line C is up for grabs. Immonen likely needs to stick this season, as he is already 24 years old and the window for him to prove he belongs on an NHL scoring line is closing. The main concern with Immonen’s game is his lacking footspeed, somewhat alarming considering the higher paced game. All in all, he could very well see some quality ice time this season; however I wouldn’t expect him to put up much more than 45-50 pts, and further significant upside is questionable, considering his relatively advanced age. Unexciting pick, and arguably too early at 54 Sergei
Kostitsyn is another Euro
overager, added to Anders considerable pool… Sergei, much like his older
brother Andrei, possesses a great offensive skills set, including
spectacular finishing skills – both, however, appear to be projects that
need significant maturing. Sergei is a much less heralded prospect, but
has proven his offensive upside on a stacked London Knights team (OHL) –
this season, he will be counted on to carry a lot of the load himself with
the departure of Robbie Schremp and Dave Bolland and it will be
interesting to see how he handles being the go-to guy. Kostisyn needs to
significantly upgrade intensity, defense and physical game to become a
force in the NHL – he is at this point to inconsistent and too easy to
take out of a game by playing physical. That said, he also has a skills
set that few players can match and ultimately, he could turn into a first
line player. Good pick at 86 for the sheer upside
Anders kept adding Russians at 90, where future sniper Vladimir Zharkov was added to the mix. The young, slippery Russian is a nice high risk/reward proposition in the 5th round and could ultimately turn into a very pleasant surprise for the team, as it is very clear he can put the puck in the net. Zharkov can actually be said to be the prototypical Russian prospect – he has all the typical traits in excellent mobility, good finishing skills and superb stickhandling, however he also exhibits many of the traits that ultimately has led to the failure of players like Igor Radulov and Pavel Vorobiev – he is prone to taking shifts or indeed games off, he shies away from the physical game. He is also relatively selfish with the puck and outright refuses to play defense. However, it should be said that the glimpses of brilliance exhibited by Zharkov suggests that he could develop into a Vycheslav Kozlov type player and such upside is definitely enough for this to be a very solid pick late in the draft Anders waited until well into the fifth round before bringing out his best – the first of solid back-to-back picks is diminutive winger Nigel Dawes, who will likely get a solid look in the Rangers camp this year. Dawes has great hands and mobility and has the skill to be a Theo Fleury-like scoring threat; however as with all players standing 5’8, there will always be concerns around durability and effectiveness at the NHL level. Look for Dawes to need a couple of years to fully adjust to the NHL before becoming a threat on a nightly basis, but there is no doubt he will be a productive player. Short
of picking any Danes, Anders turn to Norway for arguably the best
Norwegian player since Espen Kutsen in Patrick Thoresen, an
undrafted player that was signed by the Oilers in the off-season. Thoresen
is 23 and has a couple of very productive seasons in the Swedish Elite
League behind him. He is versatile and can line up at either forward
position and, while being a primarily offensive player, could as well be
used on a checking line. Thorsen likely doesn’t have the skills set to
be a dominant NHL player, however he has solid vision and good enough
hands to be a solid complementary player on one of the top 2 lines,
capable of putting up 50-60 pts with solid line mates. It looks somewhat
unlikely that Thorsen will make the top6 out of camp, but he should have a
good chance sticking with Anders
wrapped up his draft by picking Russian dark horse blueliner Denis
Kulyash with the #111 pick. Kulyash was an 8th rounder in
2004 and has since played a solid role for Dynamo Moscow in the Russian
Super League. His main claim to fame so far is a 12 goal performance last
season, which had Duckling scouts take notice. Kulyash’s main stand-out
skills is a big shot and he has been extremely effective on the PP. Add to
this solid size and a bit of a mean streak, and you have the ingredients
of a solid blueliner… however, Kulyash’s decision making is a main
area of concern; he is prone to pinching at the wrong time, has shown
problems handling hard forecheck and is prone to making poor outlet passes
which may be a key stumbling block for an NHL career. If he rounds out his
game, he may have a future as a second pairing d-man ROYALS
22.) Ryan Craig (Lightning, #255, 2002) 42.) Brad Richardson (Avalanche, #163, 2003) 65.) Maxime Talbot (Penguins, #234, 2002) Best
pick: Brad Richardson – will be
a solid 2-way center seeing a lot of PK time Worst
pick: Maxime Talbot – Couldn’t crack a Pens roster on a full time
basis last year, and the additions of Malkin and Staal won’t make it
easier… Overall
verdict: B- – Three defensive forwards won’t make or break a team
in a 20-team legue GM
Andy Saunders returned to the CNGHL after a one year hiatus and found his
veteran roster revamped through a pretty aggressive re-building scheme.
Saunders promptly re-focused on the now and significantly strengthened his
team by trading his first rounder in separate deals to acquire 81OV d-man
Bryan Berard and 76OV pivot Scott Hartnell, both who will help make Royals
a play-off team again after finishing in the league basement last season. Andy decided to go with relatively known commodities throughout the draft, starting off with scrappy Lightning winger Ryan Craig, an all-purpose two way player that can be productive in any situation. Craig is a player type that is very useful to an NHL team, however I’d seriously question his value in the FHL beyond a solid 3rd line role – Craig is a hard worker that will score plenty of goals based on a strong desire to go to the net and outworking anyone on the ice but to expect more than a consistent 25 goal, 50 pts production would surprise me a lot. Craig is 24 years old and is reaching his upside in terms of production. It is easy to look at his 48 games, 28 points production from last year and project stellar future production, however it should be considered that Craig has already spent 2.5 seasons in the AHL – scoring 75 pts in 170 games – without ever developing into a top line player. With only 16 2006 prospects gone at this point, it may be argued that something slightly more exciting could’ve been had with the #22 pick The
next pick fetched Avalanche pivot Brad Richardson, a 5th
round pick in 2003 that emerged as one of the OHL’s prime scorers after
his draft year, being one of the best players on a strong Owen Sound team.
Maxime
Talbot rounded out the Royals
draft, bringing in another talented, but slightly built player. Talbot
scored 300pts in 250 games in the QMJHL, which would suggest he is a
strong offensive contributor; however his role at the NHL level will
likely be more of the 3rd line energy type. Talbot is a solid
skater and a player of the type that will bring 110% every shift and he is
an above average finisher, even though his overall offensive skills set is
not good enough to play on a top line. Talbot was a surprise making the
Pens last year in an extensive audition; however, this was partly due to
the appalling state of the Pens roster last season. He is expected to
enter his third season in the AHL this year and with youngsters like VIOLATORS
16.)
56.) Michael Neuvirth (Capitals, #34, 2006) 79.) Jeff Petry (Oilers, #45, 2006) 104.) Codey Burki (Avalanche, #59, 2006) Best
pick: Worst
pick: Jeff Perty – honestly, will it be worth the wait? Overall
verdict: B- - Too Little to be really exiting Ken
really got a jackpot, finding Michael
Neuvirth
remained late into the CNGHL draft, though arguably he was selected very
early. Like many Czech goalies before him – notably Cechmanek and Hasek
– Neuvirth plays an unorthodox style and has game stealing talent,
however like Checko, he is also prone to breakdown when getting out of
position and being unable to recover on reflexes alone. Neuvirth enjoyed a
solid year in the Czech Juniors last year and has decided to take the step
over to Defender
Jeff
Petry definitely falls
under the category “worth waiting for…?” Despite being one of the
older players in the 2006 draft with a late ’87 birth date, he will
spend another year this season in the USHL before joining college in the
2007/08 season and hence will likely see a season with competition that is
far from stellar. It also pushes his projected date for impact at the pro
level quite some time forward; assuming Petry plays at least 2 seasons in
college and needs one full AHL season to acclimatize, he’s unlikely to
be in the NHL before the 2010/11 season. At that point, he will be turning
23. With that out of the way, however, there is a lot to like about
Petry’s overall skills set. He is a superior skater and has a generous
frame, though he will need to bulk up by around 40lbs… It is hard to
project Petry’s upside at this point, but he may eventually round into
an allround 2nd pairing d-man… however, considering the long
wait time along with the fact that prospects still in high school are
difficult to assess due to lacking competition, I’d say that there were
plenty of more attractive choices out there Violators rounded out the draft by picking up speedster Codey Burki of the Brandon Wheat Kings. Burki’s main claim to fame so far is somewhat surprisingly being selected the MVP of the 2006 top prospects game, notching the game winner. His main asset is strong skating and he has a solid game in both zones. He has gotten off to a hot start offensively this year in the WHL and the main question ability wise is around his offensive upside – Burkis overall play would lend itself very well to a 3rd line checking role, but it is as of yet unclear whether he can in fact be a scorer at the NHL level. Very solid pick at 104 – there is limited downside and some rankings had Burki as a potential late first rounder prior to the NHL draft EPIDEMIC
20.) Chris Campoli (Islanders, #227, 2004) 40.) Lee Stempniak (Blues, #148, 2003) Overall
verdict: B- – Autodraft would
have fetched the #14 and #23 picks in the NHL draft, one of which should
have higher impact than either player True
to form, the reigning Champion – that’s also true to form by the way
– went with experience and avoided the young 2006 draft class
altogether. At 20, Bryce picked promising Islanders blueliner Chris
Campoli, who had a fantastic rookie season on a pretty bad team.
Campoli enters the new season third on the Isles depth chart behind
Zhitnik and Witt, and should see time on the first PP unit. He will
contribute to step into the Epidemic line up immediately as well. Campoli
has a solid offensive game and his 34 points in 80 games were in the top5
of rookie d-man scoring, however it should also be noted that he stood out
as a team worst -16 on the Isles. Campoli is a player in the JM Liles mold
and it remains to be seen whether he can shape up his defensive game
enough to establish himself at the NHL level. For now, he looks like a #4
type with PP upside Lee
Stempniak was one of few sunshine
stories about last year’s lackluster Blues team, which was really the
laughing stock of the league. The underwhelming performance of several
vets along with a depleted roster meant several youngsters had a chance to
prove themselves at the NHL level and Stempniak was arguably the most
impressive. 27 points in 57 games was exceeding all expectations, though
he did finish the season with ICE
DOGS
1.)
Nicklas Bäckström (Capitals, #4, 2006) 23.)
Patrick Berglund (Blues, #25, 2006) 66.)
Yuri Alexandrov (Bruins, #37, 2006) 91.)
Keith Seabrook (Capitals, #52, 2006) 109.)
Simon Danis-Pepin (Blackhawks, #61, 2006) Best
pick: Nicklas Bäckström Worst
pick: Keith Seabrook Overall
verdict: B- – Solid but unspectacular draft – the later picks
don’t stand out as being special Ice
Dogs won the draft day lottery and were rewarded with their pick of the
consensus 4-5 clearly best players in the draft. Somewhat surprisingly to
many, the Dawgs started off with a reach by going for Swede Nicklas Bäckström,
selected 4th overall in the NHL entry draft by the Capitals.
The pick in itself was not so much of a surprise, since GM Angus had
advertised his intentions quite blatantly. The Blondes, who lost the
lottery, also had Bäckström tops of their list but had to “settle”
for Erik Johnson… So – why Bäckström? Well, the Ice Dogs saw plenty
to like – Bäckström may be the most NHL ready of the 2006 draftees,
however he has elected to remain in Angus
again went to Yuri
Alexandrov was widely expected to
go late 1st round in the NHL draft, but somewhat surprisingly
fell to the 2nd round, likely in part due to the uncertainty
about the transfer agreement with the Russian hockey federation.
Alexandrov was by many considered the best Russian player available in the
draft and also captained the WJC18 team. He is very solid offensively as
well as defensively, however has a bit a “jack of all trades, master of
none” problem – at 6’0/175lbs (being generous) and playing soft,
Alexandrov will never be a reliable crease clearer and will struggle
containing big opponents. His offense is solid, but he lacks the skills
upside of d-men like Ivan Vishnevsky and Bob Sanguinetti. Alexandrov could
develop into a solid 2nd pairing d-man that can be used on both
special teams, however I would expect him to top out as an elite player in
one of the European leagues since I think he will command more money there
for his skills set than what any NHL club will want to pay him for being
an unspectacular #4 Keith
Seabrook would undoubtedly have
been a much later pick in this draft, hadn’t it been for the very
successful rookie season of older brother Brent in The
Dawgs ended their draft with huge project Simon Danis-Pepin of the Murzyn ConferenceDirk
Division
BOMBERS
12.)
Michal Frolik (Panthers, #10, 2006) 32.)
Trevor Lewis (Kings, #17, 2006) 85.)
Dennis Wideman (Sabres, #241, 2002) Best
pick: Michal Frolik – could be
a true star! Worst
pick: Dennis Wideman – will certainly be an AHL all-star! Overall
verdict: B+ – Steve got
two guys with high-end upside despite only having three picks, neither of
which were very early Bombers
had a good night at the draft table and focused on upside rather than
going for safe and boring bets. Steve may be the single GM with the
highest risk profile out of this draft, but lacking early picks in a draft
that was top heavy, it’s always right to go with upside in a 20-team
league. Michal Frolik has the potential to be the steal of the
draft in both the NHL draft and the CNGHL version. Touted as a potential
top3 pick going into the season, Frolik has played well in the Czech
Extraliga, however has come up short in the international competition with
the Czech WJC team which has clearly hurt his draft stock. By comparison,
Jiri Tlusty performed in the WJC and went as early as Frolik despite being
virtually unknown before the draft. Frolik is a special talent with
advance vision and stickhandling that is second to none in the draft. He
has the ability to be a game breaker and has a relatively complete skills
set including decent defensive awareness. The knock on Frolik is his
inconsistency – scouts tend to differ whether it is a maturity and
desire problem or whether it has more to do with not yet having fully put
the complete puzzle in place. Be as it may, the upside is undeniable and
until proven otherwise, Frolik projects as a first line talent Bombers
followed up with another speedy forward in King’s prospect Trevor
Lewis. Lewis was considered 2nd round material by most
scouting mags going into the draft, however the Kings traded up to secure
their man and felt they had gotten a find at 17. With LA’s recent draft
record and Dean Lombardi (who oversaw great drafting in Steve
finished up with drafting rookie d-man Dennis Wideman, undoubtedly
partly to fill a need as depth for the Bombers woeful blueline. Wideman
was a very late pick by Sabres in the 2002 draft and he failed to earn a
contract with the Sabres and instead signed as a free agent with the
Blues. He proceeded to tear up the AHL with 43 points in the first season
and earned a spot on the Blues blueline in the 2005/06 season primarily as
a PP quarterback. Now, Wideman has been much talked about amongst Blues
fans based on the offensive upside and his 24 points as a rookie in the
NHL is no poor feat. What is not considered, however, is that Wideman
cannot play D, period. He was a -22 in 79 games with HYACKS
31.) Nigel Williams (Avalanche, #51, 2006) 51.) Niklas Bäckström (Wild, undrafted) 74.) Daniel Rahimi (Canucks, #82, 2006) 100.) Kevin Bieksa (Canucks, #151, 2001) 102.) Kris Russell (Jackets, #67, 2005) Best
pick: Nigel Williams – mammoth
blueliner has a lot to like Worst
pick: Nicklas Bäckström – no, this isn’t the center! Overall
verdict: C – A lot of solid and utterly unspectacular defensive
d-men… University
bound blueliner Nigel
Williams started Hyacks
off uncharacteristically late in the draft – and Ken did it with a MAJOR
reach compared to the NHL draft. The 17th overall pick Trevor
Lewis still being on the board, this pick may always be second guessed as
coming a round too early. That being said, Williams was mentioned as a
potential top 10 pick a month before the draft and has a skills package
that has a lot to offer – many saw him as the most complete d-man in the
draft behind Erik Johnson. Much of the fall in rankings may be attributed
to a rather forgettable WJC U18 showing, where he was expected to lead the
team but remained pretty invisible. Williams is big and surprisingly
mobile. He excels in defensive situations and will at the very least
develop into a defensive stalwart of the Jay McKee / Rhett Warrener type.
He does have solid instincts and vision though, along with a heavy shot,
so it isn’t inconceivable to see him on the PP down the line, though
that’ll likely not be his primary role. Williams will star for the
Ken
went with experienced Swedish goalie Niklas Bäckström at 51. Bäckström
is a 28 years old journeyman that has played most of his career in
At
74, Ken went with Finnish-Iranian rearguard Daniel Rahimi, out of
the Swedish 2nd tier league and juniors… drafting a player
out of Sweden that I hadn’t previously even heard of is no mean feat,
however it is certainly possible. Rahimi could essentially be said to be
Nigel Williams-light – somewhat smaller, much less heralded and a
long way away from playing in Staying with the Canucks theme, Ken picked up Kevin Bieksa with the #100 pick, the first of two picks acquired from the Blondes for Colin White. Bieksa should enjoy a very solid career as a bottom 3 d-man that can be used all-round. He is likely well-known by everyone in the league, so I won’t spend a lot of space describing him. Bieksa is a very solid pickup at 100 – however, there is in my mind not a clear case in moving Colin White to get him… …and
Kris Russell still has a lot to prove before convincing me that the
additional 5th rounder is enough to motivate the deal. There is a lot to
like about Russell – he has fantastic mobility, great hockey sense and
very solid offensive instincts. He also displays plenty of grit and solid
defensive positioning… so what’s the problem? Well, a 5’9/160 lbs
rearguard will always struggle to be effective in the NHL and players like
Freddy Meyer of the Flyers perfectly illustrate this example. Russell has
too much talent to not be an interesting pick, and at 102, he probably
possesses more upside than any of the other Hyacks picks, however the
likelihood of Russell playing in the NHL anytime soon must be considered
slim HAWKS
26.)
Leland Irving (Flames, #26, 2006) 43.)
Dennis Persson (Sabres, #24, 2006) 46.)
Freddy Meyer III (Flyers, undrafted) 50.)
Matt Corrente (Devils, #30, 2006) Best
pick: Leland Irving – Future
starter extraordinaire Worst
pick: Freddy Meyer III – 5’8 turn-over machine will be trade bait
this season Overall
verdict: B+ – A mixed bag – lots of promise, no sure things. Hawks
were active in GM Adrian Chong’s first CNGHL draft and walked away with
3 (late) NHL 1st round picks despite not picking at all until
#26. The first pick was used on Everett Silvertips’ goalie Leland
Irving, somewhat of a reach at this point in the draft with players
like Bob Sanguinetti, Claude Giroux and Mark Mitera still on the board.
Even so, Hawks were looking for a goalie and it is hard to argue with
getting the best available guy at the position and Dennis
Persson was snapped up next at 43 – curiously, Persson was picked 2
spots before For
their 3rd pick, Hawks went with Flyers journeyman defender Freddy
Meyer III, a 5’8 turnover machine who at times played on the Flyers
top pairing. Fans claim that he is ideally suited for the new NHL with
mobility, offensive awareness and a booming slap shot. Critics point to
the fact that he is completely unable to handle aggressive forechecking,
that his turn-over frequency is alarmingly high and that he couldn’t
clear the front of the net if his life depended on it. Meyer will likely
continue to have a niche as a 3rd pairing d-man that sees some
PP time, but it wouldn’t surprise me if he is the odd man out in Philly
this year with a healthier blue-line TRIFECTA
4.) Jonathan Toews (Blackhawks, #3, 2006) 24.) Michael Grabner (Canucks, #14, 2006) 44.) Semen Varlamov (Capitals, #23, 2006) 63.) Jamie McGinn (Sharks, #36, 2006) 67.)
Bryce Swan (Ducks, #38, 2006) 92.)
Mathieu Carle (Canadiens, #53, 2006) Best
pick: Jonathan Toews – will be
a star Worst
pick:Bryce Swan – limited upside and significant health concerns Overall
verdict: A- – Trifecta got a lot of interesting talent infusion and
could very well have 4-5 solid CNGHLers some years down the line |